MTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+1.0%
Next 1 month
+4.3%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +0.8% median,
51% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 14
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.13 +5.3% · Seasonal tilt -1.0%
$62M/day volume
62% volatility
+91% 1-year
-32% from ATH
52-week range · 52% of the way up · -32% from the high
$109.61$324.99
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 4 days) · EPS est. 1.89.
1-day std dev
9.0%
Finished up
63%
Biggest pop
+30.8%
Biggest drop
-21.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 1.52 | 1.90 | +25.2% | +10.3% | +30.8% | +24.7% |
| 2026-04-29 | beat | 1.25 | 1.27 | +1.9% | +1.5% | -2.7% | +11.0% |
| 2026-02-12 | beat | 1.51 | 1.53 | +1.5% | +3.0% | +1.2% | -5.1% |
| 2025-10-29 | miss | 1.41 | 1.41 | -0.1% | -7.2% | -13.3% | -13.4% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 1.13 | 1.37 | +21.2% | +4.3% | +10.4% | +18.6% |
| 2025-05-01 | beat | 1.04 | 1.13 | +8.4% | +5.1% | +1.5% | -8.9% |
| 2025-02-19 | beat | 1.45 | 1.55 | +7.0% | +0.0% | +4.0% | -6.8% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 1.41 | 1.41 | +0.3% | -0.2% | -1.2% | +11.9% |
| 2024-08-05 | beat | 1.38 | 1.42 | +2.9% | +3.1% | +10.9% | +8.5% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 0.96 | 0.96 | +0.2% | -5.1% | -4.5% | -1.8% |
| 2024-02-15 | beat | 1.41 | 1.41 | +0.3% | +2.4% | +10.5% | +5.5% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 1.41 | 1.51 | +7.3% | +2.4% | +8.8% | +9.2% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 1.36 | 1.38 | +1.5% | -5.4% | -7.7% | -9.4% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 1.28 | 1.34 | +4.5% | +5.2% | +10.6% | -3.6% |
| 2023-02-16 | beat | 1.37 | 1.49 | +9.2% | +3.5% | +24.1% | +22.3% |
| 2022-11-02 | miss | 1.44 | 1.31 | -8.7% | -5.5% | -21.5% | -12.0% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 1.24 | 1.28 | +3.0% | +1.2% | +3.2% | +11.4% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 1.19 | 1.20 | +1.3% | +2.5% | +10.6% | +3.9% |
| 2022-02-17 | 1.03 | 1.03 | — | -1.3% | +3.4% | -2.0% | |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | 0.84 | 1.10 | +31.5% | +5.4% | +16.8% | +25.0% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | 0.75 | 0.86 | +14.2% | +1.4% | +5.2% | +4.0% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 0.60 | 0.82 | +36.7% | +3.6% | +7.1% | +13.6% |
| 2021-02-18 | beat | 0.58 | 0.70 | +20.7% | -0.7% | -3.1% | -0.5% |
| 2020-10-22 | beat | 0.52 | 0.55 | +6.8% | +0.1% | -1.4% | -6.6% |
| 2020-07-23 | beat | 0.42 | 0.49 | +16.7% | -1.2% | -0.6% | -5.3% |
| 2020-04-23 | miss | 0.45 | 0.43 | -4.4% | +2.0% | +11.6% | +21.8% |
| 2020-02-13 | beat | 0.67 | 0.68 | +1.1% | -0.9% | -5.8% | -14.4% |
| 2019-10-24 | beat | 0.81 | 0.81 | +0.3% | -2.8% | -4.8% | -7.9% |
| 2019-07-25 | miss | 0.77 | 0.75 | -2.6% | +0.7% | -4.1% | -3.0% |
| 2019-05-02 | beat | 0.61 | 0.82 | +35.5% | +5.9% | +17.5% | +18.6% |
| 2019-02-14 | beat | 0.53 | 0.65 | +23.2% | +6.8% | +17.5% | +23.1% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.55 | 0.68 | +24.8% | +4.1% | +13.4% | +14.4% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 0.50 | 0.54 | +7.5% | -1.0% | +6.3% | +10.3% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.43 | 0.51 | +20.0% | +1.8% | +6.3% | +0.6% |
| 2018-02-15 | beat | 0.38 | 0.51 | +34.2% | +5.5% | +10.3% | +10.6% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 0.40 | 0.50 | +24.2% | +7.2% | +10.1% | +16.4% |
| 2017-07-27 | beat | 0.37 | 0.42 | +12.5% | +0.5% | +2.5% | +1.5% |
| 2017-04-28 | beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +6.4% | +1.7% | +7.0% | -3.2% |
| 2017-02-17 | miss | 0.34 | 0.28 | -17.2% | -3.8% | -7.0% | -8.9% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | 0.36 | 0.46 | +27.8% | +9.9% | +3.9% | +3.6% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +6.0% | +3.8% | +2.2% | +3.9% |
| 2016-04-29 | beat | 0.24 | 0.27 | +11.0% | +3.0% | +0.6% | -9.2% |
| 2016-02-18 | beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +9.9% | -0.5% | +3.3% | +7.6% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +7.4% | -0.7% | -2.4% | -2.0% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +3.6% | -2.9% | -9.4% | -7.0% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | 0.36 | 0.41 | +14.9% | -0.5% | +0.0% | -5.2% |
| 2015-02-19 | beat | 0.43 | 0.50 | +16.8% | +0.9% | +5.1% | +0.7% |
| 2014-10-23 | beat | 0.43 | 0.51 | +18.1% | +7.7% | +20.9% | +30.2% |
| 2014-07-24 | miss | 0.45 | 0.36 | -20.7% | -5.1% | -9.0% | -11.6% |
| 2014-04-24 | beat | 0.24 | 0.29 | +22.1% | +1.8% | +4.3% | -2.6% |
| 2014-02-26 | beat | 0.23 | 0.34 | +49.1% | +5.1% | +6.3% | +22.3% |
| 2013-10-24 | beat | 0.20 | 0.24 | +20.0% | +0.1% | +1.0% | +1.9% |
| 2013-07-26 | beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +1.8% | -0.5% | -2.0% | +2.8% |
| 2013-04-25 | miss | 0.35 | 0.33 | -5.2% | +0.2% | +1.6% | -9.6% |
| 2013-02-28 | beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +12.3% | +4.5% | -0.3% | +1.8% |
| 2012-10-25 | miss | 0.42 | 0.39 | -6.6% | -5.5% | -2.4% | -3.9% |
| 2012-07-27 | 0.38 | 0.38 | — | -11.0% | +1.8% | +1.1% | |
| 2012-04-26 | beat | 0.26 | 0.30 | +15.4% | -0.9% | -0.7% | -5.7% |
| 2012-02-27 | miss | 0.06 | 0.04 | -29.4% | -0.6% | -2.1% | -12.0% |
| 2011-10-27 | beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +2.5% | -2.2% | +7.5% | -0.6% |
Not investment advice.
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