MEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+2.2%
Next 1 month
+3.6%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -4.0% median,
38% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 18
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.27 +3.7% · Seasonal tilt (8y) -0.1%
$17M/day volume
82% volatility
-76% 1-year
-88% from ATH
52-week range · 1% of the way up · -80% from the high
$6.79$35.20
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. -0.21.
1-day std dev
11.8%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+38.3%
Biggest drop
-20.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 38 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | beat | -0.26 | -0.25 | +3.4% | +7.6% | -4.1% | +13.2% |
| 2026-05-11 | miss | -0.20 | -0.30 | -51.1% | -5.1% | +8.8% | -10.1% |
| 2026-02-25 | miss | -0.22 | -0.26 | -19.7% | -8.0% | -15.5% | -16.2% |
| 2025-10-27 | beat | -0.30 | -0.25 | +16.1% | -14.6% | -16.9% | -21.7% |
| 2025-07-31 | miss | -0.20 | -0.29 | -47.5% | -9.1% | -6.8% | +10.8% |
| 2025-05-12 | beat | -0.22 | -0.19 | +13.6% | +6.6% | +0.1% | +1.8% |
| 2025-03-10 | beat | -0.03 | 0.06 | +325.0% | +8.9% | +38.3% | +15.1% |
| 2024-11-04 | miss | 0.04 | -0.03 | -185.7% | -1.6% | +9.5% | +16.4% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | -0.01 | 0.13 | +1400.0% | +0.3% | +2.5% | -5.3% |
| 2024-05-09 | miss | 0.39 | 0.05 | -87.0% | +0.1% | -2.6% | +0.0% |
| 2024-03-07 | miss | 0.68 | 0.61 | -11.4% | -3.5% | +8.4% | -11.8% |
| 2023-11-07 | beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +2.3% | +9.6% | +2.4% | +57.6% |
| 2023-08-08 | miss | 0.47 | 0.17 | -64.1% | -10.6% | -12.2% | -12.5% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 0.47 | 0.57 | +21.3% | +12.4% | +12.0% | +31.3% |
| 2023-03-08 | miss | 0.59 | 0.32 | -46.5% | +0.0% | -4.4% | -13.0% |
| 2022-11-07 | miss | 1.12 | 0.60 | -46.6% | -10.3% | -9.9% | -14.0% |
| 2022-08-08 | miss | 1.45 | 0.74 | -49.1% | -1.9% | -17.5% | -3.6% |
| 2022-05-11 | miss | 1.45 | 0.92 | -36.7% | -2.6% | +0.0% | +0.1% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | 0.42 | 0.42 | +1.2% | -5.7% | -13.9% | +22.0% |
| 2021-11-02 | miss | 0.33 | 0.16 | -51.5% | +0.0% | -4.2% | -24.1% |
| 2021-08-02 | beat | 0.08 | 0.23 | +200.0% | +5.1% | +18.3% | +37.8% |
| 2021-05-12 | beat | — | 0.10 | +2100.0% | +12.7% | +16.8% | +23.3% |
| 2021-02-18 | miss | -0.04 | -0.11 | -214.3% | +0.2% | +13.5% | +8.1% |
| 2020-11-03 | miss | -0.03 | -0.11 | -238.5% | -12.6% | -3.6% | -6.2% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | -0.07 | -0.05 | +31.8% | +0.0% | +8.0% | +15.6% |
| 2020-05-12 | beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +25.0% | -5.4% | -4.4% | +21.4% |
| 2020-02-20 | miss | 0.13 | 0.05 | -60.5% | +0.0% | -2.7% | -4.0% |
| 2019-11-05 | miss | 0.31 | 0.14 | -54.1% | -6.1% | -9.4% | -14.2% |
| 2019-08-13 | miss | 0.30 | 0.26 | -13.3% | -2.6% | -13.3% | +7.5% |
| 2019-05-07 | miss | 0.25 | 0.17 | -32.0% | -3.9% | -6.2% | -7.5% |
| 2019-03-19 | beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +45.5% | +7.2% | +7.1% | +0.5% |
| 2018-11-07 | miss | 0.28 | 0.15 | -46.0% | -5.4% | -11.7% | -16.9% |
| 2018-08-06 | beat | 0.18 | 0.25 | +36.4% | +12.0% | +6.1% | +9.4% |
| 2018-05-15 | miss | 0.30 | 0.13 | -55.9% | -3.6% | +2.2% | +7.9% |
| 2018-03-21 | miss | 0.06 | -0.07 | -216.7% | -7.6% | -1.3% | +0.7% |
| 2017-11-08 | miss | 0.03 | -0.16 | -633.3% | -5.0% | -20.7% | -31.5% |
| 2017-08-14 | miss | 0.03 | -0.09 | -460.0% | -4.4% | -3.1% | +9.3% |
| 2017-05-10 | miss | 0.01 | -0.03 | -400.0% | +3.2% | +4.1% | +7.5% |
Not investment advice.
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