MTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.6%
Next 1 week
+1.1%
Next 1 month
+4.0%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +2.9% median,
57% of the last 35 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 10
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.42%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.60 +4.0%
$5M/day volume
47% volatility
-37% 1-year
-76% from ATH
52-week range · 1% of the way up · -41% from the high
$9.26$15.97
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 0.18.
1-day std dev
12.2%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+29.8%
Biggest drop
-35.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | 0.20 | — | — | -4.6% | -2.9% | -2.3% | |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 0.07 | 0.13 | +100.0% | -10.2% | -11.9% | -11.2% |
| 2026-02-04 | miss | 0.04 | -0.02 | -157.1% | -5.8% | -16.7% | -16.0% |
| 2025-11-05 | miss | 0.02 | -0.01 | -150.0% | -1.6% | -18.8% | -24.9% |
| 2025-09-09 | miss | 0.02 | -0.28 | -1966.7% | -11.2% | -13.9% | -10.8% |
| 2025-05-07 | miss | -0.05 | -0.12 | -140.0% | -18.4% | +11.3% | +5.1% |
| 2025-02-05 | beat | -0.22 | -0.20 | +11.1% | -14.5% | +0.7% | +9.4% |
| 2024-11-06 | miss | -0.32 | -0.33 | -3.1% | +0.3% | -1.2% | -0.7% |
| 2024-09-09 | beat | -0.21 | -0.14 | +33.3% | +20.2% | +15.3% | +16.3% |
| 2024-05-08 | miss | -0.13 | -0.53 | -307.7% | -8.6% | -10.1% | -6.7% |
| 2024-02-07 | miss | -0.10 | -0.18 | -80.0% | +5.9% | +23.1% | +37.4% |
| 2023-11-08 | miss | -0.09 | -0.21 | -133.3% | +2.3% | +4.2% | -9.0% |
| 2023-09-11 | beat | -0.21 | -0.11 | +47.6% | +15.1% | +13.8% | +17.8% |
| 2023-05-08 | miss | -0.18 | -0.33 | -78.4% | +0.9% | +3.7% | +8.9% |
| 2023-02-09 | miss | -0.10 | -0.53 | -404.8% | -17.4% | -11.8% | -25.9% |
| 2022-11-07 | beat | -0.26 | -0.15 | +43.4% | +1.4% | +6.0% | +5.6% |
| 2022-10-07 | miss | -0.30 | -0.52 | -70.5% | -3.4% | -10.8% | -8.0% |
| 2022-05-09 | miss | -0.19 | -0.50 | -156.4% | -1.4% | -16.3% | -14.0% |
| 2022-02-07 | miss | -0.26 | -0.38 | -46.1% | -3.1% | +2.9% | +7.1% |
| 2021-11-08 | miss | -0.22 | -0.60 | -172.7% | -0.1% | -8.2% | -5.5% |
| 2021-09-13 | miss | -0.02 | -0.40 | -1500.0% | -9.1% | -8.3% | -11.6% |
| 2021-05-10 | miss | 0.02 | -0.43 | -2966.7% | -4.0% | -4.6% | -9.7% |
| 2021-02-08 | miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -50.0% | -1.4% | -5.4% | -2.3% |
| 2020-11-04 | miss | 0.04 | -0.10 | -394.3% | -5.1% | +3.5% | +10.5% |
| 2020-09-01 | miss | 0.06 | -0.01 | -116.7% | -0.7% | -2.2% | -14.1% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | 0.11 | -0.02 | -119.0% | -1.2% | +2.3% | -11.0% |
| 2020-02-05 | miss | 0.34 | 0.19 | -44.1% | -29.4% | -35.3% | -30.3% |
| 2019-11-06 | miss | 0.28 | 0.22 | -20.0% | -3.6% | +0.6% | -1.0% |
| 2019-08-28 | beat | 0.42 | 0.47 | +11.9% | +7.5% | +14.1% | -3.4% |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | 0.26 | 0.33 | +25.3% | +9.1% | +14.9% | +10.5% |
| 2019-02-06 | miss | 0.19 | 0.14 | -26.3% | -2.0% | -12.0% | -6.7% |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | 0.08 | 0.08 | +6.7% | +9.6% | +4.6% | -5.3% |
| 2018-09-10 | miss | 0.07 | 0.03 | -57.1% | -10.6% | +0.7% | +15.5% |
| 2018-05-09 | miss | 0.07 | -0.19 | -392.3% | -3.6% | +0.6% | +10.1% |
| 2018-02-07 | miss | 0.18 | 0.17 | -5.6% | -6.9% | -13.7% | -7.5% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | 0.06 | 0.14 | +133.3% | +3.2% | +4.2% | +8.5% |
| 2017-09-06 | miss | -0.04 | -0.04 | -9.1% | +7.3% | +13.0% | +17.1% |
| 2017-05-09 | miss | -0.49 | -0.52 | -6.1% | -4.1% | -9.1% | -20.5% |
| 2017-02-08 | miss | 0.30 | 0.20 | -32.9% | -13.2% | -12.9% | -20.0% |
| 2016-11-07 | beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +9.4% | -1.8% | +5.9% | +10.3% |
| 2016-08-30 | beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +13.3% | +17.9% | +15.1% | +21.3% |
| 2016-05-04 | miss | 0.28 | 0.18 | -35.8% | -5.4% | -22.9% | -18.6% |
| 2016-02-03 | miss | 0.36 | 0.32 | -10.5% | -17.2% | -15.3% | -18.7% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | 0.33 | 0.37 | +11.0% | -3.3% | -3.5% | -2.6% |
| 2015-08-31 | beat | 0.27 | 0.40 | +48.1% | +7.6% | +7.5% | +13.0% |
| 2015-05-07 | miss | 0.37 | -0.11 | -129.5% | -0.7% | -13.8% | -14.0% |
| 2015-02-04 | beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +8.5% | -1.1% | -11.1% | -8.0% |
| 2014-11-05 | miss | 0.31 | 0.22 | -28.3% | -4.1% | -8.9% | -4.7% |
| 2014-09-03 | miss | 0.36 | 0.28 | -22.2% | -15.4% | -21.5% | -16.5% |
| 2014-05-08 | beat | 0.34 | 0.42 | +23.5% | +10.3% | +18.4% | +15.4% |
| 2014-02-05 | beat | 0.26 | 0.38 | +45.1% | +14.6% | +29.8% | +22.2% |
| 2013-11-07 | beat | 0.25 | 0.25 | +0.8% | -0.6% | -1.9% | +8.3% |
| 2013-09-03 | beat | 0.26 | 0.28 | +8.5% | +0.2% | +2.8% | +11.0% |
| 2013-05-08 | beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +8.0% | +0.4% | +5.3% | +14.0% |
| 2013-02-06 | beat | 0.24 | 0.29 | +21.7% | +0.0% | +2.6% | +13.8% |
| 2012-11-08 | beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +11.1% | -0.1% | +7.5% | +3.2% |
| 2012-09-05 | miss | 0.20 | 0.07 | -65.1% | -8.7% | -9.6% | +0.0% |
| 2012-05-07 | miss | 0.21 | 0.19 | -10.4% | -7.8% | -12.8% | -12.2% |
| 2012-02-08 | beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +3.8% | -0.5% | +1.5% | +5.5% |
| 2011-11-02 | miss | 0.17 | 0.13 | -24.9% | -0.9% | +4.7% | -3.4% |
Not investment advice.
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