MNModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.1%
Next 1 week
+1.2%
Next 1 month
+1.8%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -2.9% median,
48% of the last 21 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 100
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.57%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.97 +2.3% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$11M/day volume
71% volatility
-34% 1-year
52-week range · 33% of the way up · -44% from the high
$2.23$6.51
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. -0.01.
1-day std dev
8.5%
Finished up
40%
Biggest pop
+18.5%
Biggest drop
-28.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | miss | 0.02 | -0.01 | -157.1% | -6.8% | -5.1% | -9.0% |
| 2026-05-06 | miss | 0.01 | -0.02 | -399.9% | -6.7% | -0.3% | -9.6% |
| 2026-02-26 | miss | 0.01 | -0.05 | -463.6% | +5.7% | -7.4% | -19.1% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +110.0% | +8.8% | +10.6% | -4.2% |
| 2025-08-06 | miss | 0.08 | 0.05 | -34.8% | -8.0% | -13.0% | -6.5% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | 0.04 | 0.04 | -5.9% | -4.9% | -4.5% | -6.0% |
| 2025-02-26 | miss | 0.04 | 0.03 | -14.3% | +0.0% | -4.4% | -10.1% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +33.3% | -5.4% | -0.5% | -8.0% |
| 2024-08-07 | miss | 0.01 | -0.01 | -300.0% | +5.3% | -4.9% | -1.5% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +53.9% | +3.4% | -2.0% | +4.3% |
| 2024-02-27 | beat | -0.01 | 0.02 | +300.0% | +3.2% | +3.7% | +27.0% |
| 2023-11-07 | beat | — | 0.01 | +400.3% | +5.8% | -3.9% | -1.3% |
| 2023-08-07 | beat | -0.04 | -0.02 | +38.7% | +8.7% | +18.5% | +13.9% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | -0.05 | -0.04 | +20.0% | +5.8% | +15.8% | +19.7% |
| 2023-02-23 | miss | -0.05 | -0.07 | -35.5% | -0.4% | +3.6% | -6.7% |
| 2022-11-08 | beat | -0.08 | -0.06 | +28.0% | +2.2% | +5.0% | +20.9% |
| 2022-08-09 | miss | -0.09 | -0.11 | -22.2% | -2.7% | +4.9% | -3.9% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | -0.10 | -0.10 | -2.6% | -5.2% | -3.9% | -2.0% |
| 2022-02-24 | miss | -0.06 | -0.11 | -83.3% | -1.7% | -6.5% | +3.1% |
| 2021-11-09 | beat | -0.08 | -0.04 | +52.0% | +3.1% | +0.2% | -0.8% |
| 2021-08-11 | miss | -0.04 | -0.05 | -33.3% | -0.3% | +2.5% | -0.5% |
| 2021-05-12 | miss | -0.05 | -0.05 | -7.1% | -1.2% | +0.2% | +7.2% |
| 2021-02-25 | miss | -0.05 | -0.06 | -20.0% | +0.5% | -6.2% | -43.5% |
| 2020-11-04 | beat | -0.05 | -0.05 | +6.2% | -4.3% | +7.7% | +33.3% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | -0.06 | -0.05 | +23.0% | -11.8% | -10.8% | -11.8% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | -0.08 | -0.04 | +54.1% | +1.5% | -0.8% | -9.1% |
| 2020-02-25 | beat | -0.08 | -0.07 | +8.7% | +0.0% | -11.2% | -17.1% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | -0.07 | -0.07 | +3.5% | -0.7% | -11.4% | -21.5% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | -0.08 | -0.07 | +17.6% | +6.2% | -4.5% | -7.1% |
| 2019-05-07 | beat | -0.13 | -0.08 | +38.5% | -0.6% | -6.5% | -14.8% |
| 2019-02-26 | beat | -0.17 | -0.12 | +29.4% | +4.0% | +16.6% | +19.9% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | -0.18 | -0.15 | +15.2% | +3.8% | +4.9% | -1.1% |
| 2018-08-02 | beat | -0.20 | -0.17 | +16.3% | +0.0% | -23.3% | -21.3% |
| 2018-05-09 | miss | -0.23 | -0.25 | -8.7% | -5.0% | -1.1% | +11.2% |
| 2018-02-27 | beat | -0.29 | -0.28 | +3.5% | -6.6% | -7.3% | -12.3% |
| 2017-11-07 | miss | -0.20 | -0.31 | -55.0% | -10.5% | -7.7% | -0.3% |
| 2017-08-07 | miss | -0.23 | -0.34 | -46.6% | -5.1% | -1.7% | +8.5% |
| 2017-05-10 | miss | 0.12 | -0.17 | -241.7% | -17.5% | -20.6% | -31.2% |
| 2017-03-16 | miss | -0.20 | -0.23 | -17.5% | +0.0% | +7.2% | -8.7% |
| 2016-11-09 | beat | -0.25 | 1.30 | +610.2% | +16.3% | +9.3% | +46.5% |
| 2016-08-08 | miss | -0.31 | -0.35 | -12.0% | -2.0% | -8.0% | +0.0% |
| 2016-05-09 | miss | -0.24 | -0.30 | -23.7% | -18.9% | -28.0% | -30.3% |
| 2016-03-14 | miss | -0.26 | -0.84 | -225.7% | -14.4% | +1.4% | +54.0% |
| 2015-11-09 | miss | -0.35 | -0.40 | -14.1% | -2.1% | -8.4% | -21.3% |
| 2015-08-10 | beat | -0.38 | -0.35 | +8.7% | +7.3% | +1.5% | +4.3% |
| 2015-05-07 | beat | -0.42 | -0.40 | +5.4% | -1.2% | -5.2% | -0.5% |
| 2015-02-24 | beat | -0.46 | -0.45 | +1.2% | +0.0% | +2.8% | -11.6% |
| 2014-11-03 | miss | -0.24 | -0.45 | -85.3% | -3.5% | -1.5% | -2.2% |
| 2014-08-11 | miss | -0.61 | -0.95 | -56.5% | +21.4% | +4.9% | -11.1% |
| 2014-05-12 | miss | -0.67 | -0.70 | -5.0% | +0.5% | +1.8% | +18.8% |
| 2014-02-18 | miss | -0.70 | -0.80 | -14.3% | -0.2% | +1.1% | +17.2% |
| 2013-11-04 | miss | -0.80 | -0.85 | -6.2% | +0.4% | -4.8% | +5.3% |
| 2013-08-09 | miss | -0.69 | -0.80 | -15.9% | +0.5% | -5.0% | -14.7% |
| 2013-05-09 | beat | -0.76 | -0.75 | +1.1% | +3.0% | +11.3% | +30.4% |
| 2013-02-11 | miss | -0.92 | -1.15 | -24.3% | +0.0% | -3.5% | -1.6% |
| 2012-11-01 | beat | -1.21 | -1.10 | +9.3% | +3.1% | +2.6% | +2.6% |
| 2012-08-07 | beat | -1.20 | -0.90 | +24.7% | -0.9% | -5.0% | +6.4% |
| 2012-05-09 | miss | -1.12 | -1.35 | -20.0% | -0.5% | -5.3% | -18.0% |
| 2012-02-22 | beat | -1.61 | -1.50 | +6.6% | +3.2% | +2.3% | +4.1% |
| 2011-11-03 | beat | -1.59 | -1.55 | +2.2% | +0.0% | -2.9% | -1.6% |
Not investment advice.
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