MGModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+0.7%
Next 1 month
+1.1%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.1% median,
58% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 37
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.09 -0.2% · Seasonal tilt +1.4%
$11M/day volume
21% volatility
-14% 1-year
-33% from ATH
52-week range · 29% of the way up · -15% from the high
$68.01$86.81
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 1.16.
1-day std dev
2.0%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+7.2%
Biggest drop
-6.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 44 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 0.77 | 0.89 | +15.6% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +1.8% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | 1.13 | 1.32 | +16.8% | +0.5% | +0.1% | -7.2% |
| 2026-02-24 | 0.64 | 0.64 | — | -0.5% | -1.2% | -1.8% | |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 1.19 | 1.22 | +2.5% | -0.2% | +1.4% | +0.9% |
| 2025-08-06 | miss | 0.73 | 0.72 | -1.4% | -0.2% | -0.8% | +1.5% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 0.98 | 1.14 | +16.3% | +0.0% | -2.0% | -0.5% |
| 2025-02-25 | miss | 0.84 | 0.61 | -27.4% | -0.1% | -0.9% | -4.7% |
| 2024-11-06 | miss | 1.17 | 1.13 | -3.4% | +2.7% | +7.2% | +19.1% |
| 2024-08-07 | miss | 0.95 | 0.66 | -30.5% | +0.4% | -0.4% | +1.2% |
| 2024-05-08 | miss | 0.94 | 0.93 | -1.1% | -0.6% | +0.5% | +0.9% |
| 2024-02-21 | miss | 0.61 | 0.55 | -9.8% | -1.0% | -1.7% | -3.6% |
| 2023-11-02 | miss | 1.08 | 1.05 | -2.8% | +1.2% | +2.7% | -1.1% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | 0.72 | 0.79 | +9.7% | -0.3% | -1.5% | -3.2% |
| 2023-05-04 | miss | 1.07 | 0.86 | -19.2% | -0.4% | +0.9% | +0.2% |
| 2023-02-22 | beat | 0.54 | 0.58 | +7.4% | +0.0% | +0.9% | -1.4% |
| 2022-11-03 | miss | 1.01 | 0.93 | -7.9% | -1.1% | -1.6% | +3.5% |
| 2022-08-04 | miss | 0.63 | 0.60 | -4.8% | -0.3% | +0.5% | +1.1% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | 0.97 | 0.95 | -1.6% | -1.0% | -1.0% | +1.3% |
| 2022-02-23 | miss | 0.45 | 0.36 | -19.1% | -0.3% | -0.9% | -1.3% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 0.92 | 0.97 | +5.4% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +1.7% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +2.4% | -0.1% | +0.3% | +1.4% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 0.81 | 0.97 | +19.8% | +0.1% | +0.7% | +1.8% |
| 2021-02-24 | miss | 0.51 | 0.44 | -12.9% | -1.2% | -0.2% | -2.2% |
| 2020-11-05 | miss | 0.89 | 0.88 | -0.6% | +0.1% | -0.2% | +3.8% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | 0.48 | 0.53 | +10.4% | +0.0% | +3.3% | +2.0% |
| 2016-02-25 | miss | 0.47 | 0.32 | -31.9% | -0.9% | -6.9% | -6.6% |
| 2014-02-27 | beat | 0.34 | 0.41 | +20.6% | -0.5% | -0.5% | +0.0% |
| 2013-11-07 | beat | 0.63 | 0.70 | +11.7% | -0.3% | -1.1% | -0.6% |
| 2013-08-06 | 0.40 | 0.40 | — | -0.1% | -1.1% | -0.5% | |
| 2013-05-03 | beat | 0.57 | 0.65 | +15.3% | +0.3% | +0.2% | -1.1% |
| 2013-02-26 | miss | 0.37 | 0.31 | -16.4% | +0.4% | +1.1% | +3.0% |
| 2012-11-06 | beat | 0.59 | 0.68 | +14.6% | +0.6% | +1.9% | -4.2% |
| 2012-08-07 | beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +12.7% | +0.9% | +0.1% | +2.3% |
| 2012-05-07 | beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +6.2% | -0.1% | +0.4% | +2.1% |
| 2012-02-24 | miss | 0.35 | 0.27 | -22.6% | +0.0% | -0.5% | -6.3% |
| 2011-11-04 | miss | 0.61 | 0.61 | -1.1% | -0.9% | -1.8% | -2.6% |
| 2011-08-05 | miss | 0.37 | 0.37 | -1.8% | +0.7% | -1.6% | -2.8% |
| 2011-05-06 | beat | 0.39 | 0.51 | +32.8% | -0.1% | +2.4% | +2.5% |
| 2011-02-24 | miss | 0.43 | 0.35 | -20.0% | -0.6% | -0.7% | -1.5% |
| 2010-11-04 | beat | 0.51 | 0.57 | +13.2% | +0.5% | +1.4% | +2.1% |
| 2010-08-05 | miss | 0.34 | 0.33 | -2.0% | -1.3% | -0.5% | -4.8% |
| 2010-05-06 | miss | 0.45 | 0.41 | -7.5% | +0.0% | -1.5% | +4.5% |
| 2010-02-25 | beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +11.5% | +0.4% | -2.2% | +2.2% |
| 2009-11-05 | miss | 0.43 | 0.37 | -15.4% | -0.6% | +0.3% | -1.5% |
Not investment advice.
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