NGModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
-1.2%
Next 1 month
+3.5%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -6.7% median,
36% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 24
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.43%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.58 +3.7% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.2%
$9M/day volume
79% volatility
-20% 1-year
52-week range · 39% of the way up · -39% from the high
$15.93$43.66
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, before open, in 9 days) · EPS est. -1.45.
1-day std dev
6.8%
Finished up
33%
Biggest pop
+5.4%
Biggest drop
-14.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 9 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | miss | -1.37 | -1.53 | -11.7% | +2.2% | +3.3% | +10.1% |
| 2026-03-24 | beat | -1.24 | -1.13 | +8.7% | +1.6% | +5.4% | +3.6% |
| 2025-11-13 | beat | -1.09 | -0.99 | +9.2% | +1.7% | -14.0% | -24.3% |
| 2025-08-11 | beat | -1.16 | -1.05 | +9.5% | -1.9% | -5.6% | -3.1% |
| 2025-05-09 | miss | -0.92 | -1.08 | -17.4% | -2.3% | -1.8% | +19.9% |
| 2025-03-24 | beat | -1.13 | -0.99 | +12.3% | +1.5% | +1.7% | -30.8% |
| 2024-11-18 | beat | -1.22 | -1.19 | +2.6% | +5.4% | -13.1% | +35.6% |
| 2024-08-09 | miss | -1.03 | -1.09 | -5.6% | -1.0% | -2.6% | -4.2% |
| 2024-05-10 | miss | -0.95 | -1.00 | -5.5% | -1.3% | -5.7% | +4.6% |
Not investment advice.
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