MBModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.2%
Next 1 month
+1.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +4.9% median,
61% of the last 38 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 42
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.10%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.34 +0.8% · Seasonal tilt +0.4%
$1M/day volume
40% volatility
-33% 1-year
52-week range · 7% of the way up · -43% from the high
$4.19$7.87
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. -0.10.
1-day std dev
8.6%
Finished up
40%
Biggest pop
+28.3%
Biggest drop
-19.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | -0.12 | -0.14 | -12.0% | -1.1% | -3.2% | -2.1% |
| 2026-05-07 | miss | -0.15 | -0.16 | -3.2% | +0.0% | -10.6% | -8.3% |
| 2026-02-26 | miss | -0.13 | -0.24 | -77.8% | -1.4% | +3.3% | +3.5% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | -0.03 | 1.03 | +3533.3% | +1.9% | +9.3% | +11.1% |
| 2025-08-06 | miss | -0.08 | -0.17 | -112.5% | -2.1% | -4.4% | -4.7% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | -0.13 | -0.16 | -23.1% | -4.5% | -11.3% | -4.3% |
| 2025-02-27 | miss | -0.79 | -1.06 | -34.2% | -3.8% | -13.5% | -24.8% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | -0.16 | — | +100.0% | +3.3% | +6.7% | +43.2% |
| 2024-08-06 | miss | -0.18 | -2.90 | -1467.6% | -6.9% | -7.6% | -8.6% |
| 2024-05-09 | miss | -0.15 | -0.52 | -235.5% | +0.3% | -8.5% | -10.7% |
| 2024-02-28 | miss | 0.02 | -0.18 | -1000.0% | -5.2% | -5.1% | -3.2% |
| 2023-11-02 | miss | 0.01 | -2.92 | -29300.0% | -4.4% | -8.8% | -2.9% |
| 2023-08-02 | miss | -0.10 | -0.45 | -350.0% | -7.9% | -3.4% | -3.5% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | -0.23 | -0.03 | +87.2% | -13.9% | -17.2% | -16.6% |
| 2023-02-28 | beat | -0.29 | 0.30 | +201.7% | +1.0% | -11.2% | -16.2% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | -0.60 | -0.34 | +43.3% | +9.1% | +15.3% | +26.8% |
| 2022-08-03 | miss | -0.61 | -0.93 | -52.5% | -1.2% | -15.2% | +1.4% |
| 2022-05-09 | miss | -0.52 | -1.94 | -269.5% | +3.0% | -3.6% | +4.4% |
| 2022-02-28 | miss | -0.46 | -2.13 | -363.0% | -2.6% | -19.0% | -12.9% |
| 2021-11-03 | miss | -0.42 | -1.54 | -262.4% | -4.6% | -3.2% | -10.5% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | -0.47 | 0.76 | +261.7% | +3.1% | -8.8% | -7.6% |
| 2021-05-10 | miss | -0.45 | -2.36 | -424.4% | -2.1% | -11.7% | -8.6% |
| 2021-03-01 | miss | -0.50 | -0.73 | -46.0% | -6.2% | -5.9% | +31.5% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | -0.48 | -0.34 | +29.2% | +1.5% | -4.1% | -8.4% |
| 2020-08-05 | miss | -0.38 | -1.15 | -202.6% | -2.7% | -2.2% | -4.6% |
| 2020-05-11 | miss | -0.17 | -0.65 | -275.0% | -5.0% | -9.3% | -6.4% |
| 2020-02-27 | miss | -0.21 | -1.25 | -504.8% | -3.0% | -6.8% | -2.9% |
| 2019-11-05 | beat | -0.30 | 1.46 | +578.7% | +5.5% | +10.8% | +5.7% |
| 2019-08-06 | miss | -0.20 | -0.90 | -357.6% | -6.8% | -7.4% | -4.0% |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | -0.11 | 0.45 | +521.9% | +2.1% | +5.6% | -3.9% |
| 2019-02-28 | beat | -0.21 | 1.20 | +662.5% | +0.7% | +6.8% | +3.4% |
| 2018-11-06 | miss | -0.19 | -0.35 | -84.2% | -2.0% | -2.8% | -13.1% |
| 2018-08-08 | miss | -0.20 | -0.58 | -185.2% | +6.1% | +8.2% | +5.1% |
| 2018-05-09 | miss | 0.09 | -0.69 | -866.7% | -0.8% | +1.0% | +0.0% |
| 2018-03-01 | miss | 0.09 | -1.52 | -1788.9% | -4.7% | -3.5% | +2.3% |
| 2017-11-07 | miss | 0.09 | -0.92 | -1121.0% | +34.9% | +28.3% | +25.1% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | -5.40 | -1.09 | +79.8% | -0.2% | +5.5% | +9.0% |
| 2017-05-10 | beat | 0.04 | 0.07 | +75.0% | +0.9% | +10.1% | -2.4% |
| 2017-03-01 | miss | 0.08 | -0.05 | -160.0% | -1.3% | -1.6% | -8.8% |
| 2016-11-08 | miss | 0.12 | 0.04 | -66.7% | +3.0% | +6.5% | +17.3% |
| 2016-08-08 | 0.12 | 0.12 | — | +0.5% | -0.2% | -2.7% | |
| 2016-05-09 | beat | 0.12 | 0.12 | +2.9% | +0.0% | +2.0% | -10.2% |
| 2016-02-29 | miss | 0.08 | 0.07 | -9.9% | -1.2% | +7.1% | +26.2% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | 0.10 | 0.15 | +50.0% | -0.9% | +2.9% | -16.0% |
| 2015-08-04 | miss | 0.12 | 0.11 | -4.3% | -5.2% | -5.1% | +10.1% |
| 2015-05-11 | beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +9.5% | +0.4% | +1.6% | +0.4% |
| 2015-03-02 | beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +9.1% | +0.0% | +4.5% | -0.2% |
| 2014-11-05 | beat | 0.04 | 0.80 | +1900.0% | +1.1% | +1.0% | +3.2% |
| 2014-08-06 | beat | -0.19 | 0.45 | +330.8% | +3.2% | +1.3% | +5.7% |
| 2014-05-12 | beat | 0.22 | 1.32 | +500.0% | +1.2% | -1.8% | -4.3% |
| 2014-03-03 | beat | 0.37 | 0.68 | +83.8% | +3.6% | +11.4% | +8.0% |
| 2013-11-12 | miss | 0.26 | -0.75 | -395.3% | +1.2% | +5.6% | +7.1% |
| 2013-08-07 | miss | 0.22 | -0.56 | -353.9% | -4.2% | -3.9% | -6.0% |
| 2013-05-09 | miss | 0.23 | -0.08 | -134.8% | +1.5% | -1.6% | -2.0% |
| 2013-02-27 | beat | 0.20 | 0.43 | +113.7% | -2.5% | -3.1% | +28.4% |
| 2012-11-07 | miss | 0.18 | -0.28 | -253.9% | -0.9% | -5.7% | -24.3% |
| 2012-08-08 | miss | 0.20 | -0.57 | -384.9% | +12.1% | +14.8% | +22.6% |
| 2012-05-10 | miss | 0.14 | -1.35 | -1063.4% | -4.8% | -4.6% | -17.4% |
| 2012-02-29 | miss | 0.18 | -1.01 | -661.1% | -1.9% | -3.6% | -10.3% |
| 2011-11-09 | beat | -0.34 | 1.41 | +514.7% | +3.4% | +1.5% | -5.2% |
Not investment advice.
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