MBModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.5%
Next 1 month
+4.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +7.0% median,
73% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 97
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.19%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.38 +3.5% · Seasonal tilt (11y) +0.6%
$5M/day volume
49% volatility
-27% 1-year
-74% from ATH
52-week range · 19% of the way up · -32% from the high
$21.16$34.97
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.23.
1-day std dev
8.3%
Finished up
63%
Biggest pop
+20.4%
Biggest drop
-19.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 51 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | beat | 0.77 | 0.92 | +19.8% | +8.6% | +8.1% | +0.2% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 0.36 | 0.56 | +54.5% | +8.3% | +18.5% | +3.2% |
| 2026-02-05 | miss | 0.02 | -0.02 | -185.7% | -9.5% | -11.3% | -11.8% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 0.10 | 0.15 | +57.9% | +1.3% | -13.3% | -17.3% |
| 2025-08-28 | miss | 0.46 | 0.42 | -9.4% | -21.7% | -17.0% | -14.8% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | 0.74 | 0.72 | -2.4% | -1.2% | +3.4% | +8.3% |
| 2025-01-30 | beat | 0.18 | 0.31 | +73.6% | +3.0% | +1.1% | +2.1% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | -0.08 | 0.08 | +198.5% | +8.2% | +6.3% | +6.4% |
| 2024-08-29 | miss | -0.32 | -0.39 | -21.4% | -5.5% | -0.3% | +3.9% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | 0.48 | 0.63 | +31.9% | -3.2% | -3.8% | +8.0% |
| 2024-01-30 | beat | 0.48 | 0.57 | +19.4% | -15.7% | -18.6% | -11.8% |
| 2023-10-31 | beat | 0.92 | 1.13 | +23.2% | -2.4% | -3.3% | -3.5% |
| 2023-08-29 | beat | 2.32 | 2.98 | +28.5% | -1.0% | -1.6% | -9.1% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 2.34 | 2.59 | +10.6% | +4.4% | +1.1% | -3.8% |
| 2023-02-07 | beat | 1.66 | 1.83 | +10.5% | +0.9% | +1.4% | -1.5% |
| 2022-11-04 | beat | 1.68 | 1.79 | +6.4% | -2.2% | +3.3% | +14.9% |
| 2022-08-25 | beat | 2.29 | 2.43 | +6.0% | +0.9% | -1.2% | -12.9% |
| 2022-05-10 | beat | 1.96 | 2.61 | +32.9% | +8.2% | +8.0% | +17.0% |
| 2022-02-08 | beat | 1.36 | 1.50 | +10.5% | +3.5% | +8.4% | +7.2% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 1.29 | 1.37 | +6.2% | +1.8% | +1.1% | -4.5% |
| 2021-08-26 | beat | 1.64 | 1.84 | +12.4% | -0.9% | -4.5% | -12.1% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 1.65 | 1.82 | +10.2% | -3.2% | -1.6% | -3.2% |
| 2021-02-09 | beat | 1.03 | 1.22 | +18.6% | +1.9% | -4.2% | -1.8% |
| 2020-11-06 | beat | 0.88 | 1.13 | +27.8% | -1.9% | -6.1% | -6.7% |
| 2020-08-31 | beat | 0.12 | 0.40 | +233.3% | +1.2% | +6.8% | -2.4% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | 0.98 | 1.13 | +14.8% | +4.1% | +4.9% | +10.8% |
| 2020-02-06 | beat | 0.68 | 0.93 | +35.9% | +8.7% | +3.0% | +9.7% |
| 2019-11-07 | beat | 0.70 | 0.83 | +18.9% | +4.3% | +12.7% | +12.6% |
| 2019-08-29 | beat | 0.95 | 1.08 | +13.5% | +8.2% | +9.9% | +11.2% |
| 2019-05-09 | beat | 1.04 | 1.15 | +10.4% | +5.5% | +1.1% | -0.4% |
| 2019-02-06 | beat | 0.74 | 0.86 | +16.9% | +7.7% | +5.4% | -0.8% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | 0.54 | 0.67 | +24.1% | +4.8% | +16.5% | +16.0% |
| 2018-09-06 | beat | 0.59 | 0.76 | +29.4% | +10.5% | +5.5% | +5.1% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | 0.70 | 0.86 | +23.8% | +13.0% | +20.4% | +22.7% |
| 2018-02-09 | beat | 0.47 | 0.53 | +11.8% | +4.7% | +11.3% | +15.1% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | 0.32 | 0.42 | +29.5% | +8.4% | +2.1% | -0.6% |
| 2017-09-07 | beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +3.2% | +4.0% | -0.8% | +2.4% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +2.1% | +0.1% | -1.0% | +7.1% |
| 2017-02-01 | beat | 0.33 | 0.38 | +14.6% | +5.7% | +7.7% | +16.0% |
| 2016-11-01 | beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +4.0% | +0.5% | +1.5% | +9.1% |
| 2016-09-07 | beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +6.5% | +7.8% | +7.7% | +2.3% |
| 2016-05-04 | 0.40 | 0.40 | — | -2.9% | -19.1% | -19.1% | |
| 2016-02-03 | beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +0.7% | +2.5% | +1.0% | +15.2% |
| 2015-11-03 | beat | 0.25 | 0.25 | +1.6% | +0.1% | +6.3% | +3.0% |
| 2015-09-09 | beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +3.2% | +2.0% | -6.0% | -4.8% |
| 2015-05-05 | beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +1.9% | +4.0% | +2.8% | -2.4% |
| 2015-02-05 | beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +4.0% | +2.0% | +0.2% | -9.6% |
| 2014-11-04 | beat | 0.19 | 0.19 | +2.7% | +1.8% | +6.1% | +3.5% |
| 2014-09-11 | beat | 0.21 | 0.24 | +17.1% | +4.5% | -6.3% | -5.0% |
| 2014-05-07 | beat | 0.15 | 0.27 | +83.0% | +2.2% | -2.4% | +0.6% |
| 2014-03-07 | beat | 0.17 | 0.25 | +50.6% | +0.6% | +5.7% | +4.2% |
Not investment advice.
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