MGModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.2%
Next 1 month
+0.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +4.2% median,
62% of the last 37 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 81
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.16%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.01 -0.0% · Seasonal tilt +0.4%
$4M/day volume
45% volatility
-31% 1-year
-86% from ATH
52-week range · 33% of the way up · -36% from the high
$12.42$26.62
Congressional trades in MGPI Full tracker →
2 members · 3 buys / 2 sells · $5K–$75K disclosed · latest filing Nov 21, 2025.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-24 (Wednesday, before open, in 116 days) · EPS est. 0.47.
1-day std dev
10.0%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+14.9%
Biggest drop
-25.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 46 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | beat | 0.32 | 0.39 | +21.1% | +1.5% | +9.2% | — |
| 2026-07-29 | beat | 0.50 | 0.72 | +43.3% | +6.9% | +0.9% | -5.5% |
| 2026-04-29 | beat | 0.04 | 0.15 | +316.7% | -4.2% | -5.2% | -4.4% |
| 2026-02-25 | beat | 0.50 | 0.63 | +26.0% | -16.1% | -21.2% | -27.6% |
| 2025-10-29 | beat | 0.60 | 0.85 | +40.9% | +8.4% | +4.3% | +5.9% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 0.66 | 0.97 | +47.3% | +2.4% | -3.7% | -4.8% |
| 2025-05-01 | miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -3.7% | +3.0% | +4.8% | +11.7% |
| 2025-02-26 | beat | 1.50 | 1.57 | +4.4% | -3.4% | -1.1% | +2.7% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | 1.23 | 1.29 | +4.6% | +2.8% | -14.7% | -12.9% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 1.54 | 1.71 | +10.9% | +1.5% | +5.6% | +3.5% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | 0.99 | 1.07 | +8.3% | +1.5% | +5.1% | +7.1% |
| 2024-02-22 | beat | 1.35 | 1.64 | +21.1% | -1.4% | -14.9% | -7.2% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | 1.30 | 1.34 | +3.0% | +4.5% | +3.4% | +0.9% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | 1.25 | 1.49 | +19.2% | +1.8% | +7.5% | +9.3% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | 1.10 | 1.39 | +26.0% | +0.2% | +5.4% | +4.4% |
| 2023-02-23 | beat | 0.85 | 1.01 | +18.6% | +4.0% | +10.5% | +3.9% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | 0.95 | 1.06 | +11.6% | +3.2% | +5.8% | +9.9% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | 0.94 | 1.15 | +22.6% | +1.5% | +5.0% | +6.4% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | 0.96 | 1.69 | +77.0% | +3.4% | +1.0% | +0.6% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | 0.63 | 0.87 | +37.4% | -3.4% | +3.9% | +6.4% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.40 | 1.09 | +172.5% | +4.6% | +12.4% | +3.8% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.59 | 1.27 | +115.2% | +8.4% | +11.3% | +8.7% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.57 | 1.01 | +76.2% | -0.1% | +0.5% | +2.1% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | 0.62 | 0.75 | +21.5% | +1.5% | -4.4% | -11.5% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.55 | 0.61 | +11.4% | -1.2% | +6.9% | -1.0% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 0.48 | 0.54 | +12.5% | -3.5% | -5.9% | -9.2% |
| 2020-04-30 | beat | 0.35 | 0.61 | +74.3% | +6.3% | -8.0% | -10.5% |
| 2020-02-26 | beat | 0.71 | 0.76 | +7.0% | +3.5% | -10.6% | -6.8% |
| 2019-10-31 | miss | 0.65 | 0.48 | -25.6% | -7.2% | -11.5% | -7.2% |
| 2019-07-31 | miss | 0.52 | 0.46 | -11.5% | -9.1% | -25.5% | -23.3% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 0.50 | 0.57 | +14.0% | -14.6% | -22.9% | -22.2% |
| 2019-02-27 | beat | 0.56 | 0.69 | +23.2% | +28.5% | +2.9% | +4.5% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +3.0% | +4.3% | -0.8% | -3.4% |
| 2018-08-02 | miss | 0.47 | 0.44 | -5.4% | -7.0% | -10.9% | -7.1% |
| 2018-05-02 | miss | 0.53 | 0.52 | -1.4% | -3.2% | -9.2% | -3.5% |
| 2018-03-01 | miss | 0.47 | 0.44 | -5.9% | +4.0% | -8.8% | -6.3% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | 0.40 | 0.82 | +105.0% | +6.4% | +11.2% | +20.3% |
| 2017-08-03 | miss | 0.42 | 0.37 | -10.8% | -3.1% | +2.7% | +3.1% |
| 2017-05-04 | beat | 0.44 | 0.50 | +13.6% | +0.9% | +9.2% | +3.8% |
| 2017-03-08 | beat | 0.39 | 0.48 | +24.7% | +5.3% | +10.0% | +19.7% |
| 2016-11-02 | beat | 0.31 | 0.55 | +80.3% | +2.5% | +14.9% | +20.3% |
| 2016-08-03 | miss | 0.40 | 0.37 | -6.3% | -10.1% | -18.2% | -19.1% |
| 2011-05-10 | miss | 0.06 | 0.04 | -27.3% | -0.5% | +7.0% | +0.6% |
| 2011-02-09 | miss | 0.25 | 0.20 | -20.4% | -2.3% | -5.9% | -6.3% |
| 2010-08-23 | miss | 0.17 | 0.14 | -17.6% | +0.8% | +1.8% | -0.6% |
| 2010-05-11 | miss | 0.15 | -0.14 | -193.3% | -2.3% | -5.3% | -19.6% |
Not investment advice.
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