NIModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+2.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +4.5% median,
75% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 41
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.59 +1.4% · Seasonal tilt +0.6%
$28M/day volume
28% volatility
+49% 1-year
-5% from ATH
52-week range · 87% of the way up · -5% from the high
$114.44$180.00
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-19 (Tuesday, after close, in 79 days) · EPS est. 3.28.
1-day std dev
3.8%
Finished up
68%
Biggest pop
+10.3%
Biggest drop
-9.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 44 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | beat | 3.05 | 3.15 | +3.4% | +1.4% | +0.7% | +3.9% |
| 2026-07-21 | beat | 2.91 | 2.99 | +2.8% | +1.2% | -0.1% | +1.9% |
| 2026-04-21 | beat | 2.69 | 2.75 | +2.3% | -3.0% | -7.7% | -6.8% |
| 2026-01-20 | beat | 2.54 | 2.73 | +7.4% | +2.7% | +10.3% | +7.7% |
| 2025-10-23 | beat | 2.39 | 2.66 | +11.4% | -2.2% | -1.4% | -6.3% |
| 2025-07-15 | beat | 2.15 | 2.35 | +9.1% | +0.0% | +7.8% | +8.5% |
| 2025-04-15 | beat | 1.93 | 2.10 | +9.1% | -2.0% | +2.1% | +11.9% |
| 2025-01-21 | beat | 1.99 | 2.17 | +8.9% | -0.1% | +2.2% | +2.2% |
| 2024-10-15 | beat | 1.87 | 2.04 | +8.9% | +2.1% | +5.8% | +3.0% |
| 2024-07-16 | beat | 1.66 | 1.88 | +13.6% | +1.9% | +8.1% | +7.7% |
| 2024-04-16 | beat | 1.65 | 1.72 | +4.5% | -3.0% | -2.3% | +4.9% |
| 2024-01-16 | beat | 1.73 | 1.85 | +6.9% | -1.4% | +6.4% | +9.4% |
| 2023-10-24 | miss | 1.55 | 1.54 | -0.5% | -4.0% | -1.5% | +8.7% |
| 2023-07-18 | beat | 1.46 | 1.53 | +4.8% | +4.0% | +5.3% | +9.6% |
| 2023-04-18 | miss | 1.67 | 1.45 | -13.1% | -5.2% | -3.9% | -7.3% |
| 2023-01-17 | miss | 2.00 | 1.84 | -8.0% | -1.5% | -9.7% | -10.3% |
| 2022-10-25 | miss | 1.80 | 1.74 | -3.3% | +0.9% | -2.6% | -1.2% |
| 2022-07-19 | miss | 1.69 | 1.67 | -0.9% | -1.3% | +0.7% | +8.5% |
| 2022-04-19 | beat | 1.61 | 1.70 | +5.3% | +1.6% | -4.0% | -10.0% |
| 2022-01-18 | miss | 1.45 | 1.25 | -14.0% | +2.1% | +3.1% | +5.5% |
| 2021-10-19 | miss | 1.57 | 0.73 | -53.4% | -0.8% | -4.5% | -7.0% |
| 2021-07-20 | beat | 1.63 | 1.77 | +8.5% | +1.5% | +2.1% | +3.2% |
| 2021-04-20 | beat | 1.59 | 1.75 | +9.9% | +1.1% | +1.7% | +3.1% |
| 2021-01-19 | beat | 1.54 | 1.74 | +12.8% | +0.4% | +0.8% | -5.6% |
| 2020-10-20 | beat | 1.40 | 1.72 | +22.9% | +0.7% | +3.7% | +0.3% |
| 2020-07-21 | beat | 0.94 | 1.28 | +35.8% | +0.0% | +2.2% | +7.9% |
| 2020-04-21 | miss | 1.07 | 0.98 | -8.4% | -2.1% | -0.6% | +13.2% |
| 2020-01-21 | miss | 1.19 | 1.18 | -0.6% | -0.4% | +0.6% | -1.3% |
| 2019-10-15 | beat | 1.17 | 1.40 | +19.4% | +1.6% | +2.8% | +4.3% |
| 2019-07-16 | beat | 1.09 | 1.36 | +24.3% | +1.6% | +1.0% | +3.6% |
| 2019-04-16 | beat | 1.03 | 1.05 | +1.7% | +0.0% | +3.5% | +6.5% |
| 2019-01-15 | beat | 0.98 | 1.11 | +13.8% | +0.4% | +1.2% | +4.5% |
| 2018-10-16 | beat | 0.96 | 1.09 | +13.3% | +0.9% | +2.6% | -4.3% |
| 2018-07-17 | beat | 0.87 | 0.98 | +12.1% | +0.2% | +0.6% | +1.0% |
| 2018-04-17 | beat | 0.80 | 0.94 | +18.2% | +0.2% | -2.8% | +0.4% |
| 2018-01-16 | beat | 0.83 | 1.17 | +41.1% | -0.1% | +0.4% | +2.9% |
| 2017-10-17 | beat | 0.86 | 0.87 | +0.7% | -0.2% | +0.5% | +0.0% |
| 2017-07-18 | beat | 0.79 | 0.85 | +8.0% | +1.3% | +0.3% | +0.3% |
| 2017-04-18 | miss | 0.75 | 0.69 | -8.0% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +3.8% |
| 2017-01-17 | beat | 0.64 | 0.68 | +6.2% | +1.1% | +1.0% | +2.2% |
| 2016-10-18 | beat | 0.57 | 0.84 | +47.4% | +1.1% | +0.4% | +0.0% |
| 2016-07-19 | miss | 0.59 | 0.39 | -33.9% | -0.1% | +2.0% | -6.7% |
| 2016-04-28 | miss | 0.58 | 0.57 | -1.7% | +0.0% | -0.9% | +15.1% |
| 2016-01-19 | beat | 0.57 | 0.64 | +12.3% | -2.8% | -2.8% | +0.0% |
Not investment advice.
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