MAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
+1.2%
Next 1 month
+1.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.1% median,
65% of the last 49 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 0
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.11%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.55 +1.4% · Seasonal tilt +0.2%
$153M/day volume
43% volatility
-20% 1-year
-68% from ATH
52-week range · 29% of the way up · -32% from the high
$12.40$22.48
Congressional trades in MAT Full tracker →
6 members · 7 buys / 9 sells · $16K–$240K disclosed · latest filing Dec 29, 2022.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 7 days) · EPS est. 0.94.
1-day std dev
8.4%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+23.2%
Biggest drop
-25.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | miss | 0.04 | 0.01 | -77.3% | +5.3% | -2.7% | -1.4% |
| 2026-04-29 | beat | -0.21 | -0.20 | +4.1% | -1.5% | +1.3% | +0.7% |
| 2026-02-10 | miss | 0.55 | 0.39 | -28.8% | -28.4% | -25.0% | -17.3% |
| 2025-10-21 | miss | 1.06 | 0.89 | -15.9% | -6.7% | -2.8% | +1.1% |
| 2025-07-23 | beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +21.1% | -6.5% | -16.4% | -15.8% |
| 2025-05-05 | beat | -0.10 | -0.03 | +70.4% | -1.3% | +2.8% | +21.4% |
| 2025-02-04 | beat | 0.20 | 0.35 | +73.9% | +17.7% | +15.3% | +20.2% |
| 2024-10-23 | beat | 0.95 | 1.14 | +20.4% | +3.7% | +4.4% | +14.6% |
| 2024-07-23 | beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +10.8% | +2.7% | +9.8% | +11.9% |
| 2024-04-23 | beat | -0.12 | -0.05 | +59.0% | +2.6% | +2.4% | -3.5% |
| 2024-02-07 | miss | 0.32 | 0.29 | -9.7% | +1.1% | +0.3% | +1.1% |
| 2023-10-25 | beat | 0.86 | 1.08 | +25.3% | -16.5% | -7.6% | -3.5% |
| 2023-07-26 | beat | -0.03 | 0.10 | +385.9% | +1.1% | -0.4% | -3.8% |
| 2023-04-26 | miss | -0.24 | -0.24 | -1.9% | +1.5% | +6.1% | +3.8% |
| 2023-02-08 | miss | 0.29 | 0.18 | -37.2% | -11.4% | -10.7% | -10.1% |
| 2022-10-25 | beat | 0.74 | 0.82 | +10.6% | -8.6% | -2.7% | -8.6% |
| 2022-07-21 | beat | 0.06 | 0.18 | +182.9% | -2.8% | -7.1% | -4.0% |
| 2022-04-27 | beat | -0.04 | 0.08 | +315.4% | -1.0% | +0.7% | +8.3% |
| 2022-02-09 | beat | 0.31 | 0.53 | +68.7% | +3.2% | +7.6% | +9.8% |
| 2021-10-21 | beat | 0.72 | 0.84 | +17.1% | +6.7% | +0.6% | +7.3% |
| 2021-07-27 | beat | -0.06 | 0.03 | +153.2% | +6.2% | +4.9% | +5.6% |
| 2021-04-22 | beat | -0.34 | -0.10 | +70.6% | +8.1% | +0.8% | +2.8% |
| 2021-02-09 | beat | 0.24 | 0.40 | +69.7% | +0.9% | -2.1% | +1.1% |
| 2020-10-22 | beat | 0.38 | 0.95 | +147.5% | +7.2% | +9.6% | +6.6% |
| 2020-07-23 | beat | -0.34 | -0.26 | +23.8% | +2.7% | -2.5% | -4.5% |
| 2020-05-05 | miss | -0.41 | -0.56 | -37.2% | -6.4% | -1.4% | -7.1% |
| 2020-02-13 | beat | 0.02 | 0.11 | +391.9% | +0.0% | -3.1% | -13.8% |
| 2019-10-29 | beat | 0.19 | 0.26 | +36.4% | +20.7% | +13.8% | +13.6% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | -0.39 | -0.25 | +35.9% | +7.0% | +13.3% | +5.0% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | -0.55 | -0.44 | +19.4% | +8.5% | -1.1% | -2.4% |
| 2019-02-07 | beat | -0.15 | 0.04 | +127.6% | +19.3% | +23.2% | +11.8% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.18 | 0.18 | +2.5% | -4.3% | -2.8% | +4.6% |
| 2018-07-25 | miss | -0.30 | -0.56 | -89.3% | -9.1% | -4.2% | -2.0% |
| 2018-04-26 | miss | -0.39 | -0.60 | -55.5% | +1.3% | +1.4% | +0.3% |
| 2018-02-01 | miss | 0.16 | -0.72 | -536.8% | -5.7% | +7.9% | +12.7% |
| 2017-10-26 | miss | 0.57 | 0.09 | -84.2% | -16.1% | -8.9% | -14.6% |
| 2017-07-27 | miss | -0.09 | -0.14 | -52.3% | -5.6% | -7.8% | -10.8% |
| 2017-04-20 | miss | -0.17 | -0.32 | -86.4% | -5.8% | -13.6% | -11.1% |
| 2017-01-25 | miss | 0.71 | 0.52 | -27.0% | -13.6% | -17.6% | -18.3% |
| 2016-10-19 | miss | 0.71 | 0.70 | -0.9% | +7.4% | +6.0% | +2.7% |
| 2016-07-20 | beat | -0.06 | -0.02 | +64.5% | +0.6% | -0.3% | +0.7% |
| 2016-04-20 | miss | -0.08 | -0.13 | -69.8% | -6.9% | -5.8% | -5.2% |
| 2016-02-01 | beat | 0.61 | 0.63 | +3.5% | +6.5% | +13.8% | +16.5% |
| 2015-10-15 | miss | 0.80 | 0.71 | -10.8% | +7.0% | +6.0% | +9.8% |
| 2015-07-16 | beat | -0.04 | 0.01 | +123.9% | +2.4% | -3.3% | -7.7% |
| 2015-04-16 | beat | -0.09 | -0.08 | +13.3% | +6.9% | +5.9% | +19.5% |
| 2015-01-30 | miss | 0.65 | 0.52 | -20.0% | -2.6% | +0.0% | +4.9% |
| 2014-10-16 | miss | 1.02 | 0.98 | -4.4% | -4.6% | -3.0% | -1.0% |
| 2014-07-17 | miss | 0.18 | 0.03 | -82.9% | -4.9% | -6.6% | -9.3% |
| 2014-04-17 | miss | 0.08 | 0.01 | -82.8% | -1.3% | -1.1% | +0.3% |
| 2014-01-31 | miss | 1.20 | 1.07 | -10.9% | -10.5% | -12.0% | -14.1% |
| 2013-10-16 | beat | 1.12 | 1.21 | +8.4% | +4.7% | +1.0% | +3.9% |
| 2013-07-17 | miss | 0.32 | 0.21 | -33.8% | -7.6% | -6.8% | -9.1% |
| 2013-04-17 | beat | 0.08 | 0.11 | +31.7% | +4.5% | +1.9% | +2.9% |
| 2013-02-01 | miss | 1.15 | 1.12 | -2.5% | -1.6% | +1.7% | +7.1% |
| 2012-10-16 | beat | 0.99 | 1.04 | +4.6% | +4.1% | +5.0% | +3.7% |
| 2012-07-17 | beat | 0.21 | 0.28 | +33.5% | +8.1% | +9.7% | +11.1% |
| 2012-04-16 | miss | 0.07 | 0.06 | -16.4% | -7.9% | -9.1% | -6.8% |
| 2012-01-31 | beat | 1.00 | 1.07 | +6.6% | +1.8% | +5.0% | +8.4% |
| 2011-10-14 | beat | 0.85 | 0.86 | +0.6% | -2.7% | -1.0% | -0.3% |
Not investment advice.
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