MCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.7%
Next 1 month
+1.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +4.8% median,
62% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 18
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.62 +1.5% · Seasonal tilt (8y) +0.3%
$15M/day volume
31% volatility
+43% 1-year
-18% from ATH
52-week range · 82% of the way up · -6% from the high
$64.66$102.04
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-19 (Tuesday, after close, in 79 days) · EPS est. 2.53.
1-day std dev
6.3%
Finished up
64%
Biggest pop
+18.0%
Biggest drop
-9.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 36 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | beat | 2.38 | 2.58 | +8.5% | +6.9% | +3.0% | +8.7% |
| 2026-07-21 | miss | 2.30 | 1.54 | -32.9% | -11.9% | -9.0% | -6.6% |
| 2026-04-21 | beat | 2.31 | 2.92 | +26.6% | +1.4% | -1.4% | -0.2% |
| 2026-01-20 | beat | 2.20 | 2.72 | +23.6% | +1.2% | +13.9% | +12.0% |
| 2025-10-23 | miss | 2.08 | 0.67 | -67.7% | -3.5% | -4.8% | -11.1% |
| 2025-07-17 | beat | 1.73 | 1.76 | +1.7% | +2.6% | +2.1% | -4.4% |
| 2025-04-21 | miss | 1.53 | 1.45 | -5.0% | -3.1% | +3.6% | +12.2% |
| 2025-01-23 | beat | 1.49 | 1.85 | +24.1% | +3.8% | +7.9% | +5.2% |
| 2024-10-17 | beat | 1.55 | 1.70 | +10.0% | +0.8% | -6.7% | -15.6% |
| 2024-07-18 | miss | 1.57 | 1.50 | -4.6% | -1.0% | +3.2% | +1.0% |
| 2024-04-18 | beat | 1.34 | 1.46 | +8.9% | +6.3% | +18.0% | +27.3% |
| 2024-01-18 | miss | 1.48 | 1.28 | -13.8% | -1.0% | -2.2% | +7.0% |
| 2023-10-19 | beat | 1.63 | 2.19 | +34.2% | +6.3% | +2.8% | -0.6% |
| 2023-07-20 | miss | 1.73 | 1.37 | -20.7% | -3.6% | -9.3% | -0.8% |
| 2023-04-18 | beat | 1.79 | 2.09 | +17.1% | +14.4% | +17.8% | +0.1% |
| 2023-01-20 | beat | 2.32 | 2.43 | +4.6% | +1.8% | -3.3% | -0.1% |
| 2022-10-20 | miss | 2.33 | 2.24 | -4.1% | +4.2% | +1.0% | +11.1% |
| 2022-07-21 | beat | 1.85 | 2.08 | +12.3% | +1.6% | +0.6% | -0.6% |
| 2022-04-21 | beat | 1.55 | 1.70 | +9.4% | -2.5% | -5.0% | -11.0% |
| 2022-01-20 | beat | 1.42 | 1.71 | +19.9% | +1.1% | +3.8% | +0.8% |
| 2021-10-20 | beat | 1.57 | 1.82 | +16.5% | +0.8% | +5.0% | +1.7% |
| 2021-07-21 | beat | 1.41 | 1.51 | +7.3% | +3.1% | +9.0% | +18.2% |
| 2021-04-21 | beat | 1.30 | 1.44 | +11.0% | +2.2% | +10.2% | +18.9% |
| 2021-01-21 | beat | 1.17 | 1.39 | +19.1% | +0.3% | +3.6% | +4.0% |
| 2020-10-21 | beat | 0.98 | 1.27 | +29.3% | +2.0% | +0.0% | -0.8% |
| 2020-07-22 | beat | 0.79 | 1.11 | +39.7% | +0.8% | +0.0% | -3.3% |
| 2020-04-20 | miss | 0.72 | 0.64 | -10.4% | -4.4% | -1.2% | +21.5% |
| 2020-01-22 | beat | 0.87 | 0.93 | +6.9% | +0.9% | +3.9% | +7.2% |
| 2019-10-23 | beat | 0.78 | 0.90 | +15.1% | +0.9% | +0.3% | +4.5% |
| 2019-07-24 | miss | 0.89 | 0.71 | -20.3% | -1.3% | -3.7% | -9.9% |
| 2019-04-24 | beat | 0.75 | 1.01 | +35.2% | +1.5% | +5.9% | +11.5% |
| 2019-01-24 | miss | 0.76 | 0.75 | -0.8% | +0.3% | +1.7% | -1.4% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.74 | 0.85 | +15.4% | -1.0% | +0.9% | +4.6% |
| 2018-07-25 | miss | 0.81 | 0.70 | -13.1% | -0.4% | -2.7% | -1.7% |
| 2018-04-25 | beat | 0.74 | 0.75 | +1.5% | +0.1% | +3.5% | +9.6% |
| 2018-01-29 | beat | 0.51 | 1.04 | +103.0% | -0.3% | +2.4% | +4.1% |
Not investment advice.
Continue with Google