MPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.7%
Next 1 week
+2.2%
Next 1 month
+6.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +4.4% median,
71% of the last 21 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 72
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.15%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.60 +6.8% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$59.1B market cap (#355 US)
$965M/day volume
54% volatility
+10% 1-year
-29% from ATH
52-week range · 43% of the way up · -29% from the high
$833.18$1714.09
Congressional trades in MPWR Full tracker →
6 members · 7 buys / 9 sells · $58K–$345K disclosed · latest filing Aug 5, 2026.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, after close, in 0 days) · EPS est. 7.75.
1-day std dev
5.9%
Finished up
73%
Biggest pop
+17.0%
Biggest drop
-17.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 5.88 | 6.50 | +10.5% | +13.9% | +8.3% | +6.5% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | 4.90 | 5.10 | +4.0% | -3.1% | -1.9% | -0.8% |
| 2026-02-05 | beat | 4.74 | 4.79 | +1.1% | +8.1% | +6.4% | +1.3% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 4.64 | 4.73 | +2.0% | -6.2% | -7.6% | -11.9% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 4.12 | 4.21 | +2.2% | +4.0% | +10.5% | +13.1% |
| 2025-05-01 | beat | 4.00 | 4.04 | +0.9% | +2.2% | +5.9% | +6.0% |
| 2025-02-06 | beat | 3.98 | 4.09 | +2.9% | +3.9% | +9.0% | +3.6% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 3.97 | 4.06 | +2.3% | -10.2% | -17.5% | -15.7% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 3.07 | 3.17 | +3.3% | +0.5% | +1.4% | +4.8% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 2.64 | 2.81 | +6.4% | +4.4% | +9.2% | +8.5% |
| 2024-02-07 | beat | 2.85 | 2.88 | +1.0% | +5.4% | +14.2% | +13.8% |
| 2023-10-30 | beat | 3.06 | 3.08 | +0.7% | +5.3% | +9.3% | +21.9% |
| 2023-07-31 | beat | 2.81 | 2.82 | +0.4% | -8.5% | -1.6% | -5.3% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | 2.99 | 3.00 | +0.4% | -11.7% | -10.4% | -13.0% |
| 2023-02-08 | beat | 3.13 | 3.17 | +1.1% | +5.8% | +10.2% | +10.9% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 3.49 | 3.53 | +1.2% | -1.3% | +5.3% | +6.8% |
| 2022-08-01 | beat | 2.94 | 3.25 | +10.6% | +6.9% | +9.4% | +10.5% |
| 2022-05-02 | beat | 2.26 | 2.45 | +8.6% | +8.3% | +11.3% | +0.5% |
| 2022-02-10 | beat | 1.88 | 2.12 | +12.9% | +8.2% | +4.2% | +12.3% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 2.00 | 2.06 | +3.1% | -6.8% | -4.4% | -0.6% |
| 2021-07-27 | beat | 1.68 | 1.81 | +7.4% | +0.7% | +5.8% | +14.5% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 1.34 | 1.46 | +8.8% | +3.3% | +1.1% | -8.4% |
| 2021-02-04 | beat | 1.24 | 1.31 | +5.3% | +5.6% | -2.2% | +5.0% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 1.68 | 1.69 | +0.7% | -3.5% | +0.3% | +12.1% |
| 2020-07-28 | beat | 1.00 | 1.08 | +8.3% | +2.1% | +6.6% | +12.3% |
| 2020-04-28 | beat | 0.94 | 0.95 | +1.2% | +4.0% | +6.4% | +4.9% |
| 2020-02-05 | beat | 1.03 | 1.04 | +0.6% | +0.1% | -2.7% | +2.4% |
| 2019-10-22 | beat | 1.06 | 1.08 | +1.5% | +1.2% | +4.5% | +5.2% |
| 2019-07-31 | miss | 0.92 | 0.92 | -0.2% | +6.0% | +1.1% | +2.9% |
| 2019-05-02 | beat | 0.84 | 0.84 | +0.0% | -6.9% | -7.2% | -12.8% |
| 2019-02-12 | beat | 0.99 | 0.99 | +0.5% | -2.1% | +1.7% | +2.5% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 1.05 | 1.06 | +1.4% | +1.0% | +3.9% | +14.6% |
| 2018-07-25 | beat | 0.90 | 0.90 | +0.4% | +2.1% | +0.5% | +0.1% |
| 2018-04-30 | beat | 0.77 | 0.79 | +3.0% | +2.2% | +1.7% | +6.0% |
| 2018-02-08 | beat | 0.80 | 0.82 | +2.3% | +1.1% | +6.0% | +12.7% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 0.82 | 0.84 | +2.5% | +2.0% | +5.3% | +6.4% |
| 2017-07-26 | beat | 0.67 | 0.68 | +1.3% | -4.9% | -2.1% | -5.0% |
| 2017-04-26 | beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +2.0% | +1.4% | +0.8% | -1.0% |
| 2017-02-09 | beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +3.3% | -1.4% | -0.7% | -2.8% |
| 2016-10-31 | beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +1.8% | +0.6% | -2.9% | -0.2% |
| 2016-07-25 | 0.54 | 0.54 | — | -0.2% | +0.8% | -2.7% | |
| 2016-05-02 | beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +1.9% | +3.1% | +1.5% | -1.7% |
| 2016-02-04 | beat | 0.49 | 0.51 | +3.8% | +5.0% | +3.0% | -2.6% |
| 2015-10-26 | beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +2.1% | +7.7% | +6.8% | +8.7% |
| 2015-07-27 | beat | 0.45 | 0.46 | +2.6% | +1.7% | +4.2% | +5.7% |
| 2015-04-22 | beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +5.1% | +0.9% | -0.8% | -3.9% |
| 2015-02-04 | beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +1.9% | +4.0% | -0.6% | +4.9% |
| 2014-10-27 | beat | 0.46 | 0.46 | +1.1% | +13.9% | +6.3% | +9.4% |
| 2014-07-24 | beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +5.3% | +7.9% | +1.5% | +1.0% |
| 2014-04-24 | beat | 0.26 | 0.39 | +52.0% | +1.1% | -1.4% | -3.6% |
| 2014-02-06 | beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +3.6% | +1.8% | +4.9% | +8.3% |
| 2013-10-24 | beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +2.8% | +15.1% | +17.0% | +14.2% |
| 2013-08-06 | beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +3.9% | +2.6% | +9.1% | +10.1% |
| 2013-04-29 | beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +4.8% | +3.9% | +3.6% | +4.9% |
| 2013-02-06 | beat | 0.21 | 0.21 | +2.4% | +2.1% | +5.9% | +8.5% |
| 2012-11-01 | beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +2.4% | -13.5% | -4.2% | -1.4% |
| 2012-07-30 | beat | 0.25 | 0.28 | +11.0% | -4.6% | +8.3% | +14.5% |
| 2012-04-30 | beat | 0.13 | 0.17 | +26.4% | +4.3% | +3.2% | +0.2% |
| 2012-02-09 | beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +30.4% | +0.9% | +4.5% | +12.0% |
| 2011-10-27 | beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +12.4% | -8.5% | +0.1% | -2.1% |
Not investment advice.
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