MEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+5.2%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +0.6% median,
56% of the last 43 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 49
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.60 +6.3% · Seasonal tilt -1.0%
$10M/day volume
101% volatility
+115% 1-year
-71% from ATH
52-week range · 63% of the way up · -28% from the high
$4.88$20.38
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-12-02 (Wednesday, after close, in 30 days) · EPS est. -0.18.
1-day std dev
15.5%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+45.8%
Biggest drop
-31.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | -0.20 | — | — | -16.6% | -15.4% | -19.1% | |
| 2026-06-24 | miss | -0.21 | -0.30 | -42.9% | +17.0% | +37.5% | +16.9% |
| 2026-03-05 | miss | -0.20 | -0.37 | -85.0% | -7.5% | -11.8% | -32.1% |
| 2025-12-03 | beat | -0.19 | -0.19 | +2.6% | -9.2% | -10.9% | -16.3% |
| 2025-09-09 | beat | -0.25 | -0.22 | +12.0% | +15.0% | +12.2% | +9.3% |
| 2025-07-09 | miss | 0.03 | -0.77 | -2666.7% | -21.3% | -25.2% | -34.4% |
| 2025-03-05 | miss | -0.07 | -0.21 | -180.0% | -24.9% | -28.9% | -37.5% |
| 2024-12-05 | beat | -0.16 | 0.14 | +187.5% | +30.9% | +20.8% | +13.0% |
| 2024-09-05 | miss | -0.30 | -0.31 | -2.2% | +2.0% | +2.8% | -0.4% |
| 2024-07-11 | miss | -0.20 | -0.23 | -13.6% | +16.5% | +45.8% | +44.5% |
| 2024-03-07 | miss | 0.08 | -0.33 | -496.0% | -17.1% | -31.1% | -40.5% |
| 2023-12-07 | miss | 0.13 | 0.06 | -52.0% | -10.3% | -9.3% | -7.3% |
| 2023-09-07 | miss | 0.23 | 0.06 | -73.9% | -9.6% | -22.2% | -23.9% |
| 2023-06-22 | miss | 0.38 | 0.21 | -44.7% | -2.5% | -9.3% | -11.3% |
| 2023-03-09 | miss | 0.70 | 0.54 | -22.3% | -9.6% | -8.2% | -12.1% |
| 2022-12-01 | beat | 0.63 | 0.75 | +18.4% | +1.8% | +7.2% | +2.3% |
| 2022-09-01 | beat | 0.56 | 0.58 | +3.6% | +1.7% | -2.7% | -1.4% |
| 2022-06-23 | beat | 0.43 | 0.43 | +1.2% | +0.4% | -2.8% | -2.7% |
| 2022-03-03 | beat | 0.72 | 0.79 | +9.7% | +2.3% | -3.4% | -5.5% |
| 2021-12-02 | beat | 0.69 | 0.72 | +4.3% | -6.3% | -1.6% | -2.9% |
| 2021-09-02 | beat | 0.74 | 0.76 | +2.7% | -1.4% | -7.6% | -7.3% |
| 2021-06-24 | beat | 0.71 | 0.81 | +14.9% | +0.4% | +3.2% | +5.0% |
| 2021-03-04 | beat | 0.79 | 0.83 | +5.1% | +0.1% | +0.7% | +11.9% |
| 2020-12-03 | beat | 0.80 | 1.03 | +28.8% | +4.7% | +0.9% | +5.6% |
| 2020-09-02 | beat | 0.26 | 0.41 | +58.2% | +5.2% | -4.0% | -6.9% |
| 2020-06-30 | miss | 0.75 | 0.67 | -10.7% | -1.4% | -0.1% | -9.4% |
| 2020-03-05 | beat | 0.94 | 1.05 | +12.3% | +2.9% | +2.1% | -13.9% |
| 2019-12-05 | miss | 0.86 | 0.64 | -25.1% | -2.1% | +6.2% | +13.9% |
| 2019-08-29 | beat | 0.71 | 0.75 | +5.6% | +5.3% | +13.3% | +20.2% |
| 2019-06-20 | miss | 0.73 | 0.62 | -15.1% | -8.8% | +1.0% | +4.4% |
| 2019-03-07 | beat | 0.61 | 0.83 | +37.2% | +10.8% | +6.3% | +8.5% |
| 2018-12-06 | beat | 0.67 | 0.75 | +12.8% | -3.1% | -19.8% | -25.1% |
| 2018-08-30 | beat | 0.60 | 0.63 | +4.4% | +0.1% | -2.6% | -3.9% |
| 2018-06-21 | beat | 0.74 | 0.98 | +33.0% | -7.3% | -7.6% | -11.2% |
| 2018-03-01 | beat | 0.63 | 0.87 | +38.1% | +0.8% | -4.9% | +3.2% |
| 2017-12-07 | beat | 0.63 | 0.64 | +1.6% | -1.1% | -9.0% | -14.0% |
| 2017-08-31 | beat | 0.45 | 0.55 | +21.3% | +4.4% | +3.4% | -5.2% |
| 2017-06-22 | beat | 0.64 | 0.70 | +8.8% | -4.5% | +3.8% | +5.8% |
| 2017-03-02 | beat | 0.53 | 0.63 | +20.0% | +0.2% | +2.2% | -1.3% |
| 2016-12-08 | beat | 0.55 | 0.66 | +19.5% | +6.8% | +9.1% | +9.6% |
| 2016-09-01 | beat | 0.53 | 0.57 | +8.6% | -1.6% | -7.1% | -6.3% |
| 2016-06-23 | beat | 0.52 | 0.60 | +14.8% | -3.3% | +6.1% | +13.6% |
| 2016-03-03 | beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +5.3% | -4.2% | -1.9% | -4.0% |
| 2015-12-10 | beat | 0.53 | 0.54 | +2.9% | -12.3% | -10.3% | -6.5% |
| 2015-09-03 | beat | 0.54 | 0.60 | +11.1% | +10.5% | +19.8% | +18.0% |
| 2015-06-25 | miss | 0.68 | 0.51 | -24.4% | -26.2% | -27.1% | -36.4% |
| 2015-03-05 | beat | 0.49 | 0.68 | +38.1% | +4.3% | +6.9% | +11.4% |
| 2014-12-11 | beat | 0.54 | 0.66 | +21.5% | +0.3% | -14.3% | -15.7% |
| 2014-09-04 | beat | 0.40 | 0.55 | +38.6% | +13.8% | +15.9% | +19.2% |
| 2014-06-26 | miss | 0.50 | 0.49 | -2.0% | +7.1% | +14.1% | +16.7% |
| 2014-03-13 | miss | 0.40 | 0.38 | -5.0% | -12.4% | -12.3% | -9.5% |
| 2013-12-05 | beat | 0.35 | 0.51 | +45.7% | +26.2% | +43.1% | +36.6% |
| 2013-08-29 | beat | 0.20 | 0.36 | +80.0% | +29.2% | +32.5% | +46.9% |
| 2013-06-20 | beat | 0.16 | 0.24 | +54.8% | +6.6% | +1.5% | +16.9% |
| 2013-02-28 | beat | 0.02 | 0.09 | +350.0% | +0.2% | +2.8% | +6.7% |
| 2012-12-06 | beat | 0.12 | 0.62 | +416.7% | -7.0% | -3.2% | -6.0% |
| 2012-08-30 | beat | 0.01 | 0.10 | +900.0% | +10.8% | +4.8% | +8.5% |
| 2012-06-28 | beat | 0.07 | 0.15 | +114.3% | +12.5% | +7.5% | +7.5% |
| 2012-03-01 | 0.02 | 0.02 | — | +6.6% | +2.3% | -2.0% | |
| 2011-12-08 | miss | 0.05 | 0.01 | -80.0% | -1.5% | -7.7% | -7.2% |
Not investment advice.
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