MPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.0%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+3.9%
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 5
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.21%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.59 +3.7% · Seasonal tilt (3y) +0.2%
$6M/day volume
53% volatility
+14% 1-year
-40% from ATH
52-week range · 32% of the way up · -40% from the high
$43.55$104.85
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-11 (Wednesday, after close, in 8 days) · EPS est. 0.59.
1-day std dev
13.7%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+27.9%
Biggest drop
-23.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 15 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | miss | 0.59 | 0.43 | -27.1% | -2.0% | -1.2% | -5.5% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 0.64 | 0.67 | +4.7% | +0.8% | +5.9% | +3.6% |
| 2026-03-24 | beat | 0.66 | 0.99 | +51.1% | +10.0% | +20.6% | +12.9% |
| 2025-11-12 | miss | 0.70 | 0.63 | -9.3% | -2.9% | -4.6% | -18.4% |
| 2025-08-12 | miss | 0.60 | 0.53 | -11.7% | -10.5% | -10.6% | -9.5% |
| 2025-05-13 | miss | 0.66 | 0.56 | -15.2% | -10.0% | -17.8% | -23.6% |
| 2025-03-27 | 0.73 | 0.73 | — | -1.6% | +3.6% | -2.9% | |
| 2024-11-13 | beat | 0.54 | 0.81 | +50.0% | +7.9% | +11.3% | +15.9% |
| 2024-08-14 | beat | 0.50 | 0.63 | +26.0% | +9.8% | +11.1% | +16.1% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | 0.49 | 0.53 | +8.2% | +2.7% | -0.2% | -0.6% |
| 2024-03-25 | miss | 0.43 | 0.04 | -91.5% | -12.8% | -23.8% | -26.2% |
| 2023-11-09 | beat | 0.29 | 0.57 | +96.5% | +3.5% | +12.5% | +27.0% |
| 2023-08-10 | beat | 0.21 | 0.47 | +123.8% | +24.8% | +27.9% | +37.2% |
| 2023-05-11 | beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +17.6% | -1.7% | -0.6% | +5.3% |
| 2023-03-30 | beat | 0.09 | 0.10 | +7.2% | +4.4% | +7.5% | +15.2% |
Not investment advice.
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