MGModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.8%
Next 1 week
-0.5%
Next 1 month
+2.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +7.4% median,
75% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 21
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.13 +2.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$3M/day volume
92% volatility
+46% 1-year
52-week range · 27% of the way up · -54% from the high
$1.29$5.08
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, after close, in 10 days) · EPS est. -0.13.
1-day std dev
35.5%
Finished up
56%
Biggest pop
+230.9%
Biggest drop
-77.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 52 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | beat | 0.26 | 1.14 | +341.4% | -5.8% | +3.4% | +0.5% |
| 2026-05-13 | miss | -0.55 | -0.58 | -5.9% | +4.6% | +20.6% | +22.9% |
| 2026-03-09 | miss | -0.02 | -0.22 | -1000.0% | +2.5% | +45.3% | +30.5% |
| 2025-11-12 | beat | -0.50 | 0.27 | +153.5% | +12.9% | +8.8% | -6.8% |
| 2025-08-14 | miss | 0.38 | -0.57 | -250.0% | -1.2% | -2.5% | +4.3% |
| 2025-05-13 | beat | -0.69 | -0.65 | +5.8% | -1.3% | +0.6% | -3.2% |
| 2025-03-20 | miss | -0.59 | -0.82 | -38.6% | -1.0% | -5.0% | -40.0% |
| 2024-11-05 | beat | 0.60 | 0.90 | +49.9% | +21.8% | +11.1% | +0.0% |
| 2024-08-06 | miss | -0.59 | -0.89 | -51.9% | -3.8% | -7.1% | -8.2% |
| 2024-05-09 | miss | -0.64 | -0.84 | -30.6% | -69.1% | -77.4% | -70.2% |
| 2024-03-07 | miss | -0.17 | -0.75 | -341.2% | -5.7% | -15.0% | -22.3% |
| 2023-11-06 | miss | -0.35 | -0.52 | -50.7% | +7.9% | +17.1% | +29.4% |
| 2023-08-09 | miss | -0.50 | -0.70 | -38.8% | +2.8% | +24.3% | -1.0% |
| 2023-05-09 | miss | 0.35 | -0.61 | -274.3% | -4.3% | +0.4% | -15.0% |
| 2023-03-15 | beat | 0.01 | 0.21 | +2300.0% | +8.0% | +10.3% | +9.6% |
| 2022-11-03 | miss | -0.36 | -0.40 | -10.2% | +7.4% | +22.3% | +39.0% |
| 2022-08-08 | beat | -0.97 | -0.67 | +31.1% | +1.1% | +12.1% | -0.9% |
| 2022-05-03 | miss | -0.85 | -1.08 | -27.4% | -15.4% | -16.9% | -47.1% |
| 2022-02-24 | miss | -0.81 | -0.95 | -17.7% | -11.2% | -7.8% | -21.4% |
| 2021-11-02 | miss | -0.71 | -0.86 | -20.3% | -4.9% | +5.8% | -0.4% |
| 2021-07-29 | miss | -0.41 | -0.66 | -61.6% | -3.1% | -4.3% | -5.9% |
| 2021-04-29 | miss | -0.63 | -0.90 | -43.6% | -4.3% | -9.2% | -10.7% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | -0.60 | -0.04 | +93.3% | +0.7% | +14.3% | +18.9% |
| 2020-11-04 | beat | -1.02 | -0.66 | +35.2% | +1.4% | -0.3% | +0.5% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | -1.00 | -0.94 | +6.2% | -5.7% | -5.0% | +2.5% |
| 2020-05-05 | beat | -1.04 | -0.91 | +12.5% | +18.4% | +230.9% | +248.7% |
| 2020-02-25 | beat | -1.16 | -0.62 | +46.4% | -0.4% | +9.3% | -22.7% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | -1.11 | -0.91 | +17.7% | -0.7% | +0.6% | +0.1% |
| 2019-07-31 | beat | -1.07 | -1.05 | +1.7% | -2.2% | +1.9% | +1.2% |
| 2019-05-01 | miss | -0.87 | -0.99 | -13.3% | -7.2% | +3.3% | +3.9% |
| 2019-02-26 | miss | -0.96 | -1.01 | -4.8% | -0.9% | +1.4% | -7.7% |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | -1.30 | -0.81 | +37.8% | +7.0% | +9.9% | +5.3% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | -1.21 | -1.03 | +14.6% | +6.3% | +5.7% | +1.2% |
| 2018-05-07 | miss | -1.10 | -1.34 | -21.7% | -5.0% | -10.3% | -4.4% |
| 2018-02-27 | beat | 2.64 | 2.96 | +12.1% | +0.5% | +4.9% | +35.7% |
| 2017-11-08 | miss | -1.04 | -1.28 | -22.9% | -5.4% | -1.5% | +1.7% |
| 2017-08-02 | miss | -1.00 | -1.14 | -14.4% | -2.3% | +9.7% | +3.4% |
| 2017-05-03 | miss | -0.91 | -1.08 | -18.8% | -4.7% | -0.8% | -12.7% |
| 2017-02-28 | miss | -0.94 | -1.00 | -6.6% | -0.7% | -6.1% | -8.0% |
| 2016-11-02 | miss | -0.83 | -0.97 | -17.0% | -1.1% | -8.4% | +28.2% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | -0.62 | 1.12 | +282.0% | -0.7% | +2.3% | -1.5% |
| 2016-05-04 | miss | -0.68 | -0.88 | -30.2% | -5.1% | -3.1% | -13.6% |
| 2016-02-29 | miss | -0.58 | -0.88 | -51.8% | -0.4% | +4.1% | +11.8% |
| 2015-11-04 | miss | -0.43 | -0.46 | -6.8% | -2.3% | -3.8% | -3.7% |
| 2015-08-05 | miss | -0.55 | -0.71 | -29.1% | +1.1% | -12.6% | -16.7% |
| 2015-05-06 | miss | 2.56 | 1.42 | -44.6% | +3.1% | +6.8% | +9.2% |
| 2015-03-03 | miss | -0.40 | -0.70 | -75.0% | -1.2% | -0.1% | +3.1% |
| 2014-11-11 | beat | -0.52 | -0.14 | +73.1% | +4.0% | +12.4% | +12.0% |
| 2014-08-05 | miss | -0.33 | -0.44 | -32.0% | -6.5% | -8.1% | +2.9% |
| 2014-05-06 | miss | 0.11 | -0.12 | -209.1% | -0.7% | -2.5% | +1.5% |
| 2014-03-20 | miss | -0.39 | -0.47 | -20.5% | +0.8% | -8.0% | -26.0% |
| 2013-11-12 | miss | 0.19 | 0.14 | -26.3% | -0.3% | +5.8% | -17.5% |
Not investment advice.
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