NKModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+0.1%
Next 1 month
+2.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +6.2% median,
61% of the last 31 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 12
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.98 +2.3% · Seasonal tilt +0.3%
$38M/day volume
85% volatility
-41% 1-year
52-week range · 5% of the way up · -66% from the high
$33.40$109.00
Congressional trades in NKTR Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 1 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing Oct 2, 2018.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, after close, in 10 days) · EPS est. -2.07.
1-day std dev
9.0%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+21.7%
Biggest drop
-29.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | beat | -2.04 | -1.21 | +40.5% | -2.5% | -3.8% | -2.5% |
| 2026-05-07 | miss | -1.48 | -1.78 | -20.5% | +1.9% | -1.8% | -15.3% |
| 2026-03-12 | beat | -3.49 | -1.29 | +63.1% | +3.2% | +4.1% | +2.6% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | -2.79 | -1.87 | +33.0% | +1.6% | +1.5% | +2.8% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | -3.12 | -2.78 | +10.9% | +3.9% | +6.0% | +25.3% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | -2.82 | -3.61 | -27.7% | -3.2% | -4.8% | +11.3% |
| 2025-03-12 | beat | -2.92 | -2.25 | +23.1% | +7.3% | +0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | -3.09 | -2.65 | +14.3% | +0.7% | +2.2% | -21.9% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | -3.01 | -2.81 | +6.7% | -4.1% | -8.3% | +3.3% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | -3.07 | -2.76 | +10.2% | +3.1% | +10.0% | +10.0% |
| 2024-03-04 | miss | -2.94 | -3.30 | -12.1% | -1.1% | -2.2% | -1.1% |
| 2023-11-07 | miss | -2.40 | -2.85 | -18.8% | -3.6% | -9.1% | -3.6% |
| 2023-08-08 | miss | -3.30 | -4.05 | -22.7% | -8.0% | -9.0% | -23.0% |
| 2023-05-09 | miss | -3.59 | -3.75 | -4.6% | +2.6% | -2.6% | -9.1% |
| 2023-02-28 | beat | -6.40 | -4.80 | +25.1% | +2.9% | +9.4% | -8.0% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | -6.54 | -4.65 | +28.9% | +5.3% | +5.9% | +20.2% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | -15.25 | -12.75 | +16.4% | -5.7% | +10.4% | +16.3% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | -10.01 | -7.35 | +26.6% | -0.9% | -2.0% | -10.1% |
| 2022-02-28 | beat | -12.00 | -11.85 | +1.3% | +1.7% | +7.2% | +1.0% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | -12.09 | -10.50 | +13.2% | -15.3% | -19.2% | -19.8% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | -10.98 | -10.35 | +5.7% | +0.8% | -0.6% | -10.0% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | -10.90 | -10.20 | +6.4% | -1.0% | +8.5% | +2.5% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | -11.28 | -9.75 | +13.6% | +1.2% | +1.1% | -0.6% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | -11.28 | -9.15 | +18.9% | +2.6% | +3.1% | +2.2% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | -10.32 | -6.75 | +34.6% | +4.6% | +1.6% | -9.1% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | -11.26 | -11.70 | -3.9% | +2.7% | +4.5% | +10.8% |
| 2020-02-27 | beat | -10.30 | -9.60 | +6.8% | -9.8% | +1.4% | -4.0% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | -10.83 | -8.40 | +22.4% | +4.7% | +3.3% | +7.3% |
| 2019-08-08 | beat | -12.00 | -9.45 | +21.2% | -39.2% | -29.3% | -38.8% |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | -11.34 | -10.20 | +10.1% | +0.0% | +7.5% | -5.0% |
| 2019-02-28 | beat | -9.52 | -8.55 | +10.2% | -1.3% | -5.9% | -13.3% |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | -9.46 | -8.40 | +11.2% | +0.2% | -7.0% | +0.6% |
| 2018-08-08 | beat | 79.30 | 79.95 | +0.8% | -4.4% | +6.1% | +7.1% |
| 2018-05-10 | miss | -8.20 | -9.00 | -9.8% | -3.0% | +2.8% | +10.4% |
| 2018-03-01 | beat | -5.42 | -3.15 | +41.9% | +4.7% | +21.7% | +28.1% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | 3.36 | 5.55 | +65.3% | +8.0% | +12.9% | +60.5% |
| 2017-08-08 | miss | -5.45 | -5.85 | -7.4% | +2.3% | -4.9% | -0.6% |
| 2017-05-09 | beat | -6.32 | -6.30 | +0.4% | -0.1% | +8.2% | +7.8% |
| 2017-03-01 | miss | -4.01 | -4.20 | -4.8% | -3.5% | +13.7% | +17.8% |
| 2016-11-04 | beat | -5.40 | -4.80 | +11.1% | +3.0% | +3.8% | +21.6% |
| 2016-08-03 | miss | -4.96 | -5.40 | -9.0% | -1.3% | -0.4% | -1.8% |
| 2016-05-03 | beat | -3.95 | -2.10 | +46.9% | -2.4% | -10.1% | -14.8% |
| 2016-03-01 | beat | -6.16 | -4.48 | +27.3% | -2.7% | -2.8% | +1.6% |
| 2015-11-05 | beat | -2.74 | -0.90 | +67.2% | +4.0% | +4.7% | +9.2% |
| 2015-08-05 | beat | -6.04 | -6.00 | +0.7% | -0.4% | -4.6% | -10.6% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | -6.12 | 3.75 | +161.2% | +3.2% | +20.6% | +19.3% |
| 2015-02-24 | beat | -5.52 | -5.25 | +4.9% | +2.1% | -1.9% | -0.7% |
| 2014-11-06 | beat | 5.19 | 7.95 | +53.2% | +6.9% | -1.5% | +0.5% |
| 2014-07-31 | beat | -5.38 | -3.90 | +27.5% | +5.3% | +12.0% | +19.8% |
| 2014-05-07 | beat | -6.03 | -5.55 | +8.0% | -5.4% | -3.0% | -1.7% |
| 2014-02-26 | miss | -4.47 | -6.15 | -37.4% | -8.0% | -4.7% | +4.0% |
| 2013-11-07 | beat | -2.87 | -2.10 | +27.0% | +1.9% | +21.0% | +26.8% |
| 2013-08-08 | beat | -6.89 | -5.55 | +19.4% | +1.0% | +13.4% | +1.9% |
| 2013-05-09 | miss | -6.55 | -7.20 | -9.9% | +0.0% | -3.1% | -1.4% |
| 2013-02-28 | miss | -6.81 | -6.90 | -1.3% | -2.3% | -1.5% | +8.4% |
| 2012-11-09 | beat | -5.80 | -5.70 | +1.8% | +0.7% | -13.6% | -24.4% |
| 2012-08-09 | beat | -4.89 | -4.50 | +8.0% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -3.7% |
| 2012-05-02 | miss | -4.90 | -5.16 | -5.4% | +2.2% | -6.3% | -6.2% |
| 2012-02-29 | beat | -7.06 | -4.95 | +29.9% | +3.2% | +3.1% | +4.9% |
| 2011-11-02 | beat | -5.57 | -3.15 | +43.5% | +0.8% | -5.6% | -6.7% |
Not investment advice.
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