NTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.4%
Next 1 month
+1.2%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +4.3% median,
56% of the last 25 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 0
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.48 +1.2% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$72.2B market cap (#258 US)
$76M/day volume
33% volatility
-23% 1-year
-30% from ATH
52-week range · 15% of the way up · -25% from the high
$106.06$149.11
Congressional trades in NTES Full tracker →
5 members · 6 buys / 8 sells · $28K–$245K disclosed · latest filing May 19, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-19 (Thursday, before open, in 21 days) · EPS est. 16.13.
1-day std dev
6.5%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+14.6%
Biggest drop
-14.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | miss | 15.54 | 12.02 | -22.7% | -5.2% | -5.8% | -3.6% |
| 2026-05-21 | beat | 15.39 | 17.46 | +13.4% | -4.5% | -2.1% | +5.1% |
| 2026-02-11 | miss | 14.12 | 10.95 | -22.4% | -1.6% | -4.1% | -3.5% |
| 2025-11-20 | miss | 14.81 | 14.73 | -0.6% | -2.3% | +0.4% | +3.5% |
| 2025-08-14 | miss | 15.02 | 14.81 | -1.4% | -8.8% | -3.9% | -2.2% |
| 2025-05-15 | beat | 13.74 | 17.51 | +27.4% | +8.2% | +14.6% | +11.1% |
| 2025-02-20 | beat | 12.56 | 15.09 | +20.1% | -4.8% | -2.6% | -3.6% |
| 2024-11-14 | miss | 12.36 | 11.63 | -5.9% | +6.2% | +10.4% | +16.2% |
| 2024-08-22 | miss | 12.09 | 12.05 | -0.4% | -7.7% | -11.2% | -13.0% |
| 2024-05-23 | beat | 12.44 | 13.10 | +5.3% | -3.4% | -3.7% | -9.5% |
| 2024-02-29 | miss | 12.08 | 11.34 | -6.1% | -2.9% | -3.9% | -5.7% |
| 2023-11-16 | beat | 10.67 | 13.30 | +24.7% | -3.4% | -2.4% | +0.3% |
| 2023-08-24 | beat | 9.03 | 13.88 | +53.7% | -4.4% | -3.9% | +0.8% |
| 2023-05-25 | beat | 8.59 | 11.62 | +35.2% | +0.0% | +2.7% | +3.7% |
| 2023-02-23 | beat | 7.82 | 9.92 | +26.8% | +2.3% | -3.7% | -0.5% |
| 2022-11-17 | beat | 7.46 | 11.34 | +52.0% | +1.9% | -0.5% | -8.0% |
| 2022-08-18 | beat | 7.03 | 8.18 | +16.4% | +3.5% | -6.0% | +0.7% |
| 2022-05-24 | beat | 7.17 | 7.72 | +7.6% | +2.2% | -1.7% | +3.8% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | 6.74 | 9.92 | +47.1% | -3.9% | +1.4% | -5.5% |
| 2021-11-16 | miss | 6.12 | 5.74 | -6.2% | +4.4% | +0.0% | +0.3% |
| 2021-08-31 | beat | 6.11 | 6.24 | +2.2% | +4.5% | +8.7% | +1.3% |
| 2021-05-18 | beat | 6.26 | 7.47 | +19.3% | +2.4% | +3.5% | +9.1% |
| 2021-02-25 | miss | 2.94 | 2.34 | -20.4% | -2.3% | -7.5% | -9.6% |
| 2020-11-19 | beat | 3.09 | 5.35 | +72.9% | +2.0% | +4.4% | +9.2% |
| 2020-08-13 | beat | 6.41 | 7.96 | +24.2% | -1.6% | -2.0% | +1.0% |
| 2020-05-19 | beat | 5.65 | 6.43 | +13.8% | -1.7% | -1.4% | -7.4% |
| 2020-02-26 | beat | 4.97 | 5.61 | +12.8% | -3.9% | -6.9% | -1.4% |
| 2019-11-20 | beat | 4.38 | 7.26 | +65.8% | +2.5% | +2.3% | +9.6% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | 3.71 | 5.61 | +51.4% | +6.5% | +10.3% | +18.0% |
| 2019-05-15 | beat | 3.33 | 4.67 | +40.1% | +4.9% | +6.5% | -0.7% |
| 2019-02-20 | beat | 3.34 | 3.66 | +9.8% | -1.4% | -5.9% | -4.0% |
| 2018-11-14 | beat | 3.47 | 3.55 | +2.0% | +4.0% | +5.3% | +2.7% |
| 2018-08-08 | beat | 3.73 | 4.17 | +12.0% | -5.9% | -11.0% | -20.8% |
| 2018-05-16 | miss | 2.82 | 2.02 | -28.4% | -5.7% | -7.5% | -16.2% |
| 2018-02-07 | miss | 3.01 | 2.84 | -5.7% | -4.7% | -6.3% | +0.2% |
| 2017-11-15 | beat | 4.28 | 4.56 | +6.5% | +2.8% | +7.9% | +13.8% |
| 2017-08-09 | miss | 5.45 | 5.24 | -3.9% | -5.1% | -9.8% | -13.2% |
| 2017-05-10 | beat | 5.61 | 6.53 | +16.6% | +3.2% | -0.8% | +1.3% |
| 2017-02-15 | beat | 4.96 | 5.98 | +20.5% | +8.2% | +14.1% | +14.5% |
| 2016-11-09 | beat | 4.31 | 4.56 | +5.9% | -4.8% | -9.2% | -6.0% |
| 2016-08-17 | beat | 3.74 | 4.88 | +30.5% | +1.7% | -2.7% | -2.3% |
| 2016-05-11 | beat | 3.22 | 4.02 | +25.1% | +2.7% | +0.4% | +11.1% |
| 2016-02-24 | beat | 3.24 | 3.56 | +9.7% | -8.1% | -14.8% | -12.4% |
| 2015-11-11 | beat | 2.70 | 3.11 | +15.2% | +5.3% | +2.2% | +6.1% |
| 2015-08-12 | beat | 2.41 | 2.48 | +2.9% | -2.1% | -5.2% | -15.2% |
| 2015-05-13 | beat | 1.86 | 1.92 | +3.1% | +5.1% | +8.3% | +15.0% |
| 2015-02-09 | beat | 1.88 | 1.95 | +3.5% | +3.3% | +7.4% | +7.5% |
| 2014-11-12 | miss | 1.81 | 1.76 | -2.6% | -0.3% | +3.2% | +8.2% |
| 2014-08-13 | miss | 1.84 | 1.82 | -0.9% | +1.1% | +1.6% | +4.9% |
| 2014-05-14 | miss | 1.80 | 1.72 | -4.2% | -1.7% | +0.3% | +0.6% |
| 2014-02-12 | beat | 1.76 | 1.90 | +7.9% | +1.7% | +1.2% | -0.8% |
| 2013-11-13 | miss | 1.70 | 1.60 | -5.9% | -9.2% | -4.4% | -2.9% |
| 2013-08-14 | beat | 1.54 | 1.68 | +9.2% | +2.9% | +2.8% | +20.4% |
| 2013-05-15 | beat | 1.52 | 1.62 | +7.1% | +1.0% | -3.9% | +1.8% |
| 2013-02-06 | beat | 1.36 | 1.53 | +12.9% | +8.1% | +6.8% | +11.9% |
| 2012-11-14 | miss | 1.38 | 1.23 | -10.6% | -3.0% | -5.9% | -14.2% |
| 2012-08-15 | miss | 1.38 | 1.34 | -3.0% | -8.9% | -14.8% | -12.7% |
| 2012-05-16 | beat | 1.28 | 1.44 | +12.7% | +7.5% | +4.8% | +0.4% |
| 2012-02-15 | beat | 1.32 | 1.37 | +3.9% | -5.1% | -4.0% | -1.4% |
| 2011-11-16 | beat | 1.13 | 1.26 | +11.2% | +4.2% | +4.1% | -9.2% |
Posted about NTES
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TRACKER - Josh Gottheimer · Congress
long
116.82
Wed, 20 May
Josh Gottheimer's trade date was 6 April 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size…
Not investment advice.
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