MCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
+2.3%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +3.6% median,
60% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 97
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.96 +2.3% · Seasonal tilt (10y) -0.0%
$3M/day volume
40% volatility
+1% 1-year
-46% from ATH
52-week range · 38% of the way up · -24% from the high
$17.19$28.44
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-10 (Tuesday, before open, in 10 days) · EPS est. 0.59.
1-day std dev
10.1%
Finished up
49%
Biggest pop
+25.0%
Biggest drop
-23.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 45 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | beat | 0.61 | 0.67 | +10.7% | +5.8% | -9.7% | -11.7% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 0.35 | 0.45 | +27.0% | +2.1% | +5.9% | +2.1% |
| 2026-02-05 | beat | 0.16 | 0.29 | +76.5% | -2.0% | +6.4% | +2.5% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | 0.16 | 0.28 | +77.2% | -2.7% | -5.7% | -12.8% |
| 2025-08-27 | beat | 0.18 | 0.40 | +122.2% | +12.2% | +9.6% | +8.2% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 0.18 | 0.30 | +70.5% | +9.6% | +11.8% | +9.8% |
| 2025-02-06 | beat | -0.01 | 0.10 | +1300.5% | +5.2% | +16.1% | +4.4% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | 0.03 | 0.12 | +320.0% | +13.4% | +25.0% | +19.3% |
| 2024-08-29 | beat | -0.22 | -0.04 | +81.8% | -5.3% | -6.0% | -11.5% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | 0.23 | 0.37 | +61.9% | -2.8% | -1.4% | +2.1% |
| 2024-02-07 | beat | 0.23 | 0.37 | +58.9% | +3.3% | +2.3% | +9.6% |
| 2023-11-08 | beat | 0.40 | 0.47 | +18.4% | -4.3% | -6.6% | +0.2% |
| 2023-08-30 | beat | 1.07 | 1.37 | +27.9% | -22.9% | -12.8% | -16.6% |
| 2023-05-10 | beat | 1.04 | 1.36 | +31.2% | +6.4% | -4.0% | -0.7% |
| 2023-02-08 | beat | 1.01 | 1.20 | +18.6% | +3.6% | +9.4% | +10.0% |
| 2022-11-09 | beat | 1.29 | 1.43 | +11.0% | +0.3% | -1.2% | +7.2% |
| 2022-09-08 | beat | 1.50 | 1.77 | +18.1% | -4.0% | -12.7% | -7.5% |
| 2022-05-11 | beat | 1.06 | 1.21 | +14.4% | -0.6% | -6.5% | -8.2% |
| 2022-02-03 | beat | 0.79 | 0.91 | +14.9% | +1.9% | +0.6% | +7.5% |
| 2021-11-10 | beat | 0.51 | 0.67 | +32.0% | -0.5% | +1.6% | +1.5% |
| 2021-09-02 | beat | 0.78 | 0.98 | +26.0% | +3.5% | -1.6% | -3.4% |
| 2021-05-12 | beat | 0.70 | 1.01 | +44.7% | +5.4% | +0.4% | +10.2% |
| 2021-02-10 | beat | 0.51 | 0.75 | +46.5% | +6.7% | -1.0% | -7.0% |
| 2020-11-11 | beat | 0.33 | 0.58 | +74.7% | +4.7% | +8.7% | +4.5% |
| 2020-09-09 | beat | -0.18 | -0.10 | +46.0% | +1.1% | -19.3% | -22.6% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | 0.51 | 0.46 | -8.9% | -1.0% | -3.6% | +0.7% |
| 2020-02-05 | beat | 0.35 | 0.43 | +22.3% | +3.7% | +15.4% | +9.3% |
| 2019-11-07 | beat | 0.44 | 0.53 | +21.8% | +8.0% | +5.8% | +0.8% |
| 2019-09-12 | beat | 0.81 | 0.85 | +5.2% | -18.6% | -23.3% | -20.4% |
| 2019-05-09 | beat | 0.67 | 0.78 | +16.7% | +7.0% | +4.1% | +0.7% |
| 2019-02-07 | beat | 0.59 | 0.64 | +9.3% | -4.4% | -9.9% | -7.7% |
| 2018-11-08 | beat | 0.51 | 0.54 | +5.9% | -5.6% | -17.7% | -18.8% |
| 2018-09-06 | beat | 0.51 | 0.66 | +28.6% | +10.5% | +16.4% | +22.2% |
| 2018-05-10 | beat | 0.47 | 0.56 | +19.6% | +6.0% | +7.5% | +18.3% |
| 2018-02-08 | beat | 0.33 | 0.42 | +27.3% | +5.7% | +18.3% | +13.1% |
| 2017-11-09 | miss | 0.41 | 0.40 | -1.6% | -1.0% | -1.8% | +0.8% |
| 2017-09-07 | beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +7.7% | +1.3% | -0.2% | +1.8% |
| 2017-05-11 | miss | 0.32 | 0.28 | -13.7% | -1.3% | +7.4% | +7.1% |
| 2017-02-09 | miss | 0.29 | 0.26 | -10.3% | -4.3% | -1.6% | +1.1% |
| 2016-11-10 | beat | 0.36 | 0.41 | +13.9% | +4.4% | +8.1% | +6.6% |
| 2016-09-08 | beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +5.3% | -2.4% | -7.5% | -12.9% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | 0.28 | 0.31 | +9.0% | +4.6% | +3.9% | +2.1% |
| 2016-02-04 | beat | 0.30 | 0.33 | +8.8% | +4.8% | -3.9% | -8.8% |
| 2015-11-05 | beat | 0.27 | 0.30 | +12.5% | +2.0% | +5.1% | +0.5% |
| 2015-09-17 | beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +6.7% | -0.1% | -6.1% | -15.4% |
Not investment advice.
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