NTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+1.2%
Next 1 month
+3.9%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +2.4% median,
64% of the last 22 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 15
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.13%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.43 +3.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.3%
$7M/day volume
44% volatility
-33% 1-year
-54% from ATH
52-week range · 22% of the way up · -36% from the high
$19.00$35.10
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. -0.05.
1-day std dev
10.3%
Finished up
35%
Biggest pop
+28.0%
Biggest drop
-21.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | 0.01 | 0.16 | +1100.3% | -1.6% | -2.6% | -0.6% |
| 2026-04-29 | beat | -0.07 | 0.06 | +180.0% | +1.2% | -2.4% | +0.0% |
| 2026-02-04 | beat | 0.05 | 0.26 | +420.0% | +1.8% | -1.5% | +1.4% |
| 2025-10-29 | beat | -0.09 | 0.12 | +238.5% | -5.6% | +0.8% | -13.2% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | -0.15 | 0.06 | +140.0% | -1.9% | -5.7% | +0.3% |
| 2025-04-30 | beat | -0.37 | 0.02 | +105.4% | +16.5% | +16.1% | +19.9% |
| 2025-02-05 | beat | -0.24 | -0.06 | +75.0% | -7.6% | +1.3% | +4.5% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | -0.04 | 0.17 | +525.0% | -2.3% | +6.0% | +13.3% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | -0.81 | -0.74 | +8.6% | +6.1% | +3.5% | -3.3% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | -0.28 | -0.28 | +0.9% | -14.4% | -21.2% | -19.7% |
| 2024-02-07 | beat | 0.05 | 0.09 | +100.0% | -3.0% | -7.8% | +6.1% |
| 2023-10-25 | beat | -0.04 | 0.23 | +611.1% | +5.3% | +19.7% | +19.2% |
| 2023-07-26 | beat | -0.30 | -0.16 | +47.0% | +4.6% | -3.5% | -1.3% |
| 2023-04-26 | miss | -0.10 | -0.19 | -93.2% | -12.9% | -13.7% | -18.3% |
| 2023-02-01 | beat | -0.08 | -0.03 | +60.5% | -6.0% | -6.0% | -6.1% |
| 2022-10-26 | beat | 0.08 | 0.21 | +150.0% | -1.6% | -8.7% | -13.5% |
| 2022-07-27 | beat | -0.24 | -0.19 | +20.4% | +14.6% | +22.6% | +29.5% |
| 2022-04-27 | miss | 0.02 | -0.28 | -1607.0% | -0.9% | +2.5% | -6.4% |
| 2022-02-02 | beat | 0.13 | 0.27 | +103.2% | -9.3% | -0.8% | -8.6% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 0.41 | 0.50 | +20.8% | -13.0% | -3.3% | -6.0% |
| 2021-07-21 | miss | 0.71 | 0.66 | -7.1% | -14.4% | -9.5% | -6.6% |
| 2021-04-21 | beat | 0.66 | 0.99 | +49.9% | -4.3% | -3.2% | +0.7% |
| 2021-02-03 | beat | 0.84 | 0.99 | +18.1% | -1.8% | -4.4% | +2.3% |
| 2020-10-21 | beat | 0.66 | 1.13 | +71.9% | +0.7% | -3.8% | -10.6% |
| 2020-07-22 | beat | 0.22 | 0.54 | +140.5% | +7.5% | +6.8% | +0.5% |
| 2020-04-22 | beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +18.6% | -10.3% | -16.8% | -7.8% |
| 2020-02-05 | beat | 0.29 | 0.34 | +15.7% | -5.6% | -4.4% | -11.9% |
| 2019-10-23 | beat | 0.61 | 0.65 | +7.4% | -11.4% | -14.9% | -11.2% |
| 2019-07-24 | beat | 0.25 | 0.28 | +12.0% | +9.2% | +17.2% | +15.0% |
| 2019-04-24 | beat | 0.49 | 0.60 | +22.7% | -9.5% | -15.4% | -12.2% |
| 2019-02-06 | beat | 0.33 | 0.68 | +103.6% | -5.3% | -0.4% | -7.6% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.47 | 0.76 | +62.3% | +1.7% | -3.9% | +0.8% |
| 2018-07-23 | beat | 0.51 | 0.57 | +11.9% | -2.6% | -13.5% | -12.9% |
| 2018-04-25 | beat | 0.60 | 0.62 | +4.0% | -5.5% | -10.6% | -8.1% |
| 2018-02-06 | beat | 0.64 | 0.71 | +10.2% | -2.1% | -15.4% | -9.9% |
| 2017-10-25 | beat | 0.68 | 0.81 | +19.0% | -4.4% | +0.4% | -4.5% |
| 2017-07-26 | beat | 0.54 | 0.60 | +10.8% | +8.6% | +11.8% | +8.5% |
| 2017-04-26 | beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +4.1% | -7.2% | -9.6% | -11.1% |
| 2017-02-07 | beat | 0.77 | 0.88 | +14.9% | -5.9% | -6.7% | -3.8% |
| 2016-10-26 | beat | 0.71 | 0.76 | +6.5% | -4.4% | -7.4% | -8.1% |
| 2016-07-27 | beat | 0.60 | 0.72 | +19.3% | +6.3% | +7.1% | +6.8% |
| 2016-04-27 | beat | 0.60 | 0.74 | +23.6% | +5.0% | +10.6% | +2.0% |
| 2016-02-04 | beat | 0.66 | 0.83 | +26.6% | +7.5% | -3.4% | -0.3% |
| 2015-10-22 | beat | 0.51 | 0.67 | +31.4% | +9.0% | +28.0% | +26.6% |
| 2015-07-23 | miss | 0.31 | 0.29 | -5.1% | +11.3% | +17.6% | +16.5% |
| 2015-04-23 | miss | 0.50 | 0.46 | -8.6% | -7.1% | -12.2% | -11.5% |
| 2015-02-05 | beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +2.8% | -3.0% | -11.6% | -8.8% |
| 2014-10-23 | beat | 0.61 | 0.72 | +18.6% | +1.5% | +2.8% | +6.4% |
| 2014-07-24 | beat | 0.55 | 0.58 | +5.0% | -11.4% | -9.1% | -10.0% |
| 2014-04-24 | beat | 0.54 | 0.59 | +10.1% | +3.9% | -6.2% | -6.6% |
| 2014-02-06 | beat | 0.55 | 0.59 | +8.3% | +3.0% | +4.0% | +7.7% |
| 2013-10-24 | beat | 0.58 | 0.58 | +0.4% | -9.1% | -9.5% | -10.1% |
| 2013-07-25 | beat | 0.56 | 0.62 | +10.0% | -4.5% | -9.1% | -6.5% |
| 2013-04-25 | beat | 0.49 | 0.50 | +1.2% | +2.2% | +1.6% | +5.5% |
| 2013-02-12 | beat | 0.55 | 0.55 | +0.2% | -9.2% | -8.7% | -9.1% |
| 2012-10-25 | beat | 0.65 | 0.65 | +0.6% | -3.4% | -1.4% | -0.6% |
| 2012-07-26 | miss | 0.68 | 0.64 | -5.5% | -17.1% | -1.6% | +1.0% |
| 2012-04-25 | beat | 0.68 | 0.73 | +7.7% | +9.9% | +13.6% | +9.8% |
| 2012-02-07 | beat | 0.63 | 0.69 | +10.1% | -6.1% | -5.7% | -9.0% |
| 2011-10-27 | beat | 0.60 | 0.79 | +31.2% | -0.2% | +6.9% | +6.5% |
Not investment advice.
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