MSModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.7%
Next 1 month
+1.7%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +4.1% median,
67% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 8
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.10%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.66 +1.6% · Seasonal tilt (9y) +0.1%
$5M/day volume
31% volatility
+103% 1-year
-13% from ATH
52-week range · 89% of the way up · -6% from the high
$14.24$35.10
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-21 (Thursday, after close, in 81 days) · EPS est. 0.89.
1-day std dev
5.1%
Finished up
36%
Biggest pop
+8.2%
Biggest drop
-20.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 42 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | beat | 0.88 | 0.95 | +7.5% | +1.3% | +0.1% | -0.5% |
| 2026-07-23 | beat | 0.78 | 0.82 | +4.9% | +0.1% | +4.1% | +8.7% |
| 2026-04-23 | beat | 0.61 | 0.79 | +29.1% | +6.9% | +6.9% | +12.8% |
| 2026-01-22 | miss | 0.75 | 0.53 | -29.3% | -3.8% | -4.6% | -5.2% |
| 2025-10-30 | miss | 0.64 | 0.24 | -62.5% | -2.6% | -8.6% | -0.1% |
| 2025-07-24 | miss | 0.63 | 0.44 | -29.9% | -1.3% | -0.2% | -8.2% |
| 2025-04-30 | beat | 0.52 | 0.57 | +10.0% | +5.9% | +8.2% | +12.2% |
| 2025-01-23 | miss | 0.67 | -2.52 | -477.5% | -16.8% | -20.0% | -23.0% |
| 2024-10-24 | beat | 0.64 | 0.74 | +15.6% | +8.8% | +2.9% | +7.8% |
| 2024-07-25 | miss | 0.70 | 0.20 | -71.4% | -9.5% | -7.6% | -15.0% |
| 2024-04-25 | miss | 0.72 | 0.53 | -26.2% | -1.0% | -7.0% | -1.2% |
| 2024-01-25 | beat | 0.79 | 0.89 | +12.1% | +2.1% | -1.2% | -6.5% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 0.77 | 0.78 | +1.3% | -2.0% | -1.3% | +11.7% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 0.80 | 0.87 | +8.8% | +2.3% | +2.2% | +1.8% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | 0.82 | 0.88 | +7.3% | +1.7% | +2.8% | +0.4% |
| 2023-01-26 | miss | 0.92 | 0.85 | -8.0% | -0.9% | -10.1% | -1.0% |
| 2022-10-20 | beat | 1.01 | 1.04 | +3.0% | +5.0% | +3.1% | +8.4% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 0.93 | 0.98 | +5.1% | +0.2% | -1.7% | -0.2% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 0.86 | 0.92 | +7.3% | +0.5% | -2.6% | -4.1% |
| 2022-01-27 | beat | 0.90 | 1.12 | +24.1% | +2.6% | +3.0% | +10.7% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 0.84 | 0.86 | +2.7% | +1.5% | -0.9% | +0.6% |
| 2021-07-22 | beat | 0.84 | 0.86 | +2.8% | -0.2% | -2.8% | -0.6% |
| 2021-04-22 | miss | 0.84 | 0.82 | -2.7% | +2.5% | +2.3% | +1.5% |
| 2021-01-28 | miss | 0.62 | 0.54 | -12.6% | -0.5% | -0.5% | +10.4% |
| 2020-10-22 | miss | 0.53 | 0.52 | -1.9% | +1.8% | +1.6% | +1.8% |
| 2020-07-23 | beat | 0.27 | 0.56 | +109.3% | +1.0% | -0.1% | -3.9% |
| 2020-04-23 | miss | 0.55 | 0.39 | -29.1% | -4.0% | -6.0% | +2.0% |
| 2020-01-23 | miss | 0.71 | 0.64 | -9.2% | +0.2% | -2.2% | -4.8% |
| 2019-10-24 | beat | 0.66 | 0.66 | +0.8% | -3.9% | -1.2% | +2.8% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +2.3% | +3.3% | +1.8% | +0.3% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 0.54 | 0.58 | +8.1% | +0.2% | +4.2% | +3.3% |
| 2019-01-24 | beat | 0.65 | 0.67 | +3.5% | +7.4% | +0.0% | +3.4% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.64 | 0.64 | +0.8% | -1.6% | -1.9% | +4.4% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 0.56 | 0.59 | +4.9% | +0.2% | -3.2% | -2.9% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +6.7% | +1.8% | -0.7% | -0.4% |
| 2018-01-25 | miss | 0.54 | 0.42 | -22.2% | -2.7% | -5.3% | -5.4% |
| 2017-10-26 | miss | 0.58 | 0.49 | -16.0% | -7.1% | -9.7% | -10.7% |
| 2017-07-27 | miss | 0.57 | 0.51 | -11.1% | -1.1% | -4.6% | -6.9% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 0.53 | 0.57 | +6.9% | +2.6% | +3.6% | +8.0% |
| 2017-01-26 | miss | 0.55 | 0.39 | -29.1% | +2.9% | -1.9% | -2.4% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | 0.51 | 0.57 | +12.5% | -0.2% | -0.5% | -4.7% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 0.56 | 0.66 | +18.6% | -0.3% | +2.9% | +1.9% |
Not investment advice.
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