MRNA

Moderna, Inc. $214.16 as of 2026-10-28
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+2.2%
Next 1 month
+5.8%
Seasonality
Not enough history
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 77
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.48%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 2.23 +5.8% · Seasonal tilt (7y) -0.0%
$82.3B market cap (#541 US) $4.2B/day volume 194% volatility +703% 1-year -57% from ATH
52-week range · 83% of the way up · -16% from the high
$22.28$254.48

Congressional trades in MRNA Full tracker →

6 members · 7 buys / 19 sells · $215K–$750K disclosed · latest filing Oct 7, 2026.

SELL MS Maria Elvira Salazar · traded Sep 24, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL MS Maria Elvira Salazar · traded Aug 19, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY MS Maria Elvira Salazar · traded Aug 19, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL RB Rob Bresnahan · traded Apr 8, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY RB Rob Bresnahan · traded Feb 25, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL JJ Julie Johnson · traded Jan 15, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Feb 1, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Sep 15, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL DG Daniel Goldman · traded Jul 12, 2023 $50K–$100K
BUY DG Daniel Goldman · traded Apr 10, 2023 $50K–$100K
BUY JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Mar 31, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL DG Daniel Goldman · traded Mar 6, 2023 $50K–$100K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Mar 16, 2022 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Jul 22, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Mar 15, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL MN Marie Newman · traded Jan 29, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL MN Marie Newman · traded Jan 29, 2021 $15K–$50K
SELL MN Marie Newman · traded Jan 29, 2021 $15K–$50K
SELL MN Marie Newman · traded Jan 29, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL MN Marie Newman · traded Jan 8, 2021 $15K–$50K
BUY MN Marie Newman · traded Jan 22, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL MN Marie Newman · traded Jan 22, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY MN Marie Newman options · traded Jan 14, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY MN Marie Newman · traded Jan 14, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL MN Marie Newman · traded Jan 8, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded May 22, 2020 $1K–$15K

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-11-06 (Friday, before open, in 8 days) · EPS est. -1.35.

1-day std dev
9.3%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+22.7%
Biggest drop
-21.0%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 31 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-07-31 beat -2.06 -1.97 +4.3% -0.1% -5.4% +2.2%
2026-04-30 beat -3.88 -3.40 +12.4% +1.5% -1.2% +18.3%
2026-02-13 beat -2.64 -2.11 +20.2% +4.3% +5.3% +25.4%
2025-11-06 beat -2.16 -0.51 +76.4% +7.1% +3.3% +5.9%
2025-08-01 beat -3.00 -2.13 +29.0% -6.7% -6.6% -11.6%
2025-05-01 beat -3.11 -2.52 +18.9% -3.0% -5.3% -14.6%
2025-02-14 miss -2.73 -2.91 -6.7% -4.4% +3.4% +6.2%
2024-11-07 beat -1.94 0.03 +101.5% +9.2% -3.0% -23.2%
2024-08-01 beat -3.35 -3.33 +0.7% -16.5% -21.0% -29.3%
2024-05-02 beat -3.57 -3.07 +14.1% +3.1% +12.7% +10.1%
2024-02-22 beat -0.99 0.55 +155.6% +4.9% +13.5% +5.3%
2023-11-02 miss -2.05 -9.53 -364.4% -15.6% -6.5% -8.8%
2023-08-03 beat -4.12 -3.62 +12.2% -1.4% -0.2% -9.0%
2023-05-04 beat -1.73 0.19 +111.0% +0.2% +2.0% -3.7%
2023-02-23 miss 4.60 3.61 -21.5% -2.8% -6.7% -12.8%
2022-11-03 miss 3.11 2.53 -18.6% -6.6% -0.8% +13.4%
2022-08-03 beat 4.49 5.24 +16.6% +4.3% +16.0% +8.4%
2022-05-04 beat 5.62 8.58 +52.6% +4.7% +5.8% -15.8%
2022-02-24 beat 9.81 11.29 +15.1% +3.0% +15.1% +4.3%
2021-11-04 miss 9.42 7.70 -18.3% -14.5% -17.9% -34.7%
2021-08-05 beat 5.86 6.46 +10.3% -2.2% -0.7% -6.6%
2021-05-06 beat 2.47 2.84 +15.1% -9.1% -1.4% -8.0%
2021-02-25 miss -0.36 -0.69 -89.6% +4.1% +2.5% -8.6%
2020-10-29 miss -0.37 -0.59 -60.4% +4.0% +8.4% +8.7%
2020-08-05 beat -0.36 -0.31 +14.6% -1.2% -3.4% -11.4%
2020-05-07 beat -0.36 -0.35 +3.8% +14.0% +8.7% +31.9%
2020-02-26 beat -0.42 -0.37 +12.2% +22.3% +22.7% +15.7%
2019-11-06 beat -0.44 -0.37 +15.6% +1.2% +8.5% +13.7%
2019-08-08 beat -0.45 -0.41 +8.9% -0.4% +1.1% -0.2%
2019-05-09 miss -0.36 -0.40 -9.7% -0.9% +7.1% -0.8%
2019-03-13 miss -0.36 -0.44 -23.0% -0.3% +4.3% -3.2%

Short interest — low Full report →

Crowding 12/100
Squeeze risk 56/100
10.0% of float short 1.8 days to cover shorts +6% last read 55th %ile of its history as of 2026-10-15
Posted about MRNA See all ›
TRACKER - Analyst Ratings short 203.46 Wed, 30 Sep Citigroup downgraded MRNA. The move: Citigroup downgraded MRNA: Neutral to Sell with a $80 target, on 30 September 2026. The price: shown for… TRACKER - Maria Elvira Salazar · Congress long 134.86 Thu, 10 Sep Maria Elvira Salazar's trade date was 19 August 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a… TRACKER - Analyst Ratings short 148.87 Fri, 04 Sep Rothschild & Co downgraded MRNA, Neutral to Sell with a $81 target, on 3 September 2026. The price shown is where MRNA closed that day, for reference… TRACKER - Analyst Ratings long 137.99 Mon, 31 Aug Argus Research upgraded MRNA, Hold to Buy with a $180 target, on 28 August 2026. The price shown is where MRNA closed that day, for reference — a… TRACKER - Analyst Ratings long 174.38 Thu, 20 Aug William Blair upgraded MRNA, Market Perform to Outperform, on 19 August 2026. The price shown is where MRNA closed that day, for reference — a…

Not investment advice.