NTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.4%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+3.4%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +9.2% median,
50% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 96
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.28 +3.3% · Seasonal tilt (10y) +0.1%
$52.5B market cap (#662 US)
$641M/day volume
48% volatility
+121% 1-year
-3% from ATH
52-week range · 95% of the way up · -3% from the high
$181.00$437.41
Congressional trades in NTRA Full tracker →
3 members · 4 buys / 3 sells · $7K–$105K disclosed · latest filing Oct 15, 2025.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 7 days) · EPS est. -0.28.
1-day std dev
11.3%
Finished up
67%
Biggest pop
+26.8%
Biggest drop
-18.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 45 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | -0.53 | -0.47 | +12.0% | +20.9% | +21.4% | +16.8% |
| 2026-05-07 | miss | -0.55 | -0.60 | -8.5% | -4.5% | -11.6% | -15.2% |
| 2026-02-26 | beat | -0.53 | 0.36 | +167.5% | -2.4% | -3.7% | -8.3% |
| 2025-11-06 | miss | -0.35 | -0.64 | -80.7% | -6.1% | +0.5% | +2.9% |
| 2025-08-07 | miss | -0.59 | -0.74 | -24.5% | +14.8% | +7.7% | +15.6% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | -0.66 | -0.50 | +24.2% | +1.3% | -6.5% | -6.1% |
| 2025-02-27 | miss | -0.35 | -0.41 | -18.3% | +2.1% | -0.7% | -10.2% |
| 2024-11-12 | beat | -0.59 | -0.26 | +56.2% | +15.1% | +19.1% | +24.2% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | -0.68 | -0.30 | +56.1% | -2.0% | +6.4% | +15.1% |
| 2024-05-10 | beat | -0.75 | -0.56 | +25.8% | +13.1% | +10.2% | +11.4% |
| 2024-02-28 | beat | -0.71 | -0.64 | +10.0% | +12.0% | +13.0% | +19.7% |
| 2023-11-08 | beat | -0.97 | -0.95 | +1.9% | +14.9% | +9.8% | +27.7% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | -1.10 | -0.97 | +12.1% | +14.0% | +17.6% | +29.5% |
| 2023-05-09 | miss | -1.16 | -1.23 | -6.0% | +2.6% | -3.4% | -6.3% |
| 2023-02-28 | beat | -1.46 | -1.37 | +6.2% | +0.8% | +11.8% | +18.9% |
| 2022-11-08 | beat | -1.44 | -1.25 | +13.2% | +3.1% | -12.7% | -13.5% |
| 2022-08-04 | miss | -1.50 | -1.50 | -0.1% | -3.1% | +0.9% | +8.2% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | -1.52 | -1.45 | +4.4% | +4.5% | +5.8% | +0.3% |
| 2022-02-24 | miss | -1.31 | -1.49 | -13.3% | -0.6% | +2.6% | -13.4% |
| 2021-11-04 | miss | -1.33 | -1.63 | -22.9% | +0.0% | +4.8% | +3.9% |
| 2021-08-05 | miss | -1.20 | -1.32 | -9.6% | -1.9% | -2.0% | -15.7% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | -1.03 | -0.74 | +28.4% | +5.0% | +5.7% | -3.2% |
| 2021-02-25 | miss | -0.66 | -0.91 | -37.9% | +5.8% | +6.7% | -5.3% |
| 2020-11-05 | miss | -0.70 | -0.72 | -3.2% | +3.4% | +7.4% | +8.4% |
| 2020-08-05 | miss | -0.60 | -0.68 | -12.4% | +7.4% | +7.8% | +10.1% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | -0.52 | -0.45 | +14.0% | +8.8% | +21.4% | +25.9% |
| 2020-02-26 | beat | -0.54 | -0.45 | +17.2% | -2.6% | +7.1% | +13.4% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | -0.55 | -0.53 | +2.3% | +3.8% | -2.1% | +4.6% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | -0.56 | -0.48 | +15.0% | +7.1% | +17.7% | +2.3% |
| 2019-05-09 | beat | -0.60 | -0.54 | +10.0% | +7.3% | +22.3% | +28.4% |
| 2019-03-12 | miss | -0.51 | -0.51 | -0.5% | +4.0% | +19.1% | +21.8% |
| 2018-11-08 | miss | -0.48 | -0.49 | -2.6% | -29.4% | -18.6% | -18.7% |
| 2018-08-08 | beat | -0.57 | -0.55 | +3.5% | +2.5% | +3.4% | +7.4% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | -0.62 | -0.61 | +2.4% | +3.2% | +2.3% | -0.3% |
| 2018-03-13 | miss | -0.49 | -0.65 | -32.0% | +1.4% | -2.9% | +7.1% |
| 2017-11-08 | miss | -0.48 | -0.51 | -6.8% | -6.0% | -11.6% | -9.3% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | -0.54 | -0.52 | +3.7% | +4.2% | +26.8% | +38.1% |
| 2017-05-09 | miss | -0.67 | -0.70 | -4.2% | +0.8% | +16.5% | +13.6% |
| 2017-03-07 | miss | -0.54 | -0.72 | -32.8% | -12.9% | -17.9% | -10.8% |
| 2016-11-09 | beat | -0.56 | -0.50 | +11.1% | +4.7% | +8.4% | +24.7% |
| 2016-08-04 | miss | -0.46 | -0.46 | -0.7% | -0.2% | -6.7% | -16.0% |
| 2016-05-10 | beat | -0.45 | -0.17 | +62.6% | +12.3% | +19.7% | +15.0% |
| 2016-03-08 | beat | -0.67 | -0.47 | +29.9% | +0.0% | -11.4% | -6.4% |
| 2015-11-12 | beat | -0.42 | -0.39 | +8.2% | +1.6% | +10.7% | -2.6% |
| 2015-08-12 | beat | -0.44 | -0.34 | +23.3% | -2.2% | -4.8% | -12.3% |
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TRACKER - Halftime Report Final Trades · CNBC
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413.32
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Named as a final trade on CNBC’s Halftime Report. The call: on 25 September 2026 (named as “Natera”). The price: The price on this post is NTRA at…
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long
372.86
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