MXModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.1%
Next 1 week
+5.5%
Next 1 month
+8.0%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -0.5% median,
50% of the last 14 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 88
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.32%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 3.09 +8.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.9%
$2M/day volume
97% volatility
-14% 1-year
52-week range · 6% of the way up · -73% from the high
$2.18$9.86
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. -0.20.
1-day std dev
13.0%
Finished up
49%
Biggest pop
+19.4%
Biggest drop
-49.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 57 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | beat | -0.22 | -0.11 | +50.0% | -7.2% | -31.8% | -19.1% |
| 2026-03-04 | beat | -0.32 | -0.08 | +75.0% | +6.3% | +7.1% | +3.0% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | -0.08 | -0.01 | +87.5% | -11.3% | -8.4% | -25.4% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | -0.12 | -0.08 | +36.0% | -23.2% | -27.8% | -34.1% |
| 2025-05-12 | beat | -0.22 | -0.10 | +54.5% | +2.1% | -2.4% | +21.3% |
| 2025-03-12 | beat | -0.19 | 0.07 | +136.8% | +10.4% | -5.4% | +0.5% |
| 2024-10-30 | miss | -0.19 | -0.34 | -82.1% | -1.1% | -1.6% | -10.3% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | -0.33 | -0.21 | +36.4% | +7.3% | +13.0% | -1.8% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | -0.33 | -0.28 | +14.3% | +4.9% | +3.2% | -0.8% |
| 2024-02-28 | beat | -0.26 | -0.21 | +20.2% | -4.0% | -14.8% | -16.3% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | -0.17 | -0.04 | +76.9% | -6.4% | -3.1% | -11.6% |
| 2023-08-07 | beat | -0.20 | -0.06 | +69.5% | +0.9% | +0.7% | -7.8% |
| 2023-05-03 | miss | -0.19 | -0.24 | -23.1% | -2.3% | -0.3% | -2.1% |
| 2023-02-16 | miss | -0.26 | -0.36 | -38.5% | -11.4% | -5.2% | -6.2% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | -0.06 | 0.02 | +135.3% | -8.2% | -5.8% | -5.8% |
| 2022-08-08 | beat | 0.18 | 0.23 | +25.5% | -7.5% | -14.0% | -7.5% |
| 2022-05-03 | beat | 0.24 | 0.28 | +18.3% | -2.5% | -0.5% | -10.7% |
| 2022-02-16 | beat | 0.28 | 0.31 | +10.7% | -3.1% | -0.7% | -2.9% |
| 2021-10-25 | beat | 0.20 | 0.42 | +110.0% | +5.7% | +5.0% | +7.9% |
| 2021-08-05 | miss | 0.21 | 0.15 | -26.8% | -3.3% | -7.1% | -7.9% |
| 2021-05-10 | beat | 0.13 | 0.22 | +63.1% | -0.9% | -0.8% | -5.6% |
| 2021-02-17 | beat | 0.13 | 0.40 | +216.5% | +5.3% | -1.7% | -10.2% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.07 | 0.14 | +101.1% | +7.6% | +1.6% | +7.6% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 0.07 | 0.13 | +78.8% | -2.9% | +0.3% | +6.4% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | 0.15 | 0.24 | +60.0% | -3.2% | +2.5% | -11.8% |
| 2020-02-19 | beat | 0.14 | 0.20 | +42.3% | +6.7% | +4.0% | -21.0% |
| 2019-10-23 | beat | 0.28 | 0.49 | +72.9% | +7.3% | +4.4% | +6.6% |
| 2019-07-30 | beat | -0.13 | 0.08 | +161.9% | +11.3% | +4.3% | +0.0% |
| 2019-04-30 | miss | -0.50 | -0.58 | -17.1% | +7.3% | +12.5% | +12.8% |
| 2019-02-14 | beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +42.6% | -6.4% | -2.6% | +10.7% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 0.26 | 0.32 | +22.6% | -0.2% | -1.9% | -0.6% |
| 2018-07-30 | beat | 0.16 | 0.23 | +39.9% | +16.1% | +3.6% | +8.5% |
| 2018-04-30 | miss | 0.06 | 0.04 | -33.1% | +8.0% | +16.6% | +12.3% |
| 2018-02-06 | beat | 0.23 | 0.23 | +1.5% | -1.8% | -12.1% | -15.6% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 0.23 | 0.28 | +22.5% | +1.9% | +9.1% | +16.3% |
| 2017-08-03 | beat | 0.04 | 0.21 | +434.6% | +9.7% | +14.7% | -5.5% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | -0.09 | 0.01 | +111.1% | +1.2% | +17.0% | +10.9% |
| 2017-02-09 | miss | 0.12 | 0.04 | -66.7% | -5.5% | -9.1% | -7.9% |
| 2016-10-27 | miss | 0.03 | -0.04 | -233.3% | -19.5% | -26.6% | -34.3% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | -0.25 | -0.05 | +80.0% | +4.2% | +18.6% | +21.0% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | -0.25 | -0.08 | +68.6% | +14.1% | +7.2% | +4.6% |
| 2016-02-17 | beat | -0.47 | 0.15 | +131.6% | +5.8% | +17.4% | +53.0% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | -0.32 | -0.30 | +7.7% | -3.0% | -15.6% | -9.6% |
| 2015-08-06 | beat | -0.40 | -0.32 | +20.7% | -0.2% | -1.2% | +6.8% |
| 2015-05-28 | miss | -0.20 | -0.28 | -42.4% | +8.8% | +12.2% | +21.6% |
| 2015-02-12 | miss | 0.74 | -0.20 | -127.2% | -57.3% | -49.9% | -62.3% |
| 2013-10-29 | beat | 0.71 | 0.76 | +6.9% | -5.9% | -8.7% | -6.6% |
| 2013-07-30 | beat | 0.59 | 0.71 | +19.4% | +8.2% | +18.4% | +9.7% |
| 2013-04-30 | beat | 0.47 | 0.53 | +13.8% | +2.2% | -0.4% | +0.0% |
| 2013-01-30 | beat | 0.71 | 0.77 | +9.1% | +1.7% | +0.1% | -4.3% |
| 2012-11-01 | beat | 0.61 | 0.81 | +32.8% | +9.1% | +5.7% | +2.6% |
| 2012-08-02 | beat | 0.36 | 0.48 | +32.8% | +4.8% | +19.4% | +27.4% |
| 2012-04-25 | miss | 0.14 | 0.12 | -12.7% | +1.6% | +7.6% | +2.5% |
| 2012-02-01 | beat | 0.20 | 0.20 | +0.6% | +3.3% | +6.5% | +7.0% |
| 2011-10-26 | miss | 0.39 | 0.39 | -0.8% | +0.5% | +14.1% | +20.6% |
| 2011-07-27 | beat | 0.49 | 0.49 | +0.4% | +0.3% | -1.4% | -6.1% |
| 2011-05-03 | beat | 0.38 | 0.85 | +122.0% | +0.7% | -1.4% | +6.4% |
Not investment advice.
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