MED

Medifast Inc $12.15 as of 2026-10-30
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.2%
Next 1 week
+2.2%
Next 1 month
+1.9%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): -3.0% median, 41% of the last 32 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 26
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +1.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 1.09 +2.7% · Seasonal tilt -0.8%
$2M/day volume 53% volatility -0% 1-year
52-week range · 69% of the way up · -10% from the high
$9.22$13.45

Congressional trades in MED Full tracker →

1 member · 1 buys / 1 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing Apr 27, 2020.

BUY DS Donna Shalala · traded Apr 30, 2019 $1K–$15K
SELL DS Donna Shalala · traded Jun 24, 2019 $1K–$15K

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2027-02-18 (Thursday, before open, in 110 days) · EPS est. 0.01.

1-day std dev
12.4%
Finished up
40%
Biggest pop
+34.3%
Biggest drop
-28.7%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-10-26 beat -0.35 -0.19 +45.7% +9.5% +2.0% —
2026-08-03 beat -0.65 -0.28 +56.9% +23.5% +34.3% +19.6%
2026-05-04 beat -0.52 -0.19 +63.5% -5.9% +22.5% +18.3%
2026-02-17 miss -0.82 -1.65 -101.2% -2.8% -0.8% -1.4%
2025-11-03 beat -0.36 -0.21 +41.7% -3.5% +0.8% -1.9%
2025-08-04 beat -0.19 0.22 +215.8% +0.0% -3.3% -2.4%
2025-04-28 beat -0.25 -0.07 +72.0% -4.4% -0.6% +3.4%
2025-02-18 beat -0.16 0.10 +162.5% -2.0% -11.4% -11.1%
2024-11-04 beat -0.19 0.35 +284.2% +10.6% +8.5% +3.2%
2024-08-05 beat 0.39 0.92 +135.9% -6.5% -2.8% -8.5%
2024-04-29 miss 0.80 0.66 -17.5% -25.1% -22.5% -28.2%
2024-02-20 beat 0.96 1.09 +13.5% -9.1% -17.5% -17.1%
2023-11-06 beat 1.07 2.12 +99.1% -2.2% -2.5% -5.8%
2023-08-07 beat 1.44 2.77 +92.4% +4.1% -6.9% -6.8%
2023-05-01 beat 2.40 3.67 +52.9% -6.4% -2.7% -3.4%
2023-02-21 beat 2.22 3.70 +66.7% -4.1% -2.4% +4.7%
2022-11-03 beat 1.91 3.32 +73.8% -6.8% +4.1% +10.6%
2022-08-03 beat 3.23 3.87 +19.7% -12.3% -13.7% -23.1%
2022-05-02 beat 3.57 3.59 +0.6% +5.1% +7.7% +0.9%
2022-02-23 beat 2.65 2.91 +9.7% -3.7% -2.0% +7.1%
2021-11-04 beat 2.92 3.56 +21.9% -1.5% +2.9% +5.2%
2021-08-04 beat 3.30 3.96 +20.0% +2.8% -9.4% -17.8%
2021-05-04 beat 2.72 3.46 +27.2% +10.6% +12.1% +21.9%
2021-02-25 miss 2.36 2.35 -0.6% -1.7% -0.7% -4.5%
2020-11-02 beat 2.49 2.91 +17.0% +13.7% +8.5% +11.5%
2020-08-05 beat 1.84 1.96 +6.3% -2.7% -10.0% -9.4%
2020-05-05 beat 1.32 1.93 +46.8% +10.0% +15.6% +18.9%
2020-02-26 beat 1.08 1.66 +53.7% -14.2% -9.2% -15.7%
2019-11-07 miss 1.33 1.32 -1.0% -34.3% -27.1% -24.3%
2019-08-01 beat 1.72 1.75 +1.7% +0.2% -7.2% -6.0%
2019-05-01 beat 1.53 1.70 +11.1% -0.4% -5.0% -5.5%
2019-02-26 beat 1.20 1.30 +8.8% +7.0% -2.3% -1.3%
2018-11-06 1.14 1.14 — -18.6% -28.7% -27.2%
2018-08-02 beat 0.98 1.16 +18.4% +19.7% +21.8% +17.0%
2018-05-03 beat 0.86 1.01 +17.4% +14.4% +22.3% +28.4%
2018-03-06 beat 0.48 0.60 +25.0% +18.3% +30.9% +33.6%
2017-11-07 beat 0.51 0.55 +7.8% +5.3% +14.8% +9.2%
2017-08-08 beat 0.52 0.63 +21.1% +0.0% +13.1% +16.8%
2017-05-04 beat 0.47 0.51 +9.7% -0.9% +2.4% +0.7%
2017-03-09 beat 0.33 0.34 +4.6% -7.0% -2.7% +0.5%
2016-11-03 beat 0.45 0.51 +13.3% -8.3% -4.6% -3.9%
2016-08-03 beat 0.51 0.63 +24.8% -0.1% -1.0% +0.8%
2016-05-04 beat 0.33 0.42 +29.2% +7.0% +0.6% +9.1%
2016-03-10 miss 0.35 0.33 -5.7% -7.8% -5.6% -6.3%
2015-11-05 beat 0.42 0.45 +7.1% -0.2% +3.0% -2.5%
2015-08-05 beat 0.48 0.50 +4.2% -2.8% -9.6% -8.0%
2015-05-07 beat 0.35 0.46 +31.4% +4.9% +2.7% +5.5%
2015-03-12 miss 0.41 0.38 -7.3% -6.9% -4.8% -0.1%
2014-11-05 beat 0.36 0.47 +29.7% +3.9% +9.0% -1.0%
2014-08-07 beat 0.39 0.44 +12.8% -0.7% -9.8% -6.5%
2014-05-05 beat 0.37 0.45 +22.7% -7.8% -7.1% -4.7%
2014-03-10 beat 0.37 0.39 +6.8% +0.2% +8.1% +18.5%
2013-11-05 miss 0.42 0.41 -3.0% -4.4% -2.0% +4.4%
2013-08-06 beat 0.51 0.51 +0.7% -1.1% -3.7% -5.2%
2013-05-08 beat 0.34 0.43 +25.0% +0.0% -5.7% -0.9%
2013-03-07 beat 0.25 0.28 +12.9% -9.8% -5.9% -2.1%
2012-11-05 beat 0.40 0.52 +30.0% +5.4% +8.5% +10.3%
2012-07-26 beat 0.38 0.47 +25.3% +8.4% +26.5% +34.1%
2012-05-08 miss 0.38 0.32 -14.7% -12.9% -6.5% +2.5%
2012-03-13 miss 0.21 0.10 -51.2% -6.7% -1.3% -0.5%

Not investment advice.