NBModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.1%
Next 1 month
+0.7%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +0.0% median,
50% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 85
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.24%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.41 +1.0% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$18M/day volume
52% volatility
+75% 1-year
52-week range · 68% of the way up · -20% from the high
$44.04$112.90
Congressional trades in NBR Full tracker →
3 members · 1 buys / 3 sells · $18K–$95K disclosed · latest filing Jul 28, 2022.
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-09 (Tuesday, after close, in 102 days) · EPS est. -0.02.
1-day std dev
8.1%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+29.5%
Biggest drop
-13.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | miss | -0.90 | -1.24 | -38.5% | +6.0% | +10.5% | — |
| 2026-07-28 | miss | -1.28 | -2.04 | -59.4% | +7.7% | +4.8% | +3.9% |
| 2026-04-28 | beat | -2.03 | -1.54 | +24.1% | +0.6% | +11.3% | +6.2% |
| 2026-02-11 | beat | -1.39 | 0.95 | +168.1% | -6.2% | -9.9% | +10.3% |
| 2025-10-28 | miss | -1.54 | -2.61 | -69.5% | +5.6% | +10.2% | +9.9% |
| 2025-07-29 | miss | -1.52 | -2.71 | -78.6% | +0.0% | +2.2% | +0.4% |
| 2025-04-29 | beat | -2.88 | 2.18 | +175.7% | -0.6% | -7.0% | -10.5% |
| 2025-02-12 | miss | -2.31 | -6.67 | -189.4% | -3.7% | -7.1% | -19.2% |
| 2024-10-22 | miss | -1.91 | -6.86 | -259.3% | +1.4% | -1.8% | +4.5% |
| 2024-07-23 | miss | -1.81 | -4.29 | -136.4% | +4.3% | +10.4% | +27.0% |
| 2024-04-24 | miss | -1.95 | -4.54 | -133.1% | +1.1% | -4.9% | -12.2% |
| 2024-02-06 | miss | -0.82 | -2.70 | -227.5% | +0.6% | -1.2% | -5.5% |
| 2023-10-25 | miss | 0.77 | -5.40 | -797.1% | -4.2% | -6.2% | -12.8% |
| 2023-07-25 | miss | 2.47 | -1.46 | -158.9% | -4.4% | +3.1% | +0.8% |
| 2023-04-24 | miss | 1.13 | -1.43 | -227.0% | -2.0% | -10.1% | -21.3% |
| 2023-02-07 | miss | -0.47 | -7.87 | -1586.2% | +0.6% | +6.7% | -5.9% |
| 2022-10-25 | miss | -4.40 | -5.54 | -25.8% | +8.6% | +22.4% | +20.3% |
| 2022-08-03 | miss | -7.67 | -9.41 | -22.8% | -0.1% | -13.1% | -1.9% |
| 2022-04-27 | miss | -10.63 | -22.51 | -111.7% | -0.3% | -0.7% | -3.6% |
| 2022-02-08 | miss | -11.16 | -14.14 | -26.7% | -4.4% | +5.5% | +16.0% |
| 2021-10-26 | miss | -12.37 | -13.85 | -11.9% | -1.9% | -8.3% | -15.9% |
| 2021-07-27 | miss | -16.99 | -26.59 | -56.5% | -1.8% | +3.1% | -11.1% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | -20.70 | -15.11 | +27.0% | -2.0% | -3.9% | -0.3% |
| 2021-02-23 | beat | -26.41 | -16.46 | +37.7% | +1.8% | +19.7% | +23.9% |
| 2020-11-03 | beat | -23.47 | -22.23 | +5.3% | -3.7% | +6.5% | +21.8% |
| 2020-07-28 | beat | -24.36 | -14.45 | +40.7% | +5.2% | +4.2% | +29.3% |
| 2020-05-05 | miss | -14.06 | -19.87 | -41.4% | -1.4% | +1.7% | +33.0% |
| 2020-02-20 | beat | -13.67 | -11.47 | +16.0% | -3.4% | -1.3% | -24.5% |
| 2019-10-29 | miss | -11.20 | -18.50 | -65.1% | +1.1% | +5.6% | +15.6% |
| 2019-07-29 | miss | -11.99 | -30.50 | -154.3% | -4.8% | +29.5% | +19.5% |
| 2019-04-30 | miss | -12.86 | -18.00 | -40.0% | -5.1% | +3.7% | +10.9% |
| 2019-02-26 | miss | -8.83 | -11.94 | -35.3% | -3.3% | +7.2% | +10.7% |
| 2018-10-30 | miss | -10.29 | -17.50 | -70.2% | -1.1% | +4.6% | +14.7% |
| 2018-07-31 | miss | -11.43 | -19.50 | -70.5% | -1.3% | +6.5% | +8.4% |
| 2018-05-01 | miss | -14.26 | -22.14 | -55.3% | -1.8% | +3.7% | +10.2% |
| 2018-02-27 | miss | -16.95 | -17.00 | -0.3% | -0.2% | -2.9% | +4.7% |
| 2017-10-24 | miss | -16.67 | -21.00 | -26.0% | -2.5% | -0.3% | -10.3% |
| 2017-08-02 | miss | -17.69 | -23.00 | -30.0% | +0.4% | -3.0% | -11.4% |
| 2017-04-26 | miss | -18.07 | -24.50 | -35.6% | -6.1% | -10.1% | -19.3% |
| 2017-02-22 | beat | -16.82 | -15.00 | +10.8% | +2.1% | -2.2% | -5.4% |
| 2016-10-25 | miss | -16.75 | -17.89 | -6.8% | -2.4% | -3.9% | -11.3% |
| 2016-08-02 | miss | -23.41 | -32.50 | -38.8% | +0.0% | +4.4% | +9.7% |
| 2016-04-25 | miss | -17.56 | -70.50 | -301.4% | -3.6% | -9.8% | -13.2% |
| 2016-02-16 | beat | -15.14 | -10.99 | +27.4% | +5.1% | +13.7% | +10.0% |
| 2015-10-27 | beat | -6.55 | -1.00 | +84.7% | +2.9% | +4.3% | +11.8% |
| 2015-08-04 | beat | -4.39 | 4.50 | +202.6% | -1.0% | -2.4% | +6.3% |
| 2015-04-21 | beat | 1.21 | 10.00 | +723.2% | +4.9% | +4.7% | +14.6% |
| 2015-03-02 | miss | 19.52 | 16.50 | -15.5% | -2.3% | +0.6% | -7.5% |
| 2014-10-21 | miss | 18.46 | 10.00 | -45.8% | +1.3% | -2.4% | -3.9% |
| 2014-07-22 | beat | 11.61 | 12.00 | +3.4% | -0.2% | +1.2% | -0.9% |
| 2014-04-22 | beat | 6.98 | 8.10 | +16.0% | -0.2% | -0.1% | +1.1% |
| 2014-02-18 | beat | 10.10 | 15.77 | +56.1% | +3.1% | +13.3% | +19.6% |
| 2013-10-22 | beat | 9.46 | 10.00 | +5.7% | -1.9% | -5.4% | -1.9% |
| 2013-07-23 | miss | 4.91 | -0.50 | -110.2% | +0.3% | -1.3% | +0.7% |
| 2013-04-23 | beat | 13.70 | 16.50 | +20.4% | -1.8% | -3.1% | -4.1% |
| 2013-02-19 | miss | 16.03 | 4.50 | -71.9% | -0.7% | -7.4% | -9.3% |
| 2012-10-23 | beat | 18.29 | 21.00 | +14.8% | +2.1% | -1.9% | -4.9% |
| 2012-07-24 | miss | 19.22 | 19.10 | -0.7% | +0.0% | -4.4% | -1.9% |
| 2012-04-24 | beat | 25.01 | 32.34 | +29.3% | +4.6% | +6.3% | +5.3% |
| 2012-02-21 | miss | 25.28 | -18.50 | -173.2% | -1.7% | +7.0% | +7.0% |
Not investment advice.
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