MNModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
-1.4%
Next 1 month
+2.7%
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 19
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.24%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.21 +2.9% · Seasonal tilt (6y) -0.2%
$11M/day volume
62% volatility
-16% 1-year
-71% from ATH
52-week range · 27% of the way up · -44% from the high
$50.07$124.82
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, after close, in 10 days) · EPS est. -0.85.
1-day std dev
7.8%
Finished up
38%
Biggest pop
+14.6%
Biggest drop
-24.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 26 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | beat | -0.65 | -0.62 | +4.5% | +0.6% | +0.4% | +8.2% |
| 2026-05-14 | beat | -0.90 | -0.46 | +48.8% | -2.2% | -2.8% | +3.5% |
| 2026-03-27 | miss | -0.51 | -0.61 | -19.1% | +0.1% | -1.5% | -0.9% |
| 2025-11-13 | miss | -0.40 | -0.48 | -20.3% | -0.8% | +5.4% | +0.5% |
| 2025-08-12 | beat | -0.48 | -0.35 | +27.6% | -1.4% | +14.6% | +6.9% |
| 2025-05-13 | beat | -0.57 | -0.38 | +32.9% | +0.0% | -3.6% | +5.1% |
| 2025-03-31 | miss | -0.42 | -2.75 | -554.8% | -4.0% | -9.7% | -28.4% |
| 2024-11-08 | miss | -1.17 | -1.85 | -58.1% | +4.3% | +7.3% | +15.0% |
| 2024-08-09 | miss | -0.47 | -0.50 | -7.1% | -12.7% | -19.6% | -15.3% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | -0.85 | -0.50 | +41.2% | +4.0% | -5.2% | -17.6% |
| 2024-03-28 | beat | -0.85 | -0.60 | +29.4% | -4.9% | -7.6% | -18.3% |
| 2023-11-09 | beat | -0.95 | -0.70 | +26.3% | -0.5% | -3.0% | -22.1% |
| 2023-08-10 | beat | -0.95 | -0.80 | +15.8% | -7.0% | +3.2% | -10.5% |
| 2023-05-11 | beat | -1.08 | -0.95 | +12.3% | -1.0% | -6.6% | -12.0% |
| 2023-03-23 | miss | -1.02 | -1.15 | -12.2% | +1.5% | +0.6% | -49.1% |
| 2022-11-10 | beat | -1.07 | -0.95 | +11.6% | +0.0% | -24.8% | -32.6% |
| 2022-08-11 | miss | -1.05 | -1.10 | -4.8% | -0.8% | +0.3% | -1.9% |
| 2022-05-12 | beat | -1.18 | -0.95 | +19.7% | -1.5% | -8.0% | +11.4% |
| 2022-03-24 | miss | -0.92 | -1.05 | -14.6% | -1.9% | -1.1% | -4.1% |
| 2021-11-12 | beat | -1.12 | -1.00 | +10.4% | -3.2% | -0.2% | -6.0% |
| 2021-08-12 | beat | -1.02 | -0.85 | +17.1% | +0.2% | +1.2% | -3.3% |
| 2021-05-13 | beat | -1.10 | -0.80 | +27.3% | -0.2% | +1.2% | +12.9% |
| 2021-03-25 | miss | -0.75 | -0.95 | -26.7% | -2.5% | -6.4% | -7.4% |
| 2020-11-12 | -0.75 | -0.75 | — | +0.0% | +4.7% | +9.9% | |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | -1.25 | -0.70 | +44.0% | -1.4% | -2.8% | -18.9% |
| 2020-03-27 | miss | -0.35 | -0.57 | -62.8% | +3.9% | -2.9% | -13.9% |
Not investment advice.
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