NGModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
+1.6%
Next 1 month
+3.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +11.6% median,
67% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 95
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.11 +2.9% · Seasonal tilt (9y) +0.5%
$19M/day volume
36% volatility
+32% 1-year
-38% from ATH
52-week range · 85% of the way up · -6% from the high
$45.85$79.29
Congressional trades in NGVT Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 0 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing Jan 16, 2017.
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 1.59.
1-day std dev
8.0%
Finished up
63%
Biggest pop
+21.3%
Biggest drop
-15.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 41 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | beat | 1.33 | 1.74 | +31.2% | +4.9% | -0.6% | +9.5% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 0.83 | 1.15 | +38.0% | -3.0% | -4.9% | -8.3% |
| 2026-02-25 | miss | 0.65 | 0.63 | -3.1% | -5.3% | +1.3% | -3.5% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 1.35 | 1.52 | +13.0% | -2.5% | -15.2% | -7.2% |
| 2025-08-04 | beat | 1.16 | 1.39 | +19.6% | +14.6% | +21.3% | +31.8% |
| 2025-05-05 | beat | 0.74 | 0.99 | +34.2% | +3.3% | +10.4% | +21.6% |
| 2025-02-18 | beat | 0.31 | 0.95 | +208.9% | +1.7% | +5.3% | +6.6% |
| 2024-10-29 | beat | 0.88 | 1.10 | +24.6% | +20.0% | +17.9% | +34.0% |
| 2024-07-31 | miss | 1.04 | 1.01 | -2.9% | -13.8% | -7.1% | -21.2% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 0.25 | 0.52 | +109.4% | +1.1% | +5.6% | +5.0% |
| 2024-02-21 | beat | -0.19 | 0.21 | +212.5% | +7.9% | +5.4% | +1.6% |
| 2023-11-01 | miss | 1.23 | 1.21 | -1.8% | +1.7% | +7.7% | -4.7% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 1.38 | 1.41 | +2.3% | -7.2% | -9.8% | -13.1% |
| 2023-05-03 | miss | 1.11 | 1.09 | -1.4% | -5.3% | -8.6% | -20.0% |
| 2023-02-27 | miss | 0.87 | 0.57 | -34.7% | -4.6% | -6.0% | -10.3% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 1.69 | 2.09 | +23.4% | +4.6% | +8.2% | +18.4% |
| 2022-08-02 | beat | 1.62 | 1.73 | +6.6% | +0.5% | +6.1% | +7.5% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 1.04 | 1.62 | +56.2% | +0.2% | +5.3% | +0.8% |
| 2022-02-23 | beat | 0.78 | 0.78 | +0.7% | -6.4% | +0.4% | +1.1% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 1.54 | 1.62 | +5.2% | -0.4% | +2.5% | +3.4% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 1.32 | 1.55 | +17.5% | +2.1% | +4.9% | -1.7% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 1.03 | 1.27 | +22.8% | +0.0% | +2.8% | +13.9% |
| 2021-02-10 | beat | 0.77 | 1.33 | +72.7% | +2.6% | -6.3% | -4.3% |
| 2020-10-20 | beat | 1.01 | 1.79 | +76.6% | +3.3% | +0.2% | -5.4% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | 0.60 | 0.63 | +4.4% | -5.8% | -6.6% | -5.2% |
| 2020-04-29 | beat | 0.82 | 1.12 | +37.1% | +10.0% | +15.6% | +3.1% |
| 2020-02-03 | beat | 1.07 | 1.10 | +2.5% | +1.7% | -3.4% | +0.9% |
| 2019-10-23 | beat | 1.40 | 1.46 | +4.1% | +7.6% | +4.0% | +1.8% |
| 2019-07-24 | beat | 1.33 | 1.36 | +2.2% | -0.5% | -3.7% | -7.7% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 0.98 | 0.99 | +0.7% | +0.1% | -7.5% | -11.4% |
| 2019-02-13 | beat | 0.77 | 1.07 | +39.5% | +10.1% | +11.2% | +18.4% |
| 2018-10-24 | beat | 1.04 | 1.16 | +11.1% | +1.9% | +7.9% | +14.4% |
| 2018-07-25 | beat | 1.00 | 1.12 | +12.5% | +2.4% | +9.1% | +10.2% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | 0.63 | 0.79 | +24.6% | +0.4% | +2.9% | +6.1% |
| 2018-02-20 | beat | 0.36 | 0.45 | +23.5% | +1.0% | +7.5% | +3.7% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 0.76 | 0.86 | +13.8% | +1.6% | +0.6% | +1.0% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | 0.70 | 0.78 | +11.9% | +1.0% | -0.7% | -4.3% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +3.3% | +0.8% | -4.9% | -2.5% |
| 2017-02-22 | beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +14.4% | +1.0% | -3.7% | +0.4% |
| 2016-11-02 | beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +5.6% | +3.4% | +8.7% | +16.1% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | 0.49 | 0.66 | +33.8% | +4.9% | +14.7% | +17.7% |
Not investment advice.
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