MIModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-1.1%
Next 1 week
+0.2%
Next 1 month
+3.5%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): -8.4% median,
39% of the last 36 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 70
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.69%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.62 +4.2% · Seasonal tilt -0.7%
$10M/day volume
56% volatility
+95% 1-year
-20% from ATH
52-week range · 81% of the way up · -11% from the high
$8.53$21.05
Congressional trades in MITK Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 1 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing Dec 17, 2021.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-12-10 (Thursday, after close, in 42 days) · EPS est. 0.16.
1-day std dev
13.0%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+24.7%
Biggest drop
-56.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | 0.28 | 0.34 | +23.2% | +22.0% | +10.0% | +15.6% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +7.0% | -3.9% | +1.6% | -7.2% |
| 2026-02-05 | beat | 0.18 | 0.26 | +42.9% | +12.0% | +20.5% | +36.5% |
| 2025-12-11 | beat | 0.18 | 0.24 | +33.3% | +18.9% | +8.9% | +13.3% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +16.8% | +0.7% | +8.9% | +9.9% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | 0.26 | 0.36 | +39.4% | +29.3% | +10.6% | +10.9% |
| 2025-02-10 | beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +3.5% | -6.0% | -7.8% | -14.2% |
| 2024-12-16 | beat | 0.17 | 0.33 | +92.2% | +20.3% | +15.2% | +20.7% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | 0.26 | 0.25 | -3.9% | -34.4% | -25.4% | -22.7% |
| 2024-05-10 | miss | 0.27 | 0.24 | -11.1% | +1.6% | +6.1% | -3.2% |
| 2024-04-15 | miss | 0.18 | 0.14 | -23.3% | -7.3% | -9.7% | -12.7% |
| 2023-12-07 | beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +30.0% | -0.2% | +1.6% | +19.9% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 0.16 | 0.20 | +25.0% | -0.5% | +3.4% | +6.8% |
| 2023-09-14 | beat | 0.22 | 0.29 | +33.3% | +4.2% | -8.2% | -17.6% |
| 2023-09-05 | beat | 0.20 | 0.31 | +56.6% | +19.7% | +14.2% | +12.7% |
| 2023-06-29 | beat | 0.18 | 0.22 | +18.2% | -0.8% | -0.1% | +1.8% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +12.8% | +15.3% | +20.6% | +22.0% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 0.20 | 0.24 | +21.2% | -0.6% | -14.1% | -20.8% |
| 2022-01-27 | beat | 0.16 | 0.22 | +37.5% | +8.8% | +10.8% | +4.5% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +17.0% | -5.6% | -6.5% | -10.8% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 0.16 | 0.23 | +43.8% | +3.5% | +13.3% | +9.0% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +14.3% | -2.2% | -1.8% | -3.1% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | 0.12 | 0.14 | +14.8% | -2.3% | -7.6% | -9.8% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.14 | 0.26 | +89.1% | +0.6% | +2.4% | -9.4% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 0.10 | 0.16 | +60.0% | +0.4% | -5.1% | +4.4% |
| 2020-04-30 | beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +32.6% | -3.4% | -6.2% | -1.3% |
| 2020-01-30 | beat | 0.07 | 0.12 | +71.4% | +4.1% | +4.4% | -4.3% |
| 2019-11-07 | beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +16.7% | -0.5% | -17.3% | -26.6% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +7.1% | -0.6% | -6.7% | -9.4% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +13.5% | -14.7% | -8.9% | -11.8% |
| 2019-01-29 | miss | 0.04 | 0.03 | -25.0% | -4.2% | -1.7% | +2.7% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 0.09 | 0.14 | +52.7% | +4.5% | +3.1% | -0.9% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 0.03 | 0.06 | +76.5% | -7.2% | -16.0% | -13.9% |
| 2018-05-01 | beat | 0.04 | 0.06 | +44.0% | +0.0% | +13.2% | +11.9% |
| 2018-01-25 | beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +87.5% | +0.0% | -6.2% | -17.5% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +27.9% | +11.8% | +17.6% | +1.2% |
| 2017-07-27 | 0.08 | 0.08 | — | -0.5% | +1.5% | -0.5% | |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +37.9% | +3.1% | +8.0% | +4.3% |
| 2017-02-02 | beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +63.7% | +0.0% | -6.2% | -10.9% |
| 2016-11-03 | beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +16.7% | -4.7% | -5.4% | -5.4% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 0.04 | 0.07 | +59.1% | +5.3% | +1.0% | -9.0% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | 0.04 | 0.07 | +75.0% | +5.1% | +17.0% | +28.3% |
| 2016-01-28 | beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +128.6% | +1.9% | -10.2% | -0.6% |
| 2015-11-05 | beat | 0.03 | 0.09 | +200.0% | +13.7% | +14.8% | +18.6% |
| 2015-07-23 | beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +110.0% | +6.0% | -2.1% | -5.7% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | 0.03 | 0.05 | +87.5% | -0.9% | -1.8% | -8.0% |
| 2015-01-29 | — | 0.05 | — | +3.4% | -10.9% | -16.1% | |
| 2014-11-06 | beat | -0.01 | 0.06 | +550.1% | +25.8% | +7.6% | +32.7% |
| 2014-07-24 | beat | -0.04 | -0.02 | +46.9% | +0.9% | +3.1% | -3.5% |
| 2014-05-01 | miss | -0.03 | -0.04 | -20.0% | +5.2% | -6.7% | +1.8% |
| 2014-02-06 | beat | -0.05 | -0.02 | +60.0% | +5.6% | -3.7% | -4.5% |
| 2013-11-07 | beat | -0.06 | -0.02 | +64.7% | +10.0% | +4.1% | +15.7% |
| 2013-07-25 | beat | -0.06 | -0.05 | +23.1% | +5.7% | +10.9% | +11.5% |
| 2013-05-07 | miss | -0.04 | -0.06 | -71.4% | +4.0% | -9.0% | -6.6% |
| 2013-01-31 | beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +20.0% | +12.7% | +10.7% | +25.4% |
| 2012-11-07 | miss | -0.04 | -0.09 | -125.0% | -29.5% | -11.0% | -31.0% |
| 2012-07-24 | miss | -0.02 | -0.05 | -122.2% | +6.5% | +24.7% | +31.5% |
| 2012-05-02 | miss | 0.02 | -0.11 | -650.0% | -47.8% | -56.2% | -50.7% |
| 2012-02-07 | — | — | — | +8.5% | +18.3% | +24.8% | |
| 2011-11-14 | miss | 0.01 | -0.01 | -200.0% | -13.6% | -2.2% | -14.7% |
Not investment advice.
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