NTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.9%
Next 1 month
+6.3%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +0.6% median,
56% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 33
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.56%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.52 +6.3% · Seasonal tilt (9y) -0.0%
$67M/day volume
80% volatility
-5% 1-year
52-week range · 43% of the way up · -32% from the high
$7.95$18.48
Congressional trades in NTLA Full tracker →
3 members · 8 buys / 8 sells · $58K–$345K disclosed · latest filing Sep 5, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. -0.79.
1-day std dev
7.5%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+14.3%
Biggest drop
-22.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 42 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | -0.78 | -0.80 | -1.9% | -3.0% | +2.5% | +7.8% |
| 2026-05-11 | beat | -0.90 | -0.81 | +9.8% | -0.2% | +2.3% | -9.9% |
| 2026-02-26 | beat | -0.96 | -0.83 | +13.7% | +5.0% | +6.4% | -2.0% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | -0.98 | -0.92 | +6.6% | -25.8% | -22.7% | -29.4% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | -1.01 | -0.98 | +2.5% | +1.3% | +0.8% | -4.1% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | -1.27 | -1.10 | +13.5% | +8.0% | +13.6% | +10.8% |
| 2025-02-27 | beat | -1.32 | -1.27 | +3.5% | +4.6% | +0.6% | -8.3% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | -1.37 | -1.34 | +2.1% | +0.9% | -0.4% | -5.9% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | -1.20 | -1.52 | -27.0% | +3.6% | +5.0% | +7.3% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | -1.36 | -1.12 | +17.7% | +5.6% | +8.1% | +13.8% |
| 2024-02-22 | miss | -1.44 | -1.46 | -1.7% | -1.4% | +1.1% | +19.5% |
| 2023-11-09 | beat | -1.50 | -1.38 | +8.2% | +0.2% | -12.3% | -8.5% |
| 2023-08-03 | miss | -1.33 | -1.40 | -5.4% | -3.5% | -1.6% | -0.4% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | -1.38 | -1.17 | +15.3% | +1.2% | +0.6% | -0.7% |
| 2023-02-23 | miss | -1.37 | -1.38 | -0.4% | -3.0% | -3.2% | +11.3% |
| 2022-11-03 | miss | -1.25 | -1.49 | -18.9% | +3.1% | -1.3% | +6.5% |
| 2022-08-04 | miss | -1.30 | -1.33 | -2.4% | -13.7% | -8.7% | -8.5% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | -1.11 | -1.96 | -76.4% | -5.1% | -10.2% | -23.5% |
| 2022-02-24 | miss | -0.94 | -1.09 | -16.3% | -2.5% | +9.3% | -11.3% |
| 2021-11-04 | miss | -0.85 | -0.97 | -14.1% | -0.7% | -1.4% | -4.0% |
| 2021-08-05 | miss | -0.61 | -1.01 | -66.0% | -2.5% | +12.4% | +9.1% |
| 2021-05-06 | miss | -0.66 | -0.69 | -4.7% | +6.1% | +1.9% | +0.8% |
| 2021-02-25 | miss | -0.61 | -0.69 | -12.8% | -2.6% | -9.8% | -14.6% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | -0.57 | -0.47 | +17.1% | +4.0% | +4.8% | +9.3% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | -0.67 | -0.61 | +9.5% | +5.3% | +1.7% | +4.4% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | -0.47 | -0.63 | -33.1% | -3.8% | -1.4% | +18.1% |
| 2020-02-27 | miss | -0.56 | -0.57 | -2.2% | -2.4% | -5.6% | +24.4% |
| 2019-10-31 | beat | -0.61 | -0.49 | +19.6% | +10.5% | +6.1% | +9.9% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | -0.59 | -0.56 | +5.0% | +5.0% | -0.1% | -2.4% |
| 2019-05-02 | beat | -0.57 | -0.49 | +13.8% | +4.1% | +2.5% | +11.8% |
| 2019-02-27 | beat | -0.54 | -0.43 | +20.8% | +0.6% | +6.3% | +7.1% |
| 2018-10-31 | miss | -0.49 | -0.53 | -8.5% | -0.1% | -8.3% | +4.7% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | -0.56 | -0.52 | +7.5% | -0.6% | -3.2% | +1.2% |
| 2018-05-01 | beat | -0.56 | -0.51 | +8.6% | +2.8% | +2.7% | +11.1% |
| 2018-03-14 | miss | -0.45 | -0.61 | -36.8% | -2.0% | -13.3% | -29.4% |
| 2017-10-31 | beat | -0.49 | -0.44 | +11.1% | +0.6% | +8.9% | -31.8% |
| 2017-08-01 | miss | -0.42 | -0.45 | -8.0% | -0.5% | -4.3% | -1.4% |
| 2017-05-02 | miss | -0.35 | -0.36 | -2.9% | +0.5% | -5.0% | -9.0% |
| 2017-03-14 | miss | -0.21 | -0.31 | -46.9% | -0.8% | -4.9% | -8.7% |
| 2016-11-01 | miss | -0.21 | -0.22 | -6.3% | +0.1% | -4.4% | +6.0% |
| 2016-08-04 | miss | -0.02 | -0.19 | -850.0% | +8.0% | +14.3% | +3.9% |
| 2016-06-03 | beat | -0.19 | -0.19 | +3.9% | +3.1% | +1.6% | -7.6% |
Posted about NTLA
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long
—
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long
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Not investment advice.
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