NHModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.6%
Next 1 month
+0.9%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +3.5% median,
68% of the last 38 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 4
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.20 +0.5% · Seasonal tilt +0.4%
$30M/day volume
35% volatility
+71% 1-year
-17% from ATH
52-week range · 68% of the way up · -17% from the high
$118.14$248.20
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-06 (Friday, before open, in 5 days).
1-day std dev
2.5%
Finished up
77%
Biggest pop
+5.1%
Biggest drop
-7.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 22 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-05-07 | miss | 0.90 | 0.77 | -14.6% | +1.6% | +0.4% | +2.1% |
| 2015-02-20 | miss | 0.93 | 0.88 | -5.5% | +0.0% | +0.9% | +1.5% |
| 2014-11-06 | miss | 0.85 | 0.75 | -11.3% | -0.4% | +2.5% | +1.4% |
| 2014-08-06 | miss | 0.76 | 0.72 | -4.8% | -1.0% | +1.7% | +1.7% |
| 2014-05-08 | miss | 0.98 | 0.78 | -20.2% | -0.9% | +4.0% | +1.0% |
| 2013-11-05 | beat | 1.03 | 1.19 | +15.2% | +0.8% | +1.0% | +2.0% |
| 2013-08-01 | miss | 0.88 | 0.86 | -2.5% | -0.7% | -0.3% | -3.6% |
| 2013-05-08 | beat | 0.67 | 0.82 | +23.1% | -0.3% | -0.7% | -0.1% |
| 2013-02-15 | beat | 0.63 | 0.87 | +38.3% | +0.7% | +1.1% | -1.2% |
| 2012-10-30 | beat | 0.63 | 1.04 | +65.9% | -0.1% | +1.3% | -4.8% |
| 2012-08-01 | beat | 0.67 | 0.82 | +23.3% | +0.0% | +3.6% | +9.7% |
| 2012-05-03 | miss | 0.78 | 0.76 | -2.1% | -0.8% | -3.0% | -4.2% |
| 2012-02-16 | beat | 0.73 | 0.88 | +20.0% | +0.7% | +0.3% | +1.5% |
| 2011-11-03 | beat | 0.81 | 1.05 | +29.7% | -1.2% | +0.6% | +6.7% |
| 2011-08-04 | miss | 0.83 | 0.83 | -0.5% | -1.1% | -7.2% | -14.2% |
| 2011-05-09 | miss | 0.71 | 0.60 | -15.9% | +0.7% | +3.2% | +2.9% |
| 2011-02-22 | beat | 0.70 | 0.81 | +15.8% | +0.0% | +1.7% | +1.5% |
| 2010-11-08 | beat | 0.65 | 0.95 | +46.1% | +0.8% | +5.1% | +5.2% |
| 2010-08-05 | beat | 0.60 | 0.70 | +16.7% | -0.3% | -0.8% | -1.7% |
| 2010-05-06 | beat | 0.50 | 0.60 | +20.0% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +3.0% |
| 2010-03-02 | miss | 0.61 | 0.37 | -39.3% | +0.1% | +1.6% | -5.2% |
| 2009-11-05 | beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +1.6% | -0.3% | +0.5% | -2.3% |
Not investment advice.
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