NFModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.5%
Next 1 month
-0.3%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +0.7% median,
56% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 22
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.24 -0.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.3%
$82M/day volume
20% volatility
-1% 1-year
-17% from ATH
52-week range · 24% of the way up · -17% from the high
$75.03$97.06
Congressional trades in NFG Full tracker →
4 members · 6 buys / 7 sells · $153K–$470K disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 1.04.
1-day std dev
3.0%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+6.5%
Biggest drop
-9.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | beat | 1.44 | 1.54 | +7.1% | -1.9% | +1.9% | -0.4% |
| 2026-04-29 | miss | 2.84 | 2.71 | -4.5% | -1.0% | -4.2% | -8.9% |
| 2026-01-28 | beat | 1.92 | 2.06 | +7.3% | -1.7% | +1.1% | +1.9% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 1.11 | 1.22 | +9.7% | +1.3% | -1.8% | +1.7% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 1.54 | 1.64 | +6.2% | -2.4% | -1.7% | -1.1% |
| 2025-04-30 | beat | 2.21 | 2.39 | +8.1% | -1.0% | +3.2% | +6.1% |
| 2025-01-29 | beat | 1.56 | 1.66 | +6.7% | +1.8% | +2.7% | +5.5% |
| 2024-11-06 | miss | 0.82 | 0.77 | -6.6% | -2.6% | -5.6% | -3.1% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 0.98 | 0.99 | +0.6% | -1.4% | +1.0% | +1.5% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 1.46 | 1.79 | +22.9% | +5.3% | +3.4% | +6.6% |
| 2024-02-07 | beat | 1.34 | 1.46 | +8.9% | +0.7% | +6.5% | +4.5% |
| 2023-11-01 | miss | 0.85 | 0.78 | -7.8% | -3.0% | +2.7% | -2.7% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 0.92 | 1.01 | +10.3% | +0.7% | +1.8% | +5.4% |
| 2023-05-03 | miss | 1.55 | 1.54 | -0.3% | +0.9% | +0.3% | -1.6% |
| 2023-02-02 | beat | 1.69 | 1.84 | +8.6% | -0.1% | +2.9% | +1.0% |
| 2022-11-03 | miss | 1.23 | 1.19 | -3.1% | -0.1% | -2.3% | +0.7% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | 1.43 | 1.54 | +7.8% | -0.8% | +2.2% | +3.5% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | 1.62 | 1.68 | +3.9% | -1.4% | -1.9% | -5.7% |
| 2022-02-03 | beat | 1.33 | 1.48 | +11.2% | +0.3% | -3.7% | +0.0% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 0.75 | 0.95 | +25.9% | +0.0% | +2.7% | +4.3% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | 0.82 | 0.93 | +13.2% | +2.0% | +2.1% | +1.5% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 1.20 | 1.34 | +12.0% | +0.4% | +2.6% | +2.1% |
| 2021-02-05 | beat | 1.05 | 1.06 | +0.7% | +0.8% | +2.2% | +6.5% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.34 | 0.40 | +16.4% | +0.0% | -5.4% | +3.8% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | 0.51 | 0.57 | +11.0% | +0.8% | +3.6% | +6.2% |
| 2020-04-30 | beat | 0.96 | 0.97 | +1.6% | +0.1% | -1.5% | +2.9% |
| 2020-01-30 | beat | 0.98 | 1.01 | +3.3% | +0.4% | +2.9% | +1.5% |
| 2019-10-31 | beat | 0.53 | 0.54 | +2.5% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +3.0% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | 0.66 | 0.71 | +8.0% | +0.4% | +4.2% | +1.3% |
| 2019-05-02 | miss | 1.14 | 1.07 | -6.4% | +0.0% | -0.4% | -2.2% |
| 2019-01-31 | beat | 1.06 | 1.12 | +5.6% | +0.0% | +2.4% | +1.6% |
| 2018-11-01 | miss | 0.53 | 0.49 | -8.0% | -1.4% | -6.9% | -1.5% |
| 2018-08-02 | beat | 0.65 | 0.73 | +13.0% | +1.4% | -0.1% | +3.9% |
| 2018-05-03 | beat | 1.05 | 1.11 | +5.8% | +0.4% | +2.3% | -0.2% |
| 2018-02-01 | beat | 0.85 | 1.02 | +20.7% | +2.5% | -9.1% | -9.1% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +2.5% | -1.1% | +0.5% | +0.1% |
| 2017-08-03 | beat | 0.69 | 0.69 | +0.7% | -0.7% | +1.9% | +0.3% |
| 2017-05-04 | beat | 1.03 | 1.04 | +0.7% | +0.1% | +2.2% | +5.2% |
| 2017-02-02 | beat | 0.87 | 1.04 | +20.1% | +1.4% | +3.3% | +5.5% |
| 2016-11-03 | beat | 0.53 | 0.66 | +23.6% | +3.1% | -1.5% | -0.6% |
| 2016-08-04 | beat | 0.65 | 0.68 | +5.4% | +1.2% | -0.4% | +1.4% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | 0.96 | 0.97 | +0.7% | -1.0% | +2.6% | +0.2% |
| 2016-02-04 | beat | 0.78 | 0.78 | +0.1% | -2.2% | -2.1% | -3.7% |
| 2015-11-05 | miss | 0.42 | 0.41 | -3.3% | -1.1% | -4.2% | -11.9% |
| 2015-08-06 | beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +1.9% | -2.2% | +0.0% | +5.4% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | 0.90 | 1.02 | +13.1% | +0.0% | +2.0% | +0.0% |
| 2015-01-29 | beat | 0.87 | 1.00 | +14.6% | +0.4% | -2.0% | -2.3% |
| 2014-11-06 | beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +4.4% | -1.1% | +1.4% | -1.9% |
| 2014-08-07 | beat | 0.73 | 0.73 | +0.2% | -2.9% | +4.7% | +8.9% |
| 2014-05-08 | beat | 1.13 | 1.15 | +1.9% | +1.9% | +0.7% | +1.1% |
| 2014-02-06 | beat | 0.85 | 0.97 | +13.7% | -0.5% | -0.6% | +0.1% |
| 2013-11-07 | beat | 0.58 | 0.63 | +8.7% | -0.1% | -0.5% | +2.5% |
| 2013-08-08 | beat | 0.65 | 0.69 | +5.4% | -0.5% | +0.6% | -1.5% |
| 2013-05-02 | beat | 0.98 | 1.02 | +3.9% | +0.3% | -0.3% | +0.5% |
| 2013-02-07 | beat | 0.79 | 0.81 | +2.7% | +0.2% | -1.5% | +1.6% |
| 2012-11-01 | beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +11.1% | +1.3% | -1.5% | -3.9% |
| 2012-08-02 | beat | 0.46 | 0.54 | +18.1% | +3.3% | +3.1% | +8.0% |
| 2012-05-03 | miss | 0.89 | 0.89 | -0.2% | +0.8% | +2.1% | -0.1% |
| 2012-02-02 | miss | 0.81 | 0.73 | -10.2% | -0.1% | -0.5% | -4.9% |
| 2011-11-03 | beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +1.6% | -0.5% | -3.9% | -6.9% |
Not investment advice.
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