NGModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.4%
Next 1 week
-0.6%
Next 1 month
-0.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +3.9% median,
62% of the last 13 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 61
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.09%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.39 -0.9% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$3M/day volume
40% volatility
-18% 1-year
-52% from ATH
52-week range · 53% of the way up · -15% from the high
$23.47$34.59
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-19 (Thursday, after close, in 16 days) · EPS est. 0.56.
1-day std dev
16.0%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+35.1%
Biggest drop
-36.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 40 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | 0.52 | 0.48 | -7.7% | -15.1% | -12.5% | -13.3% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 0.55 | 0.58 | +5.5% | -4.1% | -4.9% | +2.3% |
| 2026-02-05 | beat | 0.46 | 0.49 | +6.5% | +8.7% | -2.2% | -0.7% |
| 2025-11-20 | beat | 0.42 | 0.51 | +21.4% | -1.3% | -5.0% | -9.3% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | 0.14 | 0.40 | +185.7% | +2.6% | +3.8% | +2.5% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | 0.29 | 0.35 | +20.7% | +9.0% | +9.5% | +19.6% |
| 2023-11-16 | beat | 0.20 | 0.28 | +38.0% | +6.0% | +22.4% | +32.8% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | 0.15 | 0.31 | +106.7% | +9.8% | +6.5% | +7.9% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | 0.22 | 0.26 | +18.2% | +2.9% | +15.2% | +8.1% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | 0.18 | 0.28 | +55.6% | -2.9% | -6.8% | -0.7% |
| 2020-02-06 | miss | 0.09 | 0.08 | -6.3% | -1.8% | -4.0% | -10.6% |
| 2019-11-14 | beat | 0.06 | 0.06 | +6.0% | -4.0% | +0.2% | -4.2% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +27.4% | +8.9% | +29.5% | +7.2% |
| 2019-05-02 | beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +9.4% | -2.6% | +2.5% | -1.1% |
| 2019-02-07 | beat | 0.05 | 0.10 | +91.6% | +9.3% | -3.4% | +7.6% |
| 2018-11-15 | beat | 0.04 | 0.09 | +139.8% | +3.6% | +35.1% | +24.2% |
| 2018-08-02 | beat | 0.03 | 0.09 | +203.1% | +11.5% | +29.0% | +37.3% |
| 2018-05-03 | beat | 0.13 | 0.15 | +19.3% | +6.5% | +23.2% | +52.8% |
| 2018-02-01 | miss | 0.07 | 0.04 | -45.8% | -23.6% | -26.8% | -19.6% |
| 2017-11-16 | beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +25.7% | +10.4% | +17.9% | +45.1% |
| 2017-08-03 | miss | 0.11 | 0.03 | -73.8% | -20.6% | -33.8% | -24.7% |
| 2017-05-04 | miss | 0.16 | 0.13 | -20.4% | -2.8% | -8.3% | -8.3% |
| 2017-02-02 | miss | 0.13 | 0.09 | -31.8% | -15.3% | -7.6% | -5.5% |
| 2016-11-17 | miss | 0.08 | 0.07 | -14.5% | -1.2% | -3.7% | -4.1% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 0.12 | 0.12 | +0.1% | +1.3% | +4.1% | -4.0% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +4.3% | +3.3% | +1.5% | +1.8% |
| 2016-01-28 | miss | 0.18 | 0.17 | -2.9% | -7.5% | -13.1% | -12.6% |
| 2015-11-19 | miss | 0.13 | 0.13 | -0.9% | +0.2% | +2.4% | -1.5% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 0.15 | 0.19 | +28.8% | +6.8% | +24.2% | +17.0% |
| 2015-05-07 | beat | 0.19 | 0.24 | +24.7% | +1.5% | -8.9% | -1.5% |
| 2015-01-29 | beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +17.6% | +5.7% | +8.2% | +10.0% |
| 2014-11-20 | beat | 0.14 | 0.14 | +2.9% | +13.7% | +19.6% | +18.8% |
| 2014-07-31 | miss | 0.15 | 0.15 | -1.6% | -0.4% | -8.8% | -12.2% |
| 2014-05-01 | beat | 0.18 | 0.18 | +2.4% | -23.3% | -36.6% | -33.8% |
| 2014-01-30 | beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +16.4% | +12.7% | +11.9% | +11.6% |
| 2013-11-21 | beat | 0.11 | 0.11 | +1.9% | +1.9% | -4.4% | +0.7% |
| 2013-08-07 | miss | 0.14 | 0.13 | -5.5% | -0.1% | +1.4% | -3.4% |
| 2013-05-09 | beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +9.8% | +1.1% | +16.7% | +17.1% |
| 2013-01-31 | beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +30.4% | +4.4% | +7.3% | +2.6% |
| 2012-11-15 | beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +9.1% | +0.5% | +1.0% | +5.5% |
Not investment advice.
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