NGModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.4%
Next 1 week
+2.3%
Next 1 month
+6.8%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +1.7% median,
55% of the last 22 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 57
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.73 +7.1% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$27M/day volume
76% volatility
-23% 1-year
-68% from ATH
52-week range · 13% of the way up · -56% from the high
$5.08$14.40
Congressional trades in NG Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 0 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing Oct 12, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-21 (Thursday, before open, in 84 days) · EPS est. -0.06.
1-day std dev
5.6%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+15.0%
Biggest drop
-14.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | miss | -0.08 | -0.11 | -44.0% | -0.5% | -1.3% | +3.1% |
| 2026-06-24 | miss | -0.07 | -0.09 | -19.8% | -4.4% | -14.1% | -15.9% |
| 2026-04-01 | beat | -0.08 | -0.06 | +30.8% | +4.8% | +4.2% | +4.0% |
| 2026-01-22 | miss | -0.04 | -0.04 | -3.6% | -2.3% | +5.0% | +9.9% |
| 2025-10-01 | miss | -0.05 | -0.06 | -16.9% | -1.5% | +15.0% | +17.2% |
| 2025-06-25 | miss | -0.05 | -0.21 | -273.7% | +0.0% | -5.1% | +14.9% |
| 2025-04-01 | beat | -0.06 | -0.04 | +25.7% | +2.1% | +2.1% | -21.9% |
| 2024-10-02 | miss | -0.03 | -0.04 | -49.9% | -4.3% | -13.3% | -17.6% |
| 2023-04-04 | miss | -0.02 | -0.04 | -61.4% | -0.3% | -7.9% | -2.1% |
| 2023-01-25 | beat | -0.05 | -0.05 | +0.6% | +0.4% | -6.5% | -8.1% |
| 2022-10-04 | miss | -0.02 | -0.07 | -171.2% | -3.4% | -6.1% | -8.5% |
| 2022-06-29 | miss | -0.04 | -0.05 | -37.5% | -0.9% | -10.4% | -16.8% |
| 2022-04-05 | beat | -0.04 | -0.04 | +1.6% | +0.4% | -0.5% | +5.2% |
| 2022-01-26 | beat | -0.04 | -0.04 | +15.1% | -2.6% | -5.1% | -3.2% |
| 2021-09-29 | miss | -0.04 | -0.05 | -17.2% | +0.0% | +3.9% | +12.1% |
| 2021-06-29 | beat | -0.04 | -0.04 | +2.2% | -0.9% | +0.3% | +1.8% |
| 2021-03-31 | beat | -0.03 | -0.03 | +3.2% | +1.1% | +6.3% | +7.4% |
| 2021-01-27 | beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +36.1% | +3.5% | +9.7% | +6.3% |
| 2020-09-30 | miss | -0.03 | -0.05 | -97.4% | -1.6% | -3.3% | -7.3% |
| 2020-06-24 | miss | -0.03 | -0.03 | -0.6% | -3.7% | -1.4% | +6.0% |
| 2020-04-01 | beat | -0.03 | -0.03 | +2.0% | +0.3% | +6.8% | +30.1% |
| 2020-01-22 | miss | -0.04 | -0.04 | -0.9% | -1.8% | +4.2% | +3.0% |
| 2019-10-01 | beat | -0.03 | -0.03 | +2.0% | -0.3% | +3.1% | +8.3% |
| 2019-06-26 | miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -7.1% | -1.8% | +2.1% | -1.8% |
| 2019-04-02 | miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -33.6% | -3.6% | +2.2% | +5.0% |
| 2019-01-23 | miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -16.2% | +0.6% | -0.6% | +10.2% |
| 2018-10-02 | beat | -0.03 | -0.03 | +13.2% | +0.5% | +3.4% | +3.2% |
| 2018-06-27 | miss | -0.02 | -0.04 | -99.5% | -3.7% | +0.2% | +5.8% |
| 2018-04-04 | beat | -0.04 | -0.04 | +1.4% | -3.3% | -1.5% | +1.1% |
| 2018-01-24 | beat | -0.05 | -0.04 | +22.1% | -3.6% | -11.6% | -15.6% |
| 2017-10-03 | miss | -0.04 | -0.04 | -1.3% | +0.2% | -2.2% | +3.9% |
| 2017-06-26 | miss | -0.03 | -0.04 | -15.0% | +0.9% | +5.3% | +0.0% |
| 2017-04-03 | miss | -0.03 | -0.04 | -33.9% | +0.8% | -2.6% | -1.4% |
| 2017-01-25 | miss | -0.04 | -0.04 | -9.1% | -2.5% | +1.2% | +6.1% |
| 2016-10-04 | miss | -0.01 | -0.03 | -163.2% | +1.9% | -5.3% | -15.8% |
| 2016-06-27 | miss | -0.03 | -0.04 | -35.4% | -2.1% | -3.5% | +14.6% |
| 2016-04-04 | miss | -0.03 | -0.04 | -18.7% | +1.6% | +5.0% | +21.2% |
| 2016-01-27 | miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -15.2% | -1.7% | -2.2% | +3.9% |
| 2015-10-06 | beat | -0.03 | -0.03 | +7.0% | +2.4% | +1.1% | +5.4% |
| 2015-07-07 | miss | -0.02 | -0.04 | -73.3% | +3.2% | +2.5% | -1.0% |
| 2015-03-31 | miss | -0.02 | -0.04 | -88.3% | +1.0% | +6.1% | +15.5% |
| 2015-01-28 | miss | -0.02 | -0.02 | -24.5% | -0.6% | -1.4% | +14.9% |
| 2014-10-07 | miss | -0.02 | -0.04 | -123.7% | +0.0% | +13.1% | +13.5% |
| 2014-07-09 | miss | -0.03 | -0.03 | -8.7% | +2.1% | -4.2% | -4.7% |
| 2014-04-07 | miss | -0.03 | -0.03 | -9.8% | +2.2% | +4.7% | -3.9% |
| 2014-02-11 | miss | -0.02 | -0.05 | -114.2% | +2.1% | -3.7% | +7.1% |
| 2013-10-09 | miss | -0.03 | -0.06 | -96.0% | +1.0% | +0.0% | +9.0% |
| 2013-07-10 | -0.03 | -0.03 | — | +6.3% | +5.3% | +16.8% | |
| 2013-04-10 | miss | -0.03 | -0.05 | -66.7% | +0.3% | -2.9% | -24.2% |
| 2013-02-12 | miss | -0.06 | -0.10 | -69.3% | +0.0% | +1.4% | -8.3% |
| 2012-10-11 | miss | -0.06 | -0.08 | -33.3% | +1.0% | +2.4% | +1.0% |
| 2012-07-12 | beat | -0.06 | 0.07 | +221.3% | -2.1% | +1.5% | +10.6% |
| 2012-04-12 | beat | -0.05 | 0.07 | +240.0% | +0.2% | +7.2% | +0.9% |
| 2012-02-22 | miss | -0.07 | -0.13 | -82.9% | -0.6% | +0.8% | -5.1% |
| 2011-10-13 | miss | -0.10 | -0.24 | -128.6% | -0.4% | +0.7% | +1.9% |
| 2011-07-13 | beat | -0.08 | -0.03 | +62.5% | +3.0% | +3.6% | +2.2% |
| 2011-04-13 | miss | -0.03 | -0.09 | -200.0% | +0.2% | +0.3% | +6.0% |
| 2011-02-22 | miss | -0.08 | -0.10 | -25.0% | -0.4% | -2.4% | +1.0% |
| 2010-10-14 | miss | -0.05 | -0.10 | -92.3% | -0.4% | -0.9% | +0.1% |
| 2010-07-13 | beat | -0.07 | -0.07 | +4.1% | -1.2% | +1.8% | -2.0% |
Posted about NG
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TRACKER - Lisa McClain · Congress
long
6.76
Tue, 13 Oct
Lisa McClain's trade date was 14 September 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size…
TRACKER - Insider Trades
long
3.67
Fri, 09 May 2025
Electrum Strategic Resources L.P. has been buying NG. The buy: Electrum Strategic Resources L.P., a 10%+ owner, bought 13,333,334 shares of NG on 9…
Not investment advice.
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