NMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.0%
Next 1 week
+0.5%
Next 1 month
+0.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.1% median,
75% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 30
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.10 +0.3% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$38M/day volume
25% volatility
+17% 1-year
-10% from ATH
52-week range · 61% of the way up · -10% from the high
$34.84$46.74
Congressional trades in NMIH Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 1 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing Sep 3, 2020.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 7 days) · EPS est. 1.31.
1-day std dev
5.9%
Finished up
51%
Biggest pop
+14.6%
Biggest drop
-12.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 51 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 1.28 | 1.38 | +7.7% | +4.2% | +2.0% | +2.7% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | 1.23 | 1.28 | +3.9% | +0.2% | -3.9% | +0.4% |
| 2026-02-10 | beat | 1.19 | 1.20 | +0.8% | -1.6% | +1.8% | -3.5% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 1.21 | 1.21 | +0.4% | -5.8% | -1.8% | +0.1% |
| 2025-07-29 | beat | 1.19 | 1.22 | +2.5% | +0.2% | -1.6% | +0.9% |
| 2025-04-29 | beat | 1.12 | 1.28 | +14.4% | +4.4% | +7.5% | +13.7% |
| 2025-02-06 | miss | 1.12 | 1.07 | -4.6% | -2.5% | -4.8% | -8.5% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | 1.13 | 1.15 | +2.2% | -5.9% | -5.2% | -4.9% |
| 2024-07-30 | beat | 1.05 | 1.20 | +13.9% | +3.4% | +0.4% | -6.9% |
| 2024-04-30 | beat | 0.99 | 1.08 | +9.0% | +0.3% | +2.6% | +8.3% |
| 2024-02-14 | beat | 0.96 | 1.01 | +5.3% | +1.5% | -1.7% | -2.4% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 0.92 | 1.00 | +8.4% | +2.1% | +1.5% | +1.4% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 0.85 | 0.95 | +11.3% | +5.5% | +5.3% | +9.7% |
| 2023-05-02 | beat | 0.83 | 0.88 | +5.9% | +1.7% | +1.7% | +4.8% |
| 2023-02-14 | beat | 0.84 | 0.86 | +2.1% | +3.5% | +0.8% | -1.3% |
| 2022-11-01 | beat | 0.81 | 0.90 | +11.1% | +1.0% | +1.5% | -1.1% |
| 2022-08-02 | beat | 0.76 | 0.86 | +12.9% | +2.1% | +8.5% | +15.5% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | 0.74 | 0.77 | +4.1% | +0.7% | -4.1% | -11.0% |
| 2022-02-15 | beat | 0.71 | 0.73 | +2.9% | +1.5% | -0.3% | -12.9% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | 0.71 | 0.71 | +0.7% | -7.0% | -9.3% | -13.8% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | 0.64 | 0.67 | +5.1% | +0.4% | -2.3% | +4.6% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.60 | 0.62 | +3.5% | -0.2% | -5.6% | -15.3% |
| 2021-02-16 | beat | 0.51 | 0.59 | +15.8% | -3.7% | -2.8% | +3.2% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.35 | 0.47 | +33.0% | +2.2% | -3.4% | -0.1% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +4.1% | +0.2% | -1.7% | +3.8% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | 0.67 | 0.75 | +12.2% | +10.5% | +11.8% | +0.2% |
| 2020-02-11 | beat | 0.71 | 0.75 | +6.3% | -4.4% | -12.8% | -18.3% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | 0.62 | 0.71 | +14.0% | +6.5% | +9.9% | +16.4% |
| 2019-07-31 | beat | 0.55 | 0.59 | +7.8% | +3.6% | +2.5% | +10.5% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 0.52 | 0.56 | +7.4% | +3.6% | +0.9% | -1.0% |
| 2019-02-12 | beat | 0.46 | 0.46 | +0.1% | -0.5% | -1.8% | +9.0% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 0.41 | 0.46 | +13.0% | +9.7% | +10.4% | +11.1% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | 0.35 | 0.40 | +14.2% | +6.9% | +6.9% | +3.1% |
| 2018-05-01 | beat | 0.31 | 0.34 | +10.4% | -0.7% | +5.4% | +18.8% |
| 2018-02-15 | beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +11.1% | +1.3% | +8.2% | +14.2% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 0.14 | 0.20 | +40.3% | +5.6% | +14.6% | +10.4% |
| 2017-08-01 | miss | 0.11 | 0.10 | -7.4% | -0.8% | +0.0% | +2.1% |
| 2017-05-04 | miss | 0.13 | 0.09 | -28.9% | +0.0% | -3.5% | -5.7% |
| 2017-02-15 | miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -9.8% | -0.9% | -2.2% | -5.2% |
| 2016-11-01 | beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +37.9% | +7.2% | +7.2% | +11.1% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | -0.01 | 0.03 | +340.0% | +7.7% | +11.1% | +11.9% |
| 2016-04-26 | -0.07 | -0.07 | — | +4.4% | +12.4% | +11.9% | |
| 2016-02-18 | beat | -0.08 | -0.08 | +2.4% | -6.8% | -2.7% | -5.5% |
| 2015-10-27 | beat | -0.13 | -0.08 | +38.5% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.7% |
| 2015-08-04 | miss | -0.16 | -0.18 | -12.5% | +11.2% | +6.3% | +13.4% |
| 2015-05-05 | beat | -0.18 | -0.13 | +29.7% | +1.4% | -0.1% | +5.0% |
| 2015-02-19 | beat | -0.20 | -0.17 | +13.6% | +2.9% | -10.3% | -13.2% |
| 2014-11-06 | beat | -0.23 | -0.19 | +18.6% | -0.3% | +2.0% | +0.0% |
| 2014-08-07 | beat | -0.24 | -0.22 | +10.2% | -0.5% | -1.0% | -3.9% |
| 2014-05-13 | miss | -0.20 | -0.26 | -26.8% | -0.4% | -0.7% | -1.6% |
| 2014-03-10 | miss | -0.17 | -0.23 | -31.4% | -0.6% | +5.4% | +4.8% |
Not investment advice.
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