NAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.4%
Next 1 week
-0.2%
Next 1 month
+0.1%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +0.8% median,
50% of the last 32 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 97
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.32%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.12 +0.3% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$4M/day volume
21% volatility
-6% 1-year
-14% from ATH
52-week range · 60% of the way up · -8% from the high
$88.67$110.92
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-06 (Friday, before open, in 6 days).
1-day std dev
2.6%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+6.0%
Biggest drop
-3.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 16 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-11-05 | beat | 0.78 | 0.84 | +8.4% | -0.2% | -3.4% | -0.1% |
| 2014-08-05 | beat | 0.57 | 0.89 | +56.1% | +2.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% |
| 2014-06-13 | beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +1.5% | -0.2% | +2.2% | +8.6% |
| 2014-02-06 | miss | 0.29 | 0.24 | -16.1% | -0.2% | +2.1% | +2.8% |
| 2013-11-08 | miss | 0.70 | 0.57 | -18.3% | -0.2% | -1.7% | +0.1% |
| 2013-08-07 | beat | 0.49 | 0.73 | +48.4% | +0.3% | -0.7% | -11.9% |
| 2013-06-12 | beat | 0.25 | 0.35 | +40.6% | +3.8% | +2.2% | +2.7% |
| 2013-02-01 | miss | 0.33 | 0.24 | -26.6% | -0.7% | +0.0% | -5.6% |
| 2012-10-31 | beat | 0.54 | 0.63 | +17.3% | +1.0% | +5.7% | +4.4% |
| 2012-08-01 | beat | 0.38 | 0.46 | +21.7% | -1.2% | -0.8% | +5.5% |
| 2012-06-04 | beat | 0.13 | 0.24 | +79.1% | +2.2% | +6.0% | +9.9% |
| 2012-02-03 | beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +9.7% | +0.9% | +1.5% | +0.3% |
| 2011-11-01 | beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +5.1% | +0.3% | -1.1% | -1.4% |
| 2011-08-03 | miss | 0.32 | 0.32 | -0.6% | -1.1% | -0.7% | +0.2% |
| 2011-06-06 | miss | 0.19 | 0.12 | -37.2% | -0.1% | +0.0% | +0.6% |
| 2011-02-01 | beat | 0.15 | 0.20 | +36.0% | -0.9% | +2.6% | +3.9% |
Not investment advice.
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