MPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.5%
Next 1 month
+1.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +2.1% median,
64% of the last 28 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 12
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.10%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.44 +1.1% · Seasonal tilt +0.2%
$4M/day volume
24% volatility
+18% 1-year
-13% from ATH
52-week range · 53% of the way up · -13% from the high
$27.98$39.15
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-20 (Wednesday, after close, in 81 days) · EPS est. 0.88.
1-day std dev
3.6%
Finished up
69%
Biggest pop
+9.6%
Biggest drop
-7.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 35 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | miss | 0.89 | 0.88 | -1.4% | -3.2% | -6.8% | -5.7% |
| 2026-07-22 | beat | 0.79 | 0.87 | +10.1% | +2.5% | +4.5% | +10.5% |
| 2026-04-21 | miss | 0.80 | 0.64 | -20.0% | +0.0% | +1.8% | -0.9% |
| 2026-01-21 | miss | 0.84 | 0.83 | -1.2% | +0.0% | +2.7% | -2.0% |
| 2025-10-22 | beat | 0.71 | 0.77 | +8.4% | +4.2% | +3.8% | +3.3% |
| 2025-07-23 | beat | 0.69 | 0.70 | +1.4% | -0.4% | -7.9% | -5.3% |
| 2025-04-23 | beat | 0.63 | 0.72 | +14.3% | +0.1% | +4.9% | +7.5% |
| 2025-01-22 | miss | 0.71 | 0.71 | -0.5% | -0.9% | +1.0% | +3.9% |
| 2024-10-23 | beat | 0.71 | 0.75 | +5.1% | -0.6% | +0.8% | +1.9% |
| 2024-07-24 | beat | 0.60 | 0.68 | +12.7% | +1.6% | +5.7% | +6.0% |
| 2024-04-24 | beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +5.5% | +0.8% | +2.7% | +2.8% |
| 2024-01-26 | beat | 0.59 | 0.73 | +24.4% | +1.0% | -3.3% | -9.6% |
| 2023-10-25 | miss | 0.63 | 0.57 | -8.8% | +0.8% | +2.7% | +2.5% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 0.68 | 0.68 | +0.7% | -0.5% | -2.0% | -3.0% |
| 2023-04-28 | miss | 0.88 | 0.72 | -18.2% | +0.5% | -3.3% | -13.9% |
| 2023-01-25 | beat | 0.98 | 0.99 | +1.5% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +5.5% |
| 2022-10-26 | beat | 0.82 | 0.97 | +18.3% | +0.9% | +2.3% | +0.9% |
| 2022-07-27 | beat | 0.68 | 0.77 | +14.1% | -1.8% | -0.3% | +1.9% |
| 2022-04-27 | beat | 0.59 | 0.76 | +29.9% | +0.2% | +4.0% | +0.7% |
| 2022-02-01 | beat | 0.51 | 0.89 | +74.3% | -1.1% | -1.7% | -1.5% |
| 2021-10-27 | miss | 0.47 | 0.43 | -8.7% | +0.8% | +1.3% | +7.0% |
| 2021-07-26 | beat | 0.62 | 0.93 | +50.0% | +0.6% | -0.9% | -2.5% |
| 2021-04-22 | beat | 0.91 | 1.10 | +21.6% | +1.9% | +2.9% | +8.9% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | 0.87 | 1.06 | +21.8% | +1.3% | +4.2% | +11.4% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.56 | 0.78 | +39.3% | -1.0% | -1.6% | +1.6% |
| 2020-07-23 | beat | 0.50 | 0.81 | +62.0% | +2.4% | +3.8% | +7.0% |
| 2020-04-27 | beat | 0.39 | 0.45 | +15.4% | +5.4% | +4.3% | +0.6% |
| 2020-01-28 | miss | 0.57 | 0.52 | -8.8% | -3.1% | -5.6% | -4.2% |
| 2019-10-25 | miss | 0.58 | 0.57 | -1.7% | +1.1% | +0.1% | +1.8% |
| 2019-07-25 | miss | 0.53 | 0.52 | -1.9% | -0.4% | +0.1% | -3.8% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +2.1% | +1.4% | +1.2% | +5.9% |
| 2011-07-27 | beat | 0.21 | 0.27 | +27.4% | +1.6% | +1.6% | -0.8% |
| 2011-04-29 | beat | 0.19 | 0.25 | +29.5% | +0.7% | +4.5% | +5.0% |
| 2011-01-27 | miss | 0.18 | 0.17 | -3.4% | -0.2% | +9.6% | +2.8% |
| 2010-10-21 | miss | 0.19 | 0.11 | -41.8% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +8.5% |
Not investment advice.
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