MSModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
+1.1%
Next 1 month
+2.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +3.8% median,
67% of the last 30 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 80
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.73 +1.9% · Seasonal tilt +0.3%
$133M/day volume
31% volatility
+43% 1-year
-8% from ATH
52-week range · 79% of the way up · -8% from the high
$78.80$133.95
Congressional trades in MSM Full tracker →
2 members · 7 buys / 6 sells · $901K–$2.0M disclosed · latest filing May 2, 2021.
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $250K–$500K | |
| SELL | $250K–$500K | |
| BUY | $250K–$500K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-06 (Wednesday, before open, in 69 days) · EPS est. 1.28.
1-day std dev
4.6%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+7.9%
Biggest drop
-15.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | beat | 1.41 | 1.45 | +3.1% | -5.1% | -15.4% | — |
| 2026-07-01 | beat | 1.27 | 1.43 | +12.6% | +0.6% | +3.7% | +1.4% |
| 2026-04-01 | miss | 0.84 | 0.82 | -1.9% | -4.0% | -0.8% | +4.2% |
| 2026-01-07 | beat | 0.95 | 0.99 | +4.8% | -3.0% | -4.5% | -0.3% |
| 2025-10-23 | beat | 1.03 | 1.09 | +6.3% | +3.4% | +3.1% | -2.3% |
| 2025-07-01 | beat | 1.03 | 1.08 | +5.1% | +4.8% | +6.2% | +6.7% |
| 2025-04-03 | miss | 0.72 | 0.72 | -0.5% | -2.8% | -5.2% | -4.5% |
| 2025-01-08 | beat | 0.73 | 0.86 | +18.3% | +5.1% | +3.5% | +1.8% |
| 2024-10-24 | miss | 1.07 | 1.03 | -3.9% | -3.5% | -3.8% | -2.2% |
| 2024-07-02 | beat | 1.33 | 1.33 | +0.2% | -0.3% | +2.3% | -2.8% |
| 2024-03-28 | beat | 1.16 | 1.18 | +2.0% | -0.8% | -2.5% | -4.0% |
| 2024-01-09 | miss | 1.30 | 1.25 | -3.8% | -3.5% | -3.1% | -1.1% |
| 2023-10-25 | beat | 1.62 | 1.64 | +1.4% | -0.5% | -3.0% | +0.0% |
| 2023-06-29 | beat | 1.74 | 1.74 | +0.0% | -3.1% | -1.7% | -0.5% |
| 2023-04-04 | beat | 1.36 | 1.45 | +6.8% | +4.3% | -0.9% | +3.7% |
| 2023-01-05 | beat | 1.47 | 1.48 | +1.0% | -0.4% | -5.5% | -1.3% |
| 2022-10-20 | beat | 1.75 | 1.79 | +2.1% | +0.3% | -0.9% | +4.8% |
| 2022-06-29 | beat | 1.74 | 1.82 | +4.7% | +1.9% | +2.4% | +1.3% |
| 2022-03-30 | beat | 1.23 | 1.29 | +5.1% | +1.0% | +3.9% | +2.0% |
| 2021-12-22 | beat | 1.20 | 1.25 | +4.2% | +0.7% | -0.4% | +0.0% |
| 2021-10-20 | miss | 1.28 | 1.26 | -1.2% | -0.5% | -2.4% | -5.0% |
| 2021-07-07 | beat | 1.39 | 1.42 | +2.2% | +0.8% | +0.7% | -1.4% |
| 2021-04-07 | beat | 1.02 | 1.03 | +0.6% | -2.9% | -5.4% | -4.3% |
| 2021-01-06 | beat | 1.09 | 1.10 | +1.2% | +0.4% | +1.2% | +0.8% |
| 2020-10-27 | beat | 0.94 | 1.09 | +15.5% | +0.0% | +2.2% | +15.9% |
| 2020-07-08 | beat | 1.25 | 1.40 | +11.6% | -5.7% | -7.5% | -10.5% |
| 2020-04-08 | beat | 1.00 | 1.00 | +0.0% | +4.5% | +5.4% | +1.1% |
| 2020-01-08 | beat | 1.17 | 1.21 | +3.1% | +2.3% | +0.1% | +1.3% |
| 2019-10-24 | beat | 1.23 | 1.30 | +5.9% | +1.0% | +1.3% | -1.8% |
| 2019-07-10 | miss | 1.49 | 1.45 | -2.8% | -3.3% | -3.8% | -1.3% |
| 2019-04-10 | miss | 1.26 | 1.24 | -1.1% | -5.1% | -2.5% | +0.0% |
| 2019-01-09 | beat | 1.32 | 1.33 | +0.4% | -1.5% | -1.4% | +2.6% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 1.29 | 1.32 | +2.1% | -0.5% | +6.5% | +13.5% |
| 2018-07-11 | miss | 1.39 | 1.39 | -0.1% | -7.3% | -4.5% | -2.0% |
| 2018-04-10 | beat | 1.31 | 1.34 | +2.0% | +3.4% | +0.1% | -2.7% |
| 2018-01-10 | miss | 1.06 | 1.05 | -0.8% | -6.1% | -5.3% | -5.7% |
| 2017-10-31 | beat | 0.99 | 1.07 | +8.0% | +5.2% | +4.3% | +2.8% |
| 2017-07-12 | beat | 1.09 | 1.09 | +0.2% | -8.2% | -14.1% | -17.5% |
| 2017-04-06 | beat | 0.90 | 0.93 | +3.5% | -0.3% | -6.2% | -13.1% |
| 2017-01-11 | beat | 0.93 | 0.95 | +2.1% | +2.2% | +7.9% | +8.5% |
| 2016-11-01 | beat | 0.98 | 1.02 | +3.6% | +1.2% | +0.0% | +4.6% |
| 2016-07-06 | beat | 1.00 | 1.05 | +4.6% | -1.1% | +2.4% | +2.4% |
| 2016-04-06 | beat | 0.77 | 0.80 | +3.6% | -4.5% | -1.6% | +1.6% |
| 2016-01-06 | beat | 0.87 | 0.89 | +2.3% | +0.2% | +6.6% | +5.1% |
| 2015-10-27 | beat | 0.95 | 0.96 | +0.6% | -0.1% | -0.1% | +8.0% |
| 2015-07-07 | beat | 0.96 | 1.03 | +7.2% | +5.0% | +3.1% | +3.6% |
| 2015-04-08 | miss | 0.85 | 0.84 | -1.6% | +4.0% | +0.3% | +2.0% |
| 2015-01-07 | miss | 0.98 | 0.95 | -2.6% | -3.0% | -4.9% | -5.0% |
| 2014-10-28 | beat | 1.01 | 1.02 | +0.8% | -5.7% | -0.7% | -3.9% |
| 2014-07-09 | miss | 1.06 | 1.06 | -0.2% | -3.4% | -4.7% | -4.3% |
| 2014-04-09 | beat | 0.85 | 0.87 | +2.5% | +4.0% | +3.9% | +1.2% |
| 2014-01-08 | beat | 0.95 | 0.99 | +4.2% | +0.7% | +3.8% | +8.4% |
| 2013-10-30 | beat | 0.90 | 0.95 | +6.1% | +0.8% | -6.9% | -6.9% |
| 2013-07-10 | beat | 0.97 | 1.05 | +8.0% | +0.1% | +0.5% | -0.6% |
| 2013-04-10 | beat | 0.90 | 0.90 | +0.1% | -3.3% | -4.0% | -6.1% |
| 2013-01-10 | beat | 1.01 | 1.01 | +0.5% | -6.5% | -4.4% | -0.8% |
| 2012-10-31 | beat | 1.07 | 1.11 | +3.5% | -0.7% | +5.5% | +1.4% |
| 2012-06-28 | miss | 1.11 | 1.10 | -0.5% | +1.5% | +4.2% | +1.8% |
| 2012-04-04 | beat | 0.95 | 0.95 | +0.1% | -0.9% | -2.0% | -7.4% |
| 2012-01-05 | beat | 0.93 | 0.95 | +1.7% | -1.1% | +1.0% | +1.7% |
Posted about MSM
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TRACKER - Insider Clusters
long
120.33
1d ago
2 different insiders at MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO INC just bought MSM. The cluster: 2 people, $29,034,299 between them in the last 30 days, each…
TRACKER - Big Insider Buys
long
120.33
1d ago
Mitchell Jacobson just made a big buy of their own company's stock. The buy: Director at MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO INC, 250,000 shares of MSM on 23…
Not investment advice.
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