MYModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.9%
Next 1 month
+2.9%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -1.1% median,
43% of the last 30 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 34
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.15 +3.3% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$17M/day volume
86% volatility
-20% 1-year
52-week range · 64% of the way up · -24% from the high
$2.74$8.38
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. -0.20.
1-day std dev
16.6%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+46.5%
Biggest drop
-46.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | miss | -0.06 | -0.25 | -332.7% | -42.3% | -46.7% | -39.3% |
| 2026-05-05 | miss | -0.07 | -0.09 | -34.7% | -17.9% | -18.3% | -25.8% |
| 2026-02-23 | beat | -0.02 | 0.04 | +348.3% | +27.2% | +1.1% | +20.8% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | -0.01 | — | +100.0% | -9.3% | -21.0% | -18.3% |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | -0.01 | 0.05 | +724.2% | +34.1% | +46.5% | +51.7% |
| 2025-05-06 | beat | -0.05 | -0.03 | +44.8% | -21.6% | -41.3% | -47.2% |
| 2025-02-24 | miss | 0.03 | 0.03 | -0.9% | -25.1% | -14.8% | -24.4% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | 0.02 | 0.06 | +211.0% | +3.6% | -1.5% | -13.7% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | -0.01 | 0.05 | +561.7% | +10.0% | +2.6% | +6.4% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | -0.11 | -0.01 | +91.1% | +18.6% | +21.1% | +24.7% |
| 2024-02-27 | beat | 0.01 | 0.04 | +214.2% | -1.1% | -8.0% | -2.4% |
| 2023-11-06 | beat | -0.08 | -0.03 | +63.6% | +4.8% | +8.7% | +2.9% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | -0.09 | -0.08 | +7.2% | +0.0% | -2.5% | -21.6% |
| 2023-05-03 | miss | -0.19 | -0.21 | -8.4% | -12.5% | -3.7% | -19.8% |
| 2023-02-28 | beat | -0.17 | -0.12 | +30.4% | +3.9% | +13.2% | +15.5% |
| 2022-11-01 | miss | -0.08 | -0.19 | -141.3% | -6.3% | -15.6% | -13.2% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +84.6% | +1.2% | +5.7% | +3.0% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | -0.09 | -0.03 | +65.6% | -3.9% | -1.1% | -4.4% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | -0.06 | -0.02 | +64.1% | +7.3% | +7.0% | -1.3% |
| 2021-11-02 | miss | -0.01 | -0.02 | -100.0% | -3.8% | -1.3% | +1.4% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | -0.10 | 0.12 | +214.3% | +2.3% | +14.2% | +7.5% |
| 2021-05-03 | beat | -0.15 | -0.06 | +59.1% | -0.4% | +4.0% | -16.5% |
| 2021-02-23 | beat | -0.23 | -0.12 | +47.8% | -2.1% | +3.7% | -0.9% |
| 2020-05-05 | miss | 0.01 | -0.08 | -1166.7% | -8.8% | -4.0% | +1.1% |
| 2020-02-06 | miss | 0.29 | 0.23 | -21.7% | -29.4% | -28.2% | -33.7% |
| 2019-11-04 | miss | 0.31 | 0.08 | -74.5% | -39.3% | -40.4% | -31.1% |
| 2019-08-13 | miss | 0.48 | 0.41 | -14.6% | -34.1% | -42.8% | -43.7% |
| 2019-05-07 | beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +6.3% | -9.7% | -21.4% | -22.7% |
| 2019-02-05 | miss | 0.39 | 0.38 | -3.1% | -3.8% | +2.7% | +8.3% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | 0.31 | 0.43 | +38.2% | -3.7% | -10.5% | -19.4% |
| 2018-08-21 | beat | 0.33 | 0.38 | +15.5% | +1.5% | +12.5% | +16.1% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | 0.27 | 0.31 | +13.9% | +1.4% | +15.8% | +16.7% |
| 2018-02-06 | beat | 0.24 | 0.31 | +30.9% | -0.1% | -5.5% | -5.9% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | 0.21 | 0.26 | +26.4% | +3.9% | +0.7% | +4.5% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | 0.26 | 0.30 | +13.2% | -6.0% | +9.5% | +9.0% |
| 2017-05-02 | beat | 0.24 | 0.27 | +13.3% | +11.8% | +20.4% | +21.6% |
| 2017-02-07 | beat | 0.24 | 0.26 | +8.2% | +14.9% | +7.3% | +12.9% |
| 2016-11-01 | miss | 0.25 | 0.23 | -9.3% | -12.8% | -15.9% | -10.8% |
| 2016-08-09 | miss | 0.37 | 0.32 | -14.4% | -28.2% | -33.1% | -28.9% |
| 2016-05-03 | beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +7.8% | -2.2% | -6.2% | -4.5% |
| 2016-02-02 | beat | 0.41 | 0.45 | +10.1% | +0.3% | -5.1% | -9.9% |
| 2015-11-03 | beat | 0.35 | 0.41 | +16.3% | +3.3% | +9.1% | +3.9% |
| 2015-08-11 | miss | 0.41 | 0.41 | -0.4% | -2.3% | +6.8% | +9.8% |
| 2015-05-05 | beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +1.4% | -4.5% | -2.5% | -1.4% |
| 2015-02-03 | beat | 0.34 | 0.40 | +16.0% | -16.1% | -9.2% | -13.9% |
| 2014-11-04 | miss | 0.27 | 0.25 | -6.5% | -0.2% | -6.2% | -10.6% |
| 2014-08-12 | beat | 0.46 | 0.48 | +3.7% | -10.1% | -7.6% | -3.8% |
| 2014-05-06 | beat | 0.45 | 0.60 | +32.0% | -4.5% | -9.8% | -8.2% |
| 2014-02-04 | beat | 0.46 | 0.66 | +42.5% | +12.8% | +15.1% | +13.1% |
| 2013-11-05 | beat | 0.46 | 0.68 | +48.0% | +11.1% | +0.7% | +5.4% |
| 2013-08-13 | beat | 0.44 | 0.53 | +21.2% | -3.8% | -7.0% | -9.0% |
| 2013-05-07 | beat | 0.39 | 0.46 | +17.5% | +8.9% | +8.2% | +18.5% |
| 2013-02-05 | beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +10.3% | +0.7% | -3.4% | -9.9% |
| 2012-11-05 | beat | 0.32 | 0.36 | +11.2% | +4.3% | +14.2% | +12.7% |
| 2012-08-14 | beat | 0.34 | 0.34 | +0.2% | -3.4% | -1.9% | -2.2% |
| 2012-05-01 | beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +6.8% | +3.2% | +1.8% | -1.4% |
| 2012-01-31 | beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +6.5% | +5.3% | +1.3% | -0.3% |
| 2011-11-01 | beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +4.8% | +17.3% | +4.0% | +0.5% |
| 2011-08-09 | beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +5.0% | -2.2% | -4.1% | +5.0% |
| 2011-05-03 | beat | 0.25 | 0.31 | +22.9% | +6.6% | +4.9% | +13.5% |
Not investment advice.
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