MBModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.5%
Next 1 month
+1.1%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +2.7% median,
65% of the last 26 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 18
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.16%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.39 +0.9% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$7M/day volume
23% volatility
+38% 1-year
-5% from ATH
52-week range · 84% of the way up · -5% from the high
$42.93$62.95
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-19 (Tuesday, before open, in 80 days) · EPS est. 1.38.
1-day std dev
3.9%
Finished up
68%
Biggest pop
+12.2%
Biggest drop
-5.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | beat | 1.35 | 1.42 | +5.5% | +2.5% | +1.1% | +3.9% |
| 2026-07-21 | beat | 1.33 | 1.53 | +14.9% | +2.0% | +3.5% | +4.6% |
| 2026-04-21 | beat | 1.31 | 1.46 | +11.3% | +1.0% | -3.4% | -2.4% |
| 2026-01-20 | beat | 1.37 | 1.40 | +2.5% | +0.0% | +0.8% | +1.2% |
| 2025-10-21 | beat | 1.38 | 1.46 | +6.0% | +3.8% | +0.6% | +0.4% |
| 2025-07-22 | beat | 1.25 | 1.39 | +10.8% | +3.4% | -1.8% | -2.9% |
| 2025-04-22 | beat | 1.18 | 1.21 | +2.2% | -2.0% | +3.5% | +6.7% |
| 2025-01-21 | beat | 1.14 | 1.22 | +6.6% | +1.9% | +5.8% | +10.2% |
| 2024-10-15 | beat | 1.17 | 1.22 | +4.1% | +1.7% | +2.7% | +1.1% |
| 2024-07-16 | beat | 1.16 | 1.17 | +0.9% | +5.4% | +12.1% | +11.3% |
| 2024-04-16 | beat | 1.14 | 1.34 | +17.3% | -0.3% | -3.7% | +4.2% |
| 2024-01-16 | beat | 1.24 | 1.25 | +1.0% | +6.2% | -1.9% | +6.9% |
| 2023-10-17 | beat | 1.15 | 1.30 | +13.3% | +1.0% | +7.4% | +1.2% |
| 2023-07-18 | beat | 1.10 | 1.27 | +15.0% | +5.0% | +12.2% | +15.3% |
| 2023-04-18 | beat | 1.16 | 1.31 | +13.1% | +6.8% | -2.5% | -6.7% |
| 2023-01-17 | beat | 1.20 | 1.37 | +14.4% | +5.5% | +4.3% | -3.4% |
| 2022-10-18 | beat | 0.98 | 1.01 | +3.3% | +1.0% | -1.7% | +1.7% |
| 2022-07-19 | miss | 0.76 | 0.74 | -2.4% | -0.4% | +4.5% | +8.0% |
| 2022-04-19 | miss | 0.74 | 0.73 | -1.1% | -0.1% | +1.4% | -7.0% |
| 2022-01-18 | beat | 0.86 | 0.94 | +9.3% | +0.7% | +2.5% | +4.1% |
| 2021-10-19 | beat | 0.85 | 0.95 | +12.0% | +1.8% | +2.8% | +4.1% |
| 2021-07-20 | beat | 0.78 | 1.12 | +42.9% | +1.1% | +2.6% | +7.5% |
| 2021-04-20 | beat | 0.71 | 0.87 | +22.9% | +2.0% | -3.7% | -1.4% |
| 2021-01-19 | beat | 0.55 | 0.93 | +70.3% | +3.2% | -1.4% | -0.8% |
| 2020-10-20 | beat | 0.43 | 0.66 | +54.9% | +5.4% | +3.2% | +4.8% |
| 2020-07-21 | beat | 0.27 | 0.54 | +101.9% | +5.6% | +9.4% | +4.1% |
| 2020-04-21 | beat | 0.47 | 0.65 | +38.3% | +0.2% | -2.2% | +7.3% |
| 2020-01-21 | beat | 0.65 | 0.82 | +26.6% | +4.5% | -1.3% | -4.8% |
| 2019-10-15 | beat | 0.63 | 0.77 | +22.2% | +5.0% | +3.9% | +7.5% |
| 2019-07-16 | beat | 0.60 | 0.71 | +17.7% | +6.3% | +2.1% | +0.4% |
| 2019-04-16 | beat | 0.59 | 0.72 | +22.9% | -3.2% | +0.4% | -0.9% |
| 2019-01-22 | beat | 0.61 | 0.70 | +15.1% | +8.8% | +6.9% | +4.2% |
| 2018-10-16 | miss | 0.61 | 0.61 | -0.3% | +0.7% | +3.0% | -4.7% |
| 2018-07-17 | miss | 0.57 | 0.57 | -0.9% | +2.7% | -1.7% | -1.3% |
| 2018-04-17 | beat | 0.56 | 0.66 | +18.9% | +0.6% | +1.4% | +4.6% |
| 2018-01-16 | miss | 0.50 | 0.48 | -4.0% | -1.2% | -3.4% | -3.7% |
| 2017-10-17 | beat | 0.48 | 0.51 | +6.8% | +0.9% | +2.0% | +4.2% |
| 2017-07-18 | beat | 0.45 | 0.45 | +0.6% | +1.7% | +1.6% | +2.8% |
| 2017-04-18 | beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +7.8% | -0.4% | +1.6% | +6.4% |
| 2017-01-17 | beat | 0.46 | 0.49 | +6.5% | +0.6% | -2.5% | -8.1% |
| 2016-10-18 | beat | 0.45 | 0.48 | +5.9% | +2.1% | +2.3% | +4.2% |
| 2016-07-19 | beat | 0.42 | 0.46 | +10.4% | +1.6% | +0.2% | +1.5% |
| 2016-04-19 | beat | 0.40 | 0.52 | +31.1% | +2.0% | +12.1% | +11.6% |
| 2016-01-19 | beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +11.1% | +10.0% | +2.3% | -1.9% |
| 2015-10-20 | beat | 0.40 | 0.45 | +11.6% | +1.3% | +1.2% | +2.4% |
| 2015-07-21 | beat | 0.39 | 0.39 | +0.9% | +0.8% | -1.3% | -2.6% |
| 2015-04-21 | beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +5.4% | -0.3% | +1.9% | +0.9% |
| 2015-01-20 | miss | 0.40 | 0.39 | -3.6% | +1.3% | -4.6% | -6.4% |
| 2014-10-21 | miss | 0.43 | 0.40 | -5.9% | -0.9% | -0.3% | +3.2% |
| 2014-07-22 | miss | 0.45 | 0.32 | -29.8% | -2.2% | -3.6% | -5.3% |
| 2014-04-22 | beat | 0.40 | 0.44 | +10.7% | -1.2% | -1.1% | -5.9% |
| 2014-01-21 | beat | 0.39 | 0.63 | +59.4% | +1.4% | +4.7% | -0.7% |
| 2013-10-15 | beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +7.1% | +1.8% | +2.8% | +4.6% |
| 2013-07-16 | beat | 0.35 | 0.46 | +32.7% | +0.5% | +0.9% | +5.8% |
| 2013-04-16 | beat | 0.33 | 0.50 | +50.0% | +1.5% | +5.2% | +1.7% |
| 2013-01-15 | beat | 0.31 | 0.35 | +11.7% | -0.2% | +0.6% | -0.8% |
| 2012-10-16 | miss | 0.34 | 0.30 | -10.9% | +1.3% | -5.1% | -8.6% |
| 2012-07-17 | beat | 0.27 | 0.36 | +35.0% | +0.8% | +0.1% | -10.0% |
| 2012-04-17 | beat | 0.26 | 0.28 | +7.7% | -1.7% | +0.5% | +0.1% |
| 2012-01-17 | miss | 0.33 | 0.30 | -7.7% | +1.8% | +1.8% | -1.3% |
Not investment advice.
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