NTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.4%
Next 1 month
+1.7%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +5.0% median,
89% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 2
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.39 +1.0% · Seasonal tilt (9y) +0.7%
$8M/day volume
19% volatility
+27% 1-year
-12% from ATH
52-week range · 60% of the way up · -12% from the high
$44.35$64.17
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-08 (Monday, after close, in 101 days) · EPS est. 1.62.
1-day std dev
6.1%
Finished up
46%
Biggest pop
+14.6%
Biggest drop
-22.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 41 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | beat | 1.57 | 1.58 | +0.6% | -1.0% | -3.3% | — |
| 2026-07-27 | beat | 1.51 | 1.58 | +4.9% | -0.7% | -1.3% | +2.3% |
| 2026-04-28 | beat | 1.40 | 1.55 | +10.7% | +0.5% | -2.7% | +0.2% |
| 2026-02-09 | beat | 1.47 | 1.54 | +5.0% | +0.0% | -1.2% | -1.3% |
| 2025-10-28 | beat | 1.31 | 1.51 | +15.0% | +3.5% | +5.5% | +11.1% |
| 2025-07-28 | beat | 1.22 | 1.26 | +3.3% | +0.7% | +2.8% | +2.6% |
| 2025-04-23 | beat | 1.09 | 1.30 | +19.6% | +3.2% | +2.1% | +6.1% |
| 2025-02-10 | beat | 1.13 | 1.34 | +18.9% | +6.2% | +8.8% | +6.2% |
| 2024-10-22 | beat | 1.12 | 1.16 | +3.6% | -2.6% | +0.2% | -1.7% |
| 2024-07-22 | beat | 1.04 | 1.11 | +7.1% | -0.8% | -0.7% | -2.3% |
| 2024-04-23 | beat | 0.97 | 1.17 | +21.2% | +0.7% | +5.1% | +7.4% |
| 2024-02-12 | beat | 1.11 | 1.15 | +3.4% | -3.3% | -2.0% | +0.2% |
| 2023-10-24 | beat | 1.12 | 1.16 | +3.6% | -1.2% | -2.4% | -3.2% |
| 2023-07-31 | miss | 1.16 | 1.14 | -1.7% | -1.6% | -4.0% | -5.3% |
| 2023-04-24 | beat | 1.16 | 1.24 | +7.1% | -0.6% | -4.3% | -4.6% |
| 2023-02-13 | beat | 1.14 | 1.27 | +11.9% | +6.2% | +14.6% | +10.0% |
| 2022-10-31 | beat | 1.12 | 1.16 | +4.0% | +1.3% | -0.4% | -8.3% |
| 2022-07-25 | beat | 0.93 | 1.01 | +8.9% | -2.2% | -2.2% | -3.6% |
| 2022-05-02 | beat | 0.79 | 0.90 | +13.6% | +0.9% | +2.0% | -4.0% |
| 2022-02-14 | beat | 0.81 | 0.84 | +4.0% | +4.0% | +8.9% | +3.6% |
| 2021-10-27 | miss | 0.81 | 0.80 | -0.6% | +0.3% | -6.1% | +1.6% |
| 2021-07-26 | miss | 0.80 | 0.80 | -0.3% | -1.9% | -2.3% | -2.5% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 0.75 | 0.83 | +11.0% | +0.2% | -0.9% | +1.4% |
| 2021-02-10 | beat | 0.71 | 0.86 | +21.1% | +0.4% | -1.9% | +1.5% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | 0.63 | 0.73 | +16.8% | -2.0% | -0.2% | +8.5% |
| 2020-07-22 | beat | 0.56 | 0.67 | +20.4% | +3.4% | +4.9% | +4.0% |
| 2020-04-30 | beat | 0.73 | 0.78 | +6.5% | +0.0% | -0.7% | +1.4% |
| 2020-02-12 | beat | 0.86 | 0.87 | +1.8% | -0.3% | -0.8% | -2.6% |
| 2019-10-22 | miss | 0.92 | 0.91 | -0.6% | -2.4% | +0.4% | +8.2% |
| 2019-07-23 | beat | 0.91 | 0.95 | +4.4% | -0.1% | +0.0% | -5.7% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 0.88 | 0.95 | +7.7% | +1.8% | +5.3% | +7.9% |
| 2019-02-19 | beat | 0.89 | 0.92 | +3.7% | +1.7% | +14.1% | +10.3% |
| 2018-10-23 | miss | 0.95 | 0.88 | -7.7% | -6.1% | -22.8% | -21.2% |
| 2018-07-24 | beat | 0.88 | 0.93 | +6.3% | +2.8% | +6.5% | +6.6% |
| 2018-04-23 | beat | 0.78 | 0.81 | +3.7% | +0.5% | +4.8% | +4.0% |
| 2018-02-15 | miss | 0.77 | 0.76 | -0.7% | +1.8% | +11.5% | +16.6% |
| 2017-10-25 | beat | 0.70 | 0.73 | +4.3% | +4.7% | +2.0% | +3.1% |
| 2017-07-25 | beat | 0.66 | 0.67 | +1.4% | +0.5% | -1.5% | -0.7% |
| 2017-04-25 | beat | 0.63 | 0.70 | +10.3% | +2.5% | +1.9% | +5.9% |
| 2017-02-13 | beat | 0.55 | 0.62 | +12.2% | +1.1% | +1.1% | +0.8% |
| 2016-10-25 | beat | 0.49 | 0.60 | +22.9% | -0.1% | +0.0% | -0.2% |
Not investment advice.
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