MAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+1.9%
Next 1 month
+3.3%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +6.3% median,
57% of the last 30 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 8
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.20%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.92 +2.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.7%
$5M/day volume
56% volatility
+2% 1-year
-82% from ATH
52-week range · 50% of the way up · -27% from the high
$7.07$15.48
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.25.
1-day std dev
11.3%
Finished up
65%
Biggest pop
+42.7%
Biggest drop
-21.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 0.28 | 0.50 | +78.6% | +12.2% | +22.0% | +26.3% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 0.02 | 0.06 | +200.0% | +0.4% | +1.2% | -7.1% |
| 2026-02-18 | beat | 0.09 | 0.15 | +66.7% | -0.1% | -8.0% | -23.4% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.31 | 0.39 | +25.8% | +10.3% | +21.9% | +25.3% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.20 | 0.33 | +65.0% | +24.2% | +34.7% | +82.5% |
| 2025-05-07 | miss | -0.11 | -0.14 | -27.3% | -0.4% | +8.9% | +18.9% |
| 2025-02-19 | beat | 0.02 | 0.05 | +150.0% | +2.1% | -17.8% | -25.0% |
| 2024-11-06 | miss | 0.28 | 0.21 | -23.6% | -14.3% | -21.1% | -30.5% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | 0.23 | 0.34 | +47.8% | +8.1% | +28.4% | +26.1% |
| 2024-05-08 | miss | 0.20 | 0.02 | -89.7% | -5.6% | -0.3% | -3.1% |
| 2024-02-21 | beat | 0.14 | 0.23 | +70.4% | +2.2% | +42.7% | +47.7% |
| 2023-11-08 | beat | 0.09 | 0.21 | +147.1% | +2.7% | +3.8% | +3.4% |
| 2023-08-09 | beat | 0.38 | 0.51 | +36.0% | +0.0% | +0.5% | -1.2% |
| 2023-05-10 | miss | 0.26 | 0.25 | -3.9% | +2.4% | +1.7% | +4.1% |
| 2023-02-22 | miss | 0.69 | 0.56 | -18.8% | +4.7% | +10.7% | +1.2% |
| 2022-11-09 | miss | 0.81 | 0.74 | -8.6% | -5.2% | -11.4% | -17.8% |
| 2022-08-09 | miss | 0.64 | 0.36 | -43.8% | +5.7% | +12.2% | +20.8% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 0.66 | 0.89 | +34.9% | +0.4% | -2.7% | -0.4% |
| 2022-02-23 | beat | 0.28 | 0.36 | +28.6% | +3.2% | +2.3% | +7.6% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.76 | 0.82 | +7.9% | -7.6% | -15.2% | -9.7% |
| 2021-08-04 | miss | 0.92 | 0.90 | -2.2% | +0.0% | +1.2% | -0.3% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.87 | 1.02 | +17.2% | +0.0% | -0.6% | -2.6% |
| 2021-02-18 | beat | 0.61 | 0.77 | +26.2% | +0.0% | +4.5% | +6.7% |
| 2020-11-04 | beat | 0.74 | 0.95 | +28.8% | +2.4% | -0.4% | +3.7% |
| 2020-08-05 | miss | 0.71 | 0.68 | -3.5% | -0.2% | +1.9% | +4.2% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | 0.69 | 0.85 | +23.2% | +7.1% | +1.1% | -5.3% |
| 2020-02-20 | beat | 0.66 | 0.80 | +22.1% | +5.9% | +1.8% | +0.5% |
| 2019-11-04 | beat | 0.84 | 1.01 | +21.0% | +4.2% | +10.5% | +13.9% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | 0.94 | 1.06 | +13.4% | +3.1% | +4.6% | +3.5% |
| 2019-05-01 | miss | 0.78 | 0.56 | -28.2% | -3.1% | -13.4% | -7.4% |
| 2019-02-21 | beat | 0.71 | 0.90 | +27.7% | +11.8% | +16.8% | +11.0% |
| 2018-11-07 | miss | 0.82 | 0.77 | -5.5% | -4.0% | -2.6% | -5.0% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | 0.85 | 0.85 | +0.6% | +3.6% | +6.6% | -1.9% |
| 2018-05-02 | miss | 0.73 | 0.69 | -4.5% | +7.5% | +9.9% | +13.5% |
| 2018-02-21 | beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +4.9% | -1.1% | -3.3% | -6.7% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 0.82 | 0.88 | +7.5% | +6.1% | +8.7% | +4.7% |
| 2017-08-02 | miss | 0.80 | 0.77 | -4.2% | +1.6% | +4.7% | -0.5% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.64 | 0.66 | +3.9% | +0.0% | -1.9% | -7.5% |
| 2017-02-15 | beat | 0.72 | 0.80 | +11.9% | -2.1% | -3.9% | -6.5% |
| 2016-11-02 | miss | 0.70 | 0.64 | -8.6% | +3.3% | +7.0% | +10.9% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | 0.82 | 0.88 | +7.4% | +4.9% | +4.0% | +2.0% |
| 2016-05-04 | miss | 0.88 | 0.80 | -9.1% | -2.8% | -3.7% | -0.9% |
| 2016-02-17 | beat | 0.89 | 0.91 | +2.2% | -11.8% | -10.6% | -26.5% |
| 2015-11-04 | miss | 0.94 | 0.89 | -4.8% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +3.5% |
| 2015-08-05 | beat | 0.96 | 0.97 | +1.0% | +3.5% | -3.7% | -10.0% |
| 2015-05-06 | miss | 0.89 | 0.72 | -19.1% | -1.8% | -5.2% | -3.5% |
| 2015-02-11 | beat | 0.71 | 0.77 | +8.4% | +5.9% | +10.5% | +16.2% |
| 2014-11-05 | miss | 0.95 | 0.94 | -0.5% | +1.7% | +2.3% | +2.1% |
| 2014-08-06 | beat | 0.82 | 0.91 | +11.0% | +1.9% | +1.5% | +4.6% |
| 2014-05-07 | miss | 0.86 | 0.84 | -1.8% | -2.1% | -2.6% | -2.3% |
| 2014-02-05 | beat | 0.89 | 0.91 | +2.2% | -0.5% | +2.1% | -3.6% |
| 2013-11-06 | miss | 0.96 | 0.95 | -0.7% | -2.8% | -15.5% | -11.4% |
| 2013-07-31 | beat | 0.88 | 0.95 | +8.4% | +0.8% | +1.4% | +2.0% |
| 2013-05-08 | beat | 0.92 | 1.01 | +10.1% | -0.4% | +4.1% | +9.5% |
| 2012-10-31 | beat | 0.90 | 0.95 | +5.6% | +0.6% | +1.3% | +1.3% |
| 2012-08-01 | miss | 0.91 | 0.82 | -9.4% | -1.9% | -6.2% | -1.9% |
| 2012-05-02 | beat | 0.89 | 0.89 | +0.3% | -0.4% | +3.3% | +4.3% |
| 2012-02-01 | beat | 0.93 | 1.33 | +42.8% | +1.6% | +1.7% | +6.8% |
| 2011-11-02 | beat | 0.76 | 0.77 | +1.0% | +1.7% | +1.2% | +0.4% |
| 2011-08-03 | beat | 0.51 | 0.61 | +19.9% | -0.2% | +2.1% | -1.1% |
Not investment advice.
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