MMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.2%
Next 1 month
+1.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +5.1% median,
71% of the last 28 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 96
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.09%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.20 +0.5% · Seasonal tilt +0.7%
$38M/day volume
36% volatility
-20% 1-year
-34% from ATH
52-week range · 32% of the way up · -34% from the high
$51.04$100.00
Congressional trades in MMS Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 1 sells · $100K–$250K disclosed · latest filing Feb 2, 2019.
| SELL | $100K–$250K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-20 (Friday, before open, in 19 days) · EPS est. 1.85.
1-day std dev
6.8%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+19.6%
Biggest drop
-21.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | 2.21 | 2.22 | +0.7% | -8.3% | -7.6% | -11.2% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 1.97 | 2.07 | +5.3% | -0.6% | +4.2% | -6.3% |
| 2026-02-05 | beat | 1.82 | 1.85 | +1.6% | -2.8% | -16.5% | -21.3% |
| 2025-11-20 | miss | 1.67 | 1.62 | -3.0% | +1.9% | +5.5% | +10.7% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | 1.54 | 2.16 | +40.7% | +6.1% | +4.6% | +12.8% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | 1.38 | 2.01 | +45.6% | +5.0% | +12.8% | +12.2% |
| 2025-02-06 | beat | 1.37 | 1.61 | +17.5% | +2.4% | -7.7% | -11.1% |
| 2024-11-20 | miss | 1.48 | 1.46 | -1.4% | -6.2% | -6.9% | -7.5% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | 1.52 | 1.74 | +14.7% | +3.6% | -0.2% | +1.4% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | 1.30 | 1.57 | +20.5% | +4.2% | -0.5% | +3.6% |
| 2024-02-07 | beat | 1.28 | 1.34 | +4.7% | +3.2% | +1.1% | +8.7% |
| 2023-11-15 | miss | 1.32 | 1.29 | -2.5% | -0.2% | +5.0% | +6.3% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 1.02 | 1.04 | +2.0% | -0.9% | -4.1% | -3.6% |
| 2023-05-03 | miss | 0.83 | 0.80 | -3.6% | -3.6% | -5.1% | -3.7% |
| 2023-02-08 | beat | 0.76 | 0.94 | +23.7% | +5.8% | +9.3% | +11.6% |
| 2022-11-21 | beat | 0.97 | 1.40 | +44.3% | +8.9% | +16.2% | +16.1% |
| 2022-08-03 | miss | 0.71 | 0.51 | -28.2% | -1.3% | -3.0% | -3.6% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 0.72 | 0.80 | +11.9% | -3.9% | -7.3% | -12.7% |
| 2022-02-03 | beat | 0.80 | 0.85 | +6.9% | -1.4% | -2.7% | -4.0% |
| 2021-11-18 | miss | 0.87 | 0.83 | -4.9% | +1.6% | -4.8% | -7.7% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | 1.09 | 1.51 | +38.9% | -0.8% | -1.7% | -4.9% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 0.82 | 1.29 | +56.5% | +0.5% | +0.4% | -4.0% |
| 2021-02-04 | beat | 0.90 | 1.03 | +14.2% | +0.9% | +6.6% | +10.8% |
| 2020-11-19 | beat | 0.90 | 1.02 | +13.3% | -0.5% | +0.5% | +1.0% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | 0.78 | 1.04 | +32.8% | +3.0% | +0.2% | +0.2% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | 0.66 | 0.43 | -34.4% | -7.1% | +1.0% | -2.1% |
| 2020-02-06 | beat | 0.91 | 0.91 | +0.5% | +1.0% | -0.1% | -0.4% |
| 2019-11-19 | miss | 0.94 | 0.93 | -1.4% | -1.0% | -1.7% | -2.4% |
| 2019-08-08 | beat | 0.93 | 0.97 | +4.1% | +8.4% | +12.9% | +7.8% |
| 2019-05-09 | beat | 0.91 | 0.96 | +5.9% | -1.0% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
| 2019-02-07 | beat | 0.81 | 0.86 | +6.7% | +0.6% | -1.6% | +0.1% |
| 2018-11-20 | miss | 0.72 | 0.72 | -0.1% | -5.6% | -0.7% | +8.8% |
| 2018-08-09 | beat | 0.82 | 0.91 | +10.7% | +0.7% | -4.3% | -2.4% |
| 2018-05-10 | beat | 0.86 | 0.87 | +1.4% | -4.2% | -7.9% | -8.6% |
| 2018-02-08 | beat | 0.75 | 0.78 | +3.5% | +2.2% | -1.9% | +2.0% |
| 2017-11-09 | beat | 0.77 | 0.81 | +4.6% | -1.4% | -3.8% | -0.8% |
| 2017-08-03 | beat | 0.77 | 0.85 | +11.3% | +1.6% | +2.1% | +0.9% |
| 2017-05-04 | beat | 0.79 | 0.80 | +1.1% | +5.5% | +2.8% | +6.3% |
| 2017-02-09 | beat | 0.64 | 0.73 | +13.3% | -3.1% | +1.9% | +7.8% |
| 2016-11-10 | beat | 0.72 | 0.76 | +6.4% | +5.2% | +8.6% | +21.7% |
| 2016-08-04 | beat | 0.70 | 0.75 | +6.6% | +2.6% | -1.0% | +3.0% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | 0.62 | 0.74 | +19.1% | +0.3% | +1.4% | +4.1% |
| 2016-02-04 | miss | 0.47 | 0.40 | -13.9% | -1.2% | -3.9% | -11.3% |
| 2015-11-12 | beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +1.8% | -15.5% | -21.9% | -24.5% |
| 2015-08-06 | beat | 0.64 | 0.64 | +0.2% | -1.9% | -6.4% | -12.2% |
| 2015-05-07 | beat | 0.54 | 0.60 | +11.1% | +0.6% | +4.1% | +2.5% |
| 2015-02-05 | beat | 0.56 | 0.63 | +12.5% | +1.7% | +3.9% | +2.7% |
| 2014-11-13 | beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +2.4% | +2.1% | -0.2% | +2.5% |
| 2014-08-07 | miss | 0.49 | 0.49 | -0.8% | +1.0% | -7.4% | -5.1% |
| 2014-05-08 | beat | 0.56 | 0.59 | +5.6% | +0.4% | +4.4% | +2.6% |
| 2014-02-06 | beat | 0.42 | 0.48 | +15.1% | +9.0% | +19.6% | +13.2% |
| 2013-11-15 | beat | 0.50 | 0.52 | +3.9% | +0.9% | -5.1% | -2.5% |
| 2013-08-08 | beat | 0.41 | 0.41 | +0.1% | +0.3% | -0.3% | +2.4% |
| 2013-05-09 | beat | 0.36 | 0.36 | +1.3% | -0.4% | -0.8% | -0.7% |
| 2013-02-07 | beat | 0.28 | 0.32 | +12.0% | +3.6% | +4.1% | +5.5% |
| 2012-11-15 | beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +7.2% | +0.2% | +3.0% | +10.1% |
| 2012-08-07 | beat | 0.28 | 0.31 | +10.8% | +1.1% | +5.2% | +4.3% |
| 2012-05-03 | beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +5.7% | +0.9% | +4.2% | +6.2% |
| 2012-02-02 | miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -3.5% | -1.1% | -2.5% | -2.9% |
| 2011-11-10 | beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +6.3% | +4.5% | +2.7% | +0.2% |
Not investment advice.
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