MOModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.6%
Next 1 week
+4.5%
Next 1 month
+8.1%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +3.5% median,
67% of the last 43 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 47
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 3.09 +8.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.8%
$217M/day volume
71% volatility
-14% 1-year
-57% from ATH
52-week range · 13% of the way up · -57% from the high
$111.18$323.25
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 1.45.
1-day std dev
12.3%
Finished up
63%
Biggest pop
+30.4%
Biggest drop
-40.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | beat | 1.27 | 1.53 | +20.0% | +8.6% | +8.9% | +8.1% |
| 2026-05-26 | beat | 1.55 | 1.71 | +10.0% | +1.9% | -5.4% | +2.1% |
| 2026-02-04 | beat | 0.99 | 1.19 | +19.7% | -0.2% | +2.9% | +8.0% |
| 2025-10-28 | beat | 1.01 | 1.06 | +5.0% | -7.2% | -4.2% | -6.7% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 0.92 | 1.06 | +14.8% | +10.0% | +18.4% | +18.9% |
| 2025-05-20 | beat | 0.96 | 1.12 | +17.3% | +1.8% | -11.7% | -13.3% |
| 2025-02-04 | beat | 0.79 | 0.92 | +16.5% | +5.6% | +6.7% | -1.1% |
| 2024-10-29 | beat | 0.92 | 0.97 | +5.2% | -4.3% | -7.2% | -4.1% |
| 2024-07-30 | beat | 0.87 | 1.04 | +20.2% | +4.1% | +18.9% | -4.0% |
| 2024-05-21 | beat | 0.76 | 0.77 | +0.8% | -12.9% | -4.7% | -0.2% |
| 2024-01-30 | beat | 0.59 | 0.74 | +25.4% | -9.9% | +3.5% | +2.7% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 0.66 | 0.89 | +35.4% | +10.7% | -1.9% | +4.7% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 0.44 | 0.85 | +92.1% | +9.9% | +13.3% | +20.9% |
| 2023-05-24 | beat | 0.47 | 0.67 | +41.5% | +18.8% | +23.8% | +54.3% |
| 2023-02-01 | beat | 0.43 | 0.48 | +12.9% | -7.5% | -6.1% | -4.6% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 0.37 | 0.48 | +31.5% | +6.9% | +12.1% | +24.6% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 0.12 | 0.32 | +166.7% | +6.4% | +8.1% | +15.4% |
| 2022-05-25 | beat | 0.50 | 0.57 | +15.2% | +15.7% | +24.7% | +34.7% |
| 2022-02-02 | beat | 0.23 | 0.31 | +37.8% | +8.7% | +16.3% | +13.5% |
| 2021-11-02 | miss | 0.29 | 0.15 | -48.3% | -0.3% | +0.6% | +4.1% |
| 2021-08-04 | miss | 0.27 | 0.20 | -24.5% | -6.5% | -14.8% | -12.6% |
| 2021-05-26 | beat | 0.27 | 0.51 | +91.2% | +0.8% | -1.9% | +6.7% |
| 2021-02-04 | beat | 0.28 | 0.41 | +46.4% | -1.2% | +1.0% | -0.4% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.04 | 0.43 | +975.0% | +3.3% | +30.4% | +43.5% |
| 2020-08-04 | beat | -0.12 | -0.09 | +27.0% | +4.4% | +18.6% | +22.6% |
| 2020-05-28 | beat | 0.09 | 0.24 | +166.7% | -3.3% | +5.3% | +27.8% |
| 2020-02-04 | beat | 0.20 | 0.37 | +88.1% | +8.9% | +16.2% | +10.2% |
| 2019-11-07 | miss | 0.25 | 0.13 | -47.3% | -28.3% | -40.8% | -36.4% |
| 2019-07-31 | miss | 0.36 | 0.31 | -13.9% | -12.0% | -25.1% | -21.0% |
| 2019-05-22 | beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +5.3% | -8.9% | +4.8% | -0.6% |
| 2019-01-31 | beat | 0.34 | 0.42 | +23.5% | +2.9% | +6.4% | +2.2% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 0.24 | 0.35 | +45.8% | +23.9% | +11.0% | +16.3% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | 0.36 | 0.41 | +13.9% | -1.4% | +0.6% | +3.2% |
| 2018-05-23 | beat | 0.40 | 0.44 | +10.0% | +2.4% | +3.5% | -1.6% |
| 2018-01-30 | beat | 0.29 | 0.35 | +20.7% | +7.7% | +2.2% | +3.5% |
| 2017-10-31 | beat | 0.22 | 0.36 | +67.4% | +3.8% | +8.3% | +6.7% |
| 2017-08-01 | beat | 0.30 | 0.39 | +30.0% | +10.2% | +3.4% | +3.7% |
| 2017-05-24 | beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +2.9% | +9.4% | +20.9% | +24.8% |
| 2017-02-06 | miss | 0.24 | 0.21 | -12.5% | -4.5% | -10.0% | -17.1% |
| 2016-11-01 | miss | 0.12 | -0.01 | -108.7% | -9.5% | -8.6% | -5.2% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +20.0% | +4.4% | +0.4% | +6.6% |
| 2016-05-25 | beat | 0.32 | 0.36 | +14.3% | +4.4% | -3.9% | -10.7% |
| 2016-02-02 | miss | 0.25 | 0.22 | -10.2% | -8.5% | +22.1% | +34.3% |
| 2015-10-29 | miss | 0.10 | 0.04 | -60.0% | -2.7% | +5.8% | +11.3% |
| 2015-07-31 | miss | 0.26 | 0.14 | -46.1% | +0.0% | -2.1% | -5.7% |
| 2015-05-28 | miss | 0.14 | 0.12 | -17.2% | -6.9% | -7.7% | -5.3% |
| 2015-02-04 | beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +28.6% | +2.0% | -0.5% | -3.6% |
| 2014-10-30 | miss | 0.12 | 0.05 | -59.5% | -5.7% | -3.3% | +3.4% |
| 2014-07-31 | beat | 0.18 | 0.30 | +63.6% | +4.4% | +1.2% | +2.4% |
| 2014-05-29 | beat | 0.09 | 0.15 | +66.7% | +3.2% | -1.0% | -5.9% |
| 2014-01-31 | beat | 0.06 | 0.16 | +152.6% | -0.1% | +10.6% | +14.6% |
| 2013-10-31 | beat | 0.11 | 0.16 | +50.0% | +0.3% | +0.3% | -2.0% |
| 2013-08-01 | beat | 0.11 | 0.27 | +153.1% | +11.4% | +23.7% | +23.7% |
| 2013-05-30 | beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +14.9% | +0.0% | +7.8% | +6.8% |
| 2013-02-01 | miss | 0.08 | 0.02 | -76.0% | +0.6% | -0.6% | +6.0% |
| 2012-11-06 | beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +27.7% | -5.8% | +8.5% | -4.4% |
| 2012-08-07 | miss | 0.13 | 0.07 | -48.2% | -8.9% | +0.9% | +1.8% |
| 2012-06-01 | beat | 0.23 | 0.34 | +49.3% | -8.3% | -8.3% | -4.0% |
| 2012-02-03 | miss | 0.28 | 0.23 | -15.3% | -14.1% | -11.1% | -10.6% |
| 2011-10-27 | miss | 0.21 | 0.02 | -89.9% | +3.7% | +0.1% | -3.9% |
Not investment advice.
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