MDModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
-0.2%
Next 1 month
+1.4%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): -1.3% median,
36% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 45
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.75 +1.8% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.4%
$1M/day volume
41% volatility
-26% 1-year
52-week range · 19% of the way up · -32% from the high
$11.80$19.70
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, before open, in 10 days) · EPS est. -0.73.
1-day std dev
5.3%
Finished up
30%
Biggest pop
+15.2%
Biggest drop
-14.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 50 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | beat | -0.77 | -0.57 | +26.0% | +1.1% | -2.7% | -5.7% |
| 2026-05-27 | beat | -0.66 | -0.23 | +65.3% | -5.3% | -14.1% | -17.7% |
| 2026-03-05 | beat | -0.61 | -0.56 | +8.5% | -2.1% | -0.9% | -5.8% |
| 2025-11-20 | beat | -0.83 | -0.24 | +71.0% | -2.0% | -5.6% | +0.3% |
| 2025-08-14 | miss | -0.57 | -1.23 | -116.5% | -0.8% | -1.0% | -7.3% |
| 2025-05-21 | beat | -0.66 | -0.07 | +89.4% | -2.7% | -4.7% | +2.3% |
| 2025-03-19 | beat | -0.61 | -0.36 | +40.7% | -1.7% | -5.1% | -14.2% |
| 2024-11-26 | miss | -0.44 | -0.98 | -121.0% | -1.6% | -2.5% | +4.0% |
| 2024-08-14 | miss | -0.42 | -0.68 | -60.6% | -5.4% | -4.1% | +2.9% |
| 2024-05-29 | miss | -0.41 | -1.05 | -158.2% | -3.5% | -10.0% | -4.4% |
| 2024-03-21 | beat | -0.21 | -0.19 | +9.5% | -0.8% | +2.1% | -8.8% |
| 2023-11-21 | beat | -0.39 | -0.24 | +38.5% | -0.6% | -1.9% | +2.8% |
| 2023-08-15 | beat | -0.34 | 0.10 | +129.0% | +4.7% | -1.5% | -2.0% |
| 2023-05-30 | miss | -0.43 | -0.44 | -2.3% | -2.1% | -7.5% | -0.2% |
| 2023-03-16 | miss | -0.55 | -1.18 | -116.5% | -7.6% | -4.6% | +2.7% |
| 2022-11-15 | miss | -0.68 | -0.91 | -33.3% | +13.8% | +15.2% | +8.3% |
| 2022-08-09 | miss | -0.68 | -0.91 | -34.5% | -2.8% | -1.7% | +24.4% |
| 2022-05-17 | miss | -0.76 | -0.84 | -11.1% | -3.2% | -6.3% | -8.5% |
| 2022-03-17 | -1.05 | -1.05 | — | -2.6% | -0.5% | +2.1% | |
| 2021-11-16 | beat | -0.90 | -0.84 | +6.5% | +0.6% | -7.4% | -21.2% |
| 2021-08-10 | miss | -0.78 | -0.84 | -7.5% | -4.2% | -0.8% | -11.0% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | -0.81 | -0.70 | +13.8% | +1.7% | -9.6% | -15.0% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | -0.77 | -0.42 | +45.5% | +2.7% | -5.5% | -7.3% |
| 2020-11-10 | beat | -0.67 | -0.49 | +27.1% | -3.4% | +0.0% | -0.8% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | -0.84 | -0.77 | +8.3% | -2.9% | +0.5% | -16.0% |
| 2020-05-20 | beat | -1.00 | -0.63 | +36.8% | +7.1% | +0.9% | +2.0% |
| 2020-02-25 | miss | -0.73 | -0.91 | -25.0% | -2.4% | -7.5% | -4.5% |
| 2019-11-14 | beat | -0.91 | -0.77 | +15.4% | +1.4% | +7.7% | +4.6% |
| 2019-08-12 | beat | -0.18 | 3.29 | +1907.7% | +3.2% | -3.2% | -10.2% |
| 2019-05-21 | miss | -0.98 | -1.05 | -7.1% | -1.4% | -3.7% | -11.3% |
| 2019-03-25 | beat | -1.06 | 1.54 | +244.7% | +7.5% | -2.3% | -5.6% |
| 2018-11-13 | beat | -1.37 | -0.77 | +43.9% | +5.1% | +0.5% | +0.7% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | -1.37 | -1.05 | +23.5% | +1.6% | +0.0% | +4.8% |
| 2018-05-10 | miss | -0.94 | -1.19 | -25.9% | +3.6% | +2.8% | +17.1% |
| 2018-03-19 | beat | -1.24 | -0.56 | +54.9% | +7.2% | +12.7% | +26.5% |
| 2017-11-16 | beat | -1.33 | -1.12 | +15.8% | +1.1% | +5.7% | +16.1% |
| 2017-08-03 | miss | -1.37 | -1.40 | -2.0% | +0.0% | -5.8% | -10.1% |
| 2017-05-08 | miss | -1.18 | -1.40 | -19.1% | -1.7% | +1.7% | +9.2% |
| 2017-02-21 | beat | -1.74 | -0.63 | +63.7% | +6.5% | -0.8% | -4.0% |
| 2016-11-14 | miss | -1.80 | -1.82 | -1.0% | +0.0% | -6.9% | -6.9% |
| 2016-07-28 | miss | -1.67 | -2.38 | -42.7% | -0.1% | +0.1% | -4.4% |
| 2016-04-21 | beat | -1.69 | -1.19 | +29.5% | +7.9% | +0.1% | +4.2% |
| 2016-01-25 | miss | -1.63 | -2.52 | -54.5% | +7.4% | -3.9% | -11.0% |
| 2015-10-27 | beat | -2.16 | -1.19 | +44.8% | -0.9% | +2.4% | +4.3% |
| 2015-08-03 | beat | -1.85 | -1.33 | +28.2% | +4.8% | +1.3% | +7.9% |
| 2015-05-04 | miss | -1.76 | -1.96 | -11.1% | +5.5% | -4.0% | -5.0% |
| 2015-02-12 | miss | -1.79 | -2.29 | -27.7% | -2.5% | -10.5% | -4.4% |
| 2014-11-05 | miss | -1.64 | -1.68 | -2.6% | -3.8% | -4.8% | +10.4% |
| 2014-07-31 | miss | -1.37 | -1.96 | -43.4% | -1.6% | -4.9% | -9.3% |
| 2014-05-02 | beat | -1.17 | -0.35 | +70.1% | -0.8% | +4.1% | +6.7% |
Not investment advice.
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