MCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.8%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
+3.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +8.0% median,
73% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 82
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.09%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.47 +3.5% · Seasonal tilt (11y) +0.4%
$62M/day volume
38% volatility
-5% 1-year
-26% from ATH
52-week range · 37% of the way up · -22% from the high
$51.06$78.22
Congressional trades in MC Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 1 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing Apr 27, 2020.
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. 0.72.
1-day std dev
5.6%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+11.9%
Biggest drop
-16.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 49 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | beat | 0.61 | 0.63 | +3.2% | +2.3% | +4.8% | +3.1% |
| 2026-04-29 | miss | 0.53 | 0.50 | -5.1% | -3.6% | -2.9% | -4.7% |
| 2026-02-04 | beat | 0.83 | 1.13 | +35.4% | +6.6% | +1.1% | -8.6% |
| 2025-10-29 | beat | 0.60 | 0.68 | +14.0% | -3.0% | -3.8% | -5.8% |
| 2025-07-24 | beat | 0.39 | 0.53 | +36.3% | +3.5% | -0.9% | -3.5% |
| 2025-04-23 | beat | 0.55 | 0.64 | +15.4% | -3.4% | +0.9% | +2.4% |
| 2025-02-05 | beat | 0.49 | 1.18 | +141.7% | +2.3% | +1.9% | -4.9% |
| 2024-10-23 | beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +14.0% | +0.0% | -1.9% | -2.7% |
| 2024-07-24 | beat | 0.10 | 0.18 | +71.5% | -0.7% | +6.4% | +2.3% |
| 2024-04-24 | beat | 0.14 | 0.22 | +53.8% | -6.4% | -6.9% | -3.9% |
| 2024-02-07 | beat | -0.11 | -0.06 | +44.8% | +0.9% | +1.0% | +3.1% |
| 2023-11-02 | miss | 0.04 | -0.15 | -486.5% | +0.5% | -0.9% | -5.0% |
| 2023-07-26 | miss | -0.01 | -0.04 | -192.4% | -11.6% | -7.9% | -6.9% |
| 2023-04-26 | miss | 0.10 | 0.05 | -47.8% | -2.7% | -8.0% | -12.3% |
| 2023-02-08 | miss | 0.33 | 0.33 | -1.4% | -2.0% | -7.1% | -3.3% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 0.35 | 0.40 | +13.7% | -11.3% | -7.2% | +4.0% |
| 2022-07-27 | beat | 0.43 | 0.57 | +31.6% | +1.4% | +2.5% | +2.9% |
| 2022-04-27 | beat | 0.77 | 0.95 | +23.4% | -2.7% | +4.8% | -3.1% |
| 2022-02-09 | miss | 1.49 | 1.42 | -4.8% | -3.4% | -9.4% | -14.7% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 1.35 | 1.77 | +31.0% | +8.4% | +2.3% | +11.0% |
| 2021-07-21 | beat | 0.83 | 1.19 | +44.1% | +0.3% | +2.5% | +5.0% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 0.87 | 1.02 | +17.8% | +1.7% | -1.1% | -1.7% |
| 2021-02-10 | beat | 1.34 | 1.99 | +48.1% | -0.3% | -1.5% | -0.1% |
| 2020-10-26 | beat | 0.03 | 0.54 | +1996.3% | +4.9% | +2.8% | -2.0% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | -0.13 | -0.11 | +12.4% | -2.6% | -1.5% | +2.6% |
| 2020-04-22 | beat | 0.34 | 0.45 | +32.5% | -6.0% | -6.3% | -3.6% |
| 2020-02-05 | beat | 0.26 | 0.38 | +48.7% | +2.6% | +4.8% | -0.5% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | 0.57 | 0.76 | +32.6% | +9.5% | +11.9% | +10.3% |
| 2019-07-30 | beat | 0.42 | 0.56 | +34.4% | -1.8% | -0.6% | -8.9% |
| 2019-04-30 | beat | 0.24 | 0.27 | +14.8% | +0.1% | -6.5% | -12.5% |
| 2019-02-06 | beat | 0.67 | 0.77 | +15.6% | +6.0% | +6.5% | +4.5% |
| 2018-10-22 | miss | 0.64 | 0.62 | -2.7% | -11.1% | -16.7% | -20.7% |
| 2018-07-23 | beat | 0.55 | 0.78 | +41.2% | +4.6% | +1.8% | +1.7% |
| 2018-04-23 | beat | 0.72 | 0.84 | +17.3% | +4.1% | +1.9% | -0.3% |
| 2018-02-07 | beat | 0.42 | 0.52 | +23.4% | +3.5% | +4.5% | +9.1% |
| 2017-10-25 | beat | 0.42 | 0.57 | +36.6% | +2.2% | -5.6% | -2.4% |
| 2017-07-24 | beat | 0.48 | 0.66 | +38.2% | +6.0% | +7.7% | +0.2% |
| 2017-04-25 | beat | 0.41 | 0.54 | +30.6% | +0.0% | +0.4% | -1.0% |
| 2017-02-08 | beat | 0.61 | 0.66 | +8.6% | +0.7% | +1.8% | +2.3% |
| 2016-10-26 | beat | 0.34 | 0.44 | +30.1% | +10.0% | +5.6% | -1.8% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | 0.29 | 0.35 | +20.1% | +5.3% | +7.1% | +6.2% |
| 2016-04-27 | miss | 0.39 | 0.35 | -10.5% | -3.1% | -1.0% | -5.2% |
| 2016-02-09 | beat | 0.51 | 0.55 | +7.8% | +1.7% | +0.6% | -1.4% |
| 2015-10-28 | beat | 0.41 | 0.45 | +10.7% | +0.3% | +2.3% | +1.9% |
| 2015-07-29 | beat | 0.32 | 0.37 | +13.9% | +4.5% | +5.4% | +7.5% |
| 2015-04-29 | miss | 0.34 | 0.28 | -17.0% | -8.9% | -8.2% | -5.4% |
| 2015-02-05 | miss | 0.57 | 0.51 | -10.5% | -3.0% | -7.0% | -3.8% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 0.39 | 0.42 | +8.9% | +5.3% | +6.9% | +6.4% |
| 2014-07-30 | beat | 0.25 | 0.42 | +65.9% | -1.1% | -0.1% | -0.8% |
Not investment advice.
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