NRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.8%
Next 1 week
+2.3%
Next 1 month
+5.4%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +0.6% median,
62% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 4
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.16%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.29 +5.5% · Seasonal tilt (8y) -0.1%
$4M/day volume
87% volatility
-28% 1-year
52-week range · 16% of the way up · -57% from the high
$1.62$5.05
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, after close, in 10 days) · EPS est. -0.15.
1-day std dev
8.5%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+20.3%
Biggest drop
-15.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 17 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | miss | -0.13 | -0.24 | -87.8% | -5.2% | +4.9% | +5.5% |
| 2026-05-15 | beat | -0.11 | -0.04 | +59.6% | +3.4% | -5.0% | +31.4% |
| 2026-03-23 | beat | -0.08 | 0.18 | +329.1% | +6.8% | +20.3% | +20.3% |
| 2025-11-14 | miss | -0.02 | -0.51 | -2938.4% | -8.0% | -15.3% | -10.0% |
| 2025-08-18 | miss | -0.23 | -0.98 | -326.1% | -1.0% | -4.5% | -6.9% |
| 2025-05-15 | miss | -0.25 | -0.34 | -36.0% | -2.1% | +2.1% | +9.2% |
| 2025-03-14 | miss | -0.37 | -0.77 | -108.1% | +0.0% | -12.8% | -11.9% |
| 2024-11-14 | beat | -0.66 | -0.15 | +77.3% | +0.0% | +2.6% | +8.6% |
| 2024-08-14 | miss | -0.69 | -0.75 | -7.9% | +3.5% | -6.5% | +9.7% |
| 2024-05-14 | miss | -0.55 | -0.74 | -34.5% | +1.6% | +1.6% | +22.6% |
| 2024-03-29 | beat | -0.80 | -0.50 | +37.5% | -6.1% | -4.8% | -1.7% |
| 2023-11-13 | beat | -1.15 | -0.70 | +39.1% | +4.2% | +4.2% | -12.5% |
| 2023-08-14 | beat | -1.40 | -1.20 | +14.3% | -1.5% | +2.7% | -8.8% |
| 2023-05-15 | miss | -1.30 | -1.60 | -23.1% | +6.2% | -7.3% | -4.6% |
| 2023-03-30 | miss | -1.45 | -1.60 | -10.3% | -0.9% | -10.6% | -22.7% |
| 2022-11-14 | -1.40 | -1.40 | — | +1.1% | +3.6% | +18.9% | |
| 2022-08-15 | miss | -1.00 | -1.10 | -10.0% | +0.8% | +4.5% | -5.2% |
Not investment advice.
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