MPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.8%
Next 1 month
+6.2%
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 84
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.09%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.48 +6.4% · Seasonal tilt (5y) -0.2%
$230M/day volume
70% volatility
-42% 1-year
-59% from ATH
52-week range · 9% of the way up · -47% from the high
$37.11$76.80
Congressional trades in MP Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 0 sells · $15K–$50K disclosed · latest filing May 20, 2022.
| BUY | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 8 days) · EPS est. -0.01.
1-day std dev
6.7%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+13.6%
Biggest drop
-11.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 23 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | — | -0.01 | -173.2% | +6.7% | +7.6% | +23.7% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | -0.04 | 0.03 | +174.7% | +6.6% | -2.5% | -11.4% |
| 2026-02-26 | beat | 0.02 | 0.09 | +490.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% | -3.0% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | -0.16 | -0.10 | +38.3% | -2.8% | +12.8% | +12.9% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | -0.20 | -0.13 | +34.7% | +8.3% | +4.6% | +5.6% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | -0.12 | -0.12 | +1.3% | +0.0% | -8.0% | -10.6% |
| 2025-02-20 | beat | -0.13 | -0.12 | +9.2% | +6.0% | +4.8% | +3.6% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | -0.13 | -0.12 | +5.7% | -0.9% | -2.4% | -8.5% |
| 2024-08-01 | miss | -0.09 | -0.17 | -85.1% | -2.8% | -11.9% | -12.1% |
| 2024-05-02 | miss | -0.03 | -0.04 | -35.0% | +0.0% | -3.4% | +1.1% |
| 2024-02-22 | beat | -0.03 | -0.02 | +40.4% | -1.5% | -4.2% | -1.2% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | — | 0.04 | +1726.5% | +0.7% | -1.8% | -10.6% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +36.0% | +0.2% | +5.6% | +4.4% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | 0.19 | 0.27 | +40.9% | +1.9% | +0.8% | +3.9% |
| 2023-02-23 | beat | 0.16 | 0.42 | +166.7% | +5.0% | +4.5% | +7.5% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | 0.30 | 0.36 | +20.2% | +9.3% | +8.7% | +21.7% |
| 2022-08-05 | beat | 0.35 | 0.43 | +22.6% | +0.4% | +9.8% | +8.4% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | 0.40 | 0.50 | +24.9% | +0.6% | -5.2% | -10.7% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | 0.24 | 0.31 | +29.5% | -1.9% | +6.8% | -11.2% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 0.17 | 0.27 | +56.1% | +5.8% | -1.2% | +25.2% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | 0.13 | 0.17 | +35.5% | +5.1% | +2.7% | +1.7% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 0.08 | 0.13 | +62.5% | +2.8% | -5.5% | -10.8% |
| 2021-03-18 | beat | 0.04 | 0.18 | +408.6% | +1.2% | +13.6% | -13.6% |
Posted about MP
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TRACKER - Fast Money Final Trades · CNBC
long
48.58
Mon, 21 Sep
Named as a final trade on CNBC’s Fast Money on 21 September 2026. The price on this post is MP at the moment the post went up, the same entry rule…
Not investment advice.
Continue with Google