NTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.9%
Next 1 month
+2.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +3.4% median,
69% of the last 26 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 8
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.98 +2.4% · Seasonal tilt +0.0%
$19M/day volume
32% volatility
+45% 1-year
-20% from ATH
52-week range · 65% of the way up · -15% from the high
$25.29$45.28
Congressional trades in NTCT Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 1 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing Jun 7, 2015.
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.67.
1-day std dev
7.5%
Finished up
60%
Biggest pop
+19.9%
Biggest drop
-21.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | 0.39 | 0.52 | +33.3% | -4.0% | -2.2% | -3.2% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 0.46 | 0.52 | +14.3% | +7.2% | +7.8% | +9.6% |
| 2026-02-05 | beat | 0.82 | 1.00 | +21.9% | -6.4% | -4.8% | +0.3% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | 0.45 | 0.62 | +39.3% | +9.8% | +7.1% | -1.1% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +13.3% | -1.5% | -2.0% | +3.1% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +6.1% | +3.7% | +1.7% | +9.1% |
| 2025-01-30 | beat | 0.69 | 0.94 | +36.2% | +16.3% | +12.1% | +7.7% |
| 2024-10-24 | beat | 0.45 | 0.47 | +4.4% | -1.5% | -2.1% | +0.6% |
| 2024-07-25 | beat | 0.11 | 0.28 | +154.6% | +10.2% | +11.6% | +7.1% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | 0.52 | 0.55 | +5.8% | -7.6% | +1.9% | +4.1% |
| 2024-01-25 | beat | 0.37 | 0.73 | +97.3% | +11.7% | +6.0% | +0.7% |
| 2023-11-02 | 0.61 | 0.61 | — | +2.8% | -0.1% | -7.1% | |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 0.31 | 0.31 | +1.6% | +2.3% | -4.1% | -4.8% |
| 2023-05-04 | miss | 0.50 | 0.38 | -24.0% | +5.6% | +8.3% | +11.9% |
| 2023-01-26 | beat | 0.70 | 1.00 | +42.9% | +9.2% | +13.9% | +2.9% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 0.49 | 0.57 | +16.3% | -0.5% | -2.2% | -1.0% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +9.1% | +0.8% | -2.3% | -6.2% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | 0.21 | 0.29 | +38.1% | -0.9% | -0.2% | +5.9% |
| 2022-01-27 | beat | 0.62 | 0.89 | +43.5% | +2.2% | +7.0% | +4.9% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 0.38 | 0.47 | +23.7% | +0.0% | +0.2% | -0.9% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +11.1% | -0.8% | +0.3% | -4.9% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 0.45 | 0.49 | +9.7% | -3.0% | +0.8% | +3.4% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | 0.53 | 0.66 | +25.3% | +0.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.27 | 0.38 | +40.7% | +3.4% | +0.8% | +1.0% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 0.12 | 0.17 | +37.1% | +1.9% | -5.4% | -9.6% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | 0.48 | 0.50 | +4.2% | +1.9% | +0.6% | -11.9% |
| 2020-01-30 | beat | 0.58 | 0.73 | +25.4% | +5.9% | +9.6% | +13.2% |
| 2019-10-31 | beat | 0.25 | 0.28 | +10.2% | +8.9% | +9.1% | +11.8% |
| 2019-08-01 | miss | 0.07 | 0.07 | -2.8% | -0.6% | -8.9% | -11.7% |
| 2019-05-02 | beat | 0.61 | 0.66 | +8.2% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -6.8% |
| 2019-01-30 | beat | 0.40 | 0.45 | +12.5% | +1.2% | -2.9% | +3.5% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 0.14 | 0.25 | +76.1% | +4.2% | +13.4% | +12.2% |
| 2018-07-26 | miss | 0.04 | 0.03 | -14.3% | -2.9% | -9.2% | -14.1% |
| 2018-05-03 | beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +3.2% | -12.3% | -1.8% | +4.5% |
| 2018-01-30 | beat | 0.67 | 0.69 | +3.6% | -1.9% | +8.4% | +3.6% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +8.8% | +3.1% | -2.5% | -5.1% |
| 2017-07-27 | miss | 0.08 | 0.08 | -3.5% | +3.4% | +3.1% | +0.3% |
| 2017-05-04 | beat | 0.62 | 0.65 | +5.3% | -5.0% | -11.7% | -6.1% |
| 2017-01-31 | beat | 0.56 | 0.60 | +7.4% | -4.8% | +5.9% | +13.5% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +10.7% | -5.0% | -6.5% | -5.1% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 0.25 | 0.28 | +12.0% | +5.8% | +7.6% | +8.4% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +4.8% | +1.5% | +3.7% | +4.5% |
| 2016-01-28 | beat | 0.40 | 0.58 | +43.8% | -8.9% | -21.1% | -25.0% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 0.30 | 0.47 | +54.4% | +2.6% | -3.4% | -10.5% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +3.5% | -1.1% | +5.6% | +4.7% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | 0.54 | 0.67 | +23.8% | -1.5% | -4.3% | -4.7% |
| 2015-01-22 | beat | 0.50 | 0.59 | +17.7% | +14.1% | +4.0% | +5.7% |
| 2014-10-16 | beat | 0.34 | 0.40 | +16.4% | -2.8% | -6.1% | +3.3% |
| 2014-07-17 | beat | 0.27 | 0.36 | +35.6% | +4.7% | +0.0% | +1.4% |
| 2014-04-24 | beat | 0.45 | 0.48 | +7.5% | +11.7% | +8.3% | +7.0% |
| 2014-01-23 | beat | 0.42 | 0.50 | +20.2% | +8.7% | +14.4% | +10.3% |
| 2013-10-17 | beat | 0.29 | 0.34 | +16.6% | +6.0% | +11.6% | +14.5% |
| 2013-07-18 | beat | 0.17 | 0.21 | +20.3% | +0.6% | +3.0% | +0.6% |
| 2013-04-25 | beat | 0.41 | 0.43 | +4.6% | +0.6% | +6.0% | +2.0% |
| 2013-01-17 | beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +2.3% | +0.9% | -5.6% | -2.0% |
| 2012-10-18 | beat | 0.26 | 0.34 | +30.4% | +11.4% | +2.5% | +6.8% |
| 2012-07-19 | beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +7.0% | +4.4% | +11.5% | +18.9% |
| 2012-04-26 | beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +3.6% | +0.1% | +10.0% | +6.8% |
| 2012-01-19 | beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +5.1% | +11.4% | +16.8% | +19.5% |
| 2011-10-20 | beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +10.8% | +6.5% | +19.9% | +33.3% |
Not investment advice.
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