MCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.8%
Next 1 week
+1.5%
Next 1 month
+1.1%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +3.7% median,
66% of the last 32 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 9
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.56%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.32 +0.8% · Seasonal tilt +0.3%
$18M/day volume
26% volatility
+24% 1-year
-19% from ATH
52-week range · 47% of the way up · -19% from the high
$88.13$135.93
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-03 (Wednesday, after close, in 95 days) · EPS est. 1.64.
1-day std dev
7.4%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+20.0%
Biggest drop
-19.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | beat | 1.80 | 1.82 | +1.3% | -6.9% | -2.6% | — |
| 2026-07-21 | beat | 1.71 | 1.85 | +8.4% | -4.5% | -5.6% | -1.3% |
| 2026-04-21 | beat | 1.16 | 1.58 | +36.5% | +4.5% | +15.9% | +21.1% |
| 2026-02-04 | beat | 1.42 | 1.55 | +9.1% | -4.7% | +2.3% | +0.6% |
| 2025-10-21 | beat | 1.56 | 1.71 | +9.8% | -2.5% | -4.1% | -8.4% |
| 2025-07-16 | beat | 1.18 | 1.48 | +25.2% | +23.0% | +20.0% | +20.7% |
| 2025-04-22 | beat | 1.00 | 1.07 | +7.4% | +3.3% | +2.4% | +2.8% |
| 2025-02-11 | beat | 1.12 | 1.36 | +21.8% | +3.8% | +7.9% | +7.9% |
| 2024-10-23 | beat | 1.35 | 1.48 | +9.8% | +6.6% | +6.5% | +6.6% |
| 2024-07-24 | beat | 1.12 | 1.20 | +7.4% | +4.6% | +11.3% | +8.7% |
| 2024-04-17 | miss | 0.96 | 0.95 | -0.7% | -3.2% | -4.4% | -1.5% |
| 2024-02-14 | miss | 1.06 | 1.03 | -1.9% | -0.8% | -0.1% | +0.1% |
| 2023-10-18 | miss | 1.43 | 1.35 | -5.4% | -8.5% | -5.7% | -3.8% |
| 2023-07-19 | miss | 1.14 | 1.12 | -1.4% | -2.1% | -5.0% | -4.8% |
| 2023-04-19 | miss | 0.97 | 0.92 | -5.2% | -4.0% | -4.8% | -9.8% |
| 2023-02-14 | miss | 1.25 | 1.17 | -6.4% | -1.2% | -1.5% | -4.1% |
| 2022-10-19 | beat | 1.26 | 1.52 | +20.5% | +10.0% | +15.6% | +26.6% |
| 2022-07-20 | beat | 1.05 | 1.08 | +3.0% | -0.1% | -0.3% | +3.7% |
| 2022-04-20 | beat | 0.91 | 0.98 | +8.7% | -10.8% | -19.4% | -23.4% |
| 2022-02-09 | beat | 0.94 | 1.11 | +17.6% | +1.4% | +6.5% | +3.8% |
| 2021-10-25 | beat | 1.07 | 1.10 | +3.1% | +1.2% | +8.0% | +3.8% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 0.77 | 0.97 | +26.0% | +4.9% | +5.9% | +5.2% |
| 2021-04-28 | miss | 0.57 | 0.42 | -26.3% | +1.6% | +9.0% | +4.5% |
| 2021-02-24 | beat | 0.56 | 0.84 | +50.7% | -1.5% | +3.1% | -5.2% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.19 | 0.67 | +254.5% | +6.3% | +4.8% | +18.2% |
| 2020-07-22 | beat | -0.50 | -0.19 | +62.6% | +5.0% | +1.1% | +7.8% |
| 2020-04-22 | miss | 0.28 | 0.17 | -37.0% | -3.3% | +2.0% | +30.6% |
| 2020-03-11 | miss | 0.40 | 0.39 | -2.6% | -10.0% | -19.5% | -41.6% |
| 2019-10-30 | miss | 0.60 | 0.51 | -15.3% | -1.3% | -0.4% | +1.8% |
| 2019-07-24 | beat | 0.44 | 0.50 | +12.8% | +2.6% | +4.2% | +1.5% |
| 2019-04-24 | beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +2.7% | -3.9% | -2.3% | -3.3% |
| 2019-02-20 | miss | 0.42 | 0.39 | -7.1% | +0.6% | -0.6% | -2.2% |
| 2018-10-24 | miss | 0.58 | 0.58 | -0.6% | +1.1% | +1.0% | -5.3% |
| 2018-07-24 | miss | 0.51 | 0.50 | -2.0% | +4.0% | +0.8% | +1.4% |
| 2018-04-26 | miss | 0.38 | 0.36 | -4.0% | +0.8% | -0.8% | +2.7% |
| 2018-02-20 | miss | 0.41 | 0.31 | -23.6% | -2.8% | -4.1% | -4.3% |
| 2017-10-24 | beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +4.3% | +6.5% | +4.6% | +10.4% |
| 2017-07-25 | beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +6.4% | +1.5% | +12.6% | +9.2% |
| 2017-04-25 | miss | 0.28 | 0.27 | -4.9% | -0.1% | +1.9% | +2.1% |
| 2017-02-22 | beat | 0.32 | 0.36 | +13.6% | +0.1% | +6.7% | +19.6% |
| 2016-10-25 | beat | 0.40 | 0.44 | +11.2% | +8.7% | +3.8% | -1.2% |
| 2016-07-20 | miss | 0.35 | 0.35 | -1.4% | +0.7% | -1.6% | -0.8% |
| 2016-04-20 | beat | 0.27 | 0.31 | +18.1% | -1.1% | +0.2% | -4.0% |
| 2016-02-24 | beat | 0.24 | 0.29 | +22.0% | +2.7% | +7.3% | +10.5% |
| 2015-10-22 | beat | 0.28 | 0.37 | +33.6% | +2.4% | +16.6% | +21.9% |
| 2015-07-22 | beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +9.7% | +1.0% | +2.0% | -6.2% |
| 2015-04-22 | beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +6.5% | +0.2% | -1.4% | -6.3% |
| 2015-02-25 | beat | 0.15 | 0.22 | +48.7% | +0.0% | +2.2% | -0.8% |
| 2014-10-22 | beat | 0.21 | 0.27 | +30.0% | -0.6% | -2.3% | +20.0% |
| 2014-07-24 | miss | 0.30 | 0.22 | -27.5% | -1.5% | -4.7% | -9.1% |
| 2014-04-23 | miss | 0.26 | 0.19 | -26.9% | -2.2% | -3.5% | -7.1% |
| 2014-02-26 | miss | 0.16 | 0.12 | -23.8% | -1.0% | +2.1% | +2.1% |
| 2013-10-22 | miss | 0.33 | 0.32 | -2.3% | -3.1% | -14.8% | -19.4% |
| 2013-07-24 | beat | 0.24 | 0.37 | +55.8% | +0.1% | +7.6% | +16.8% |
| 2013-04-25 | beat | 0.16 | 0.26 | +62.5% | +2.1% | +4.4% | +30.0% |
| 2013-02-28 | miss | 0.16 | 0.08 | -50.0% | -12.4% | -4.5% | -3.2% |
| 2012-10-24 | beat | 0.20 | 0.27 | +40.0% | +3.1% | +6.3% | +7.0% |
| 2012-07-26 | beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +16.1% | +0.4% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
| 2012-04-18 | beat | 0.11 | 0.11 | +4.2% | -0.8% | -3.3% | -3.5% |
| 2012-02-23 | beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +20.4% | +0.0% | -0.2% | -5.1% |
Not investment advice.
Continue with Google